To break down JJJ's wagon a little bit more, here's how it all went down (warning, it's a wallpost)
Here's what the poll looked like at XX:47.
6 - anne --- Master Radishes, falcon45ca, NotAnAxehole, JaggedJimmyJay, nutella, DrWilgy
6 - DrWilgy --- staypositivefriend, NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME, cassandra, leetic, Lime Coke, ilario
1 - JaggedJimmyJay --- iaafr
1 - Master Radishes --- Marmot
1 - NotAnAxehole --- nutella
1 - Dyslexicon --- MacDougall
1 - sleep --- Dyslexicon
1 - No Vote --- Sloonei
Summarizing what happened starting at xx:47 as Jay's wagon begins to take off.
xx:47 - spf calls the Wilgy wagon pure
xx:47 - iaafr contemplates going back to the Wilgy wagon
xx:48 - LC calls Jay probably mafia, but asserts his wagon can't seem to get traction
xx:48 - ilario says he'd wagon NAA
xx:48 - iaafr vote Wilgy
xx:48 - spf says she would wagon NAA
xx:49 - Nanook would flashwagon Jay
xx:49 - spf says she'll probably end on Wilgy
xx:49 - nutella wants to flip anne
xx:49 - Marmot isn't comfortable voting Wilgy, would rather vote anne
xx:49 - iaafr offers reasons to TR and not chop Jay
xx:49 - cass asked nutella why she flipped her read on anne
xx:50 - iaafr wonders if the wolves are bussing Wilgy, and if anne's a hit
xx:50 - Marmot votes anne
xx:50 - cass doesn't want to vote anne when she's not here
xx:50 - leetic calls out Jay and nutella for hedging
xx:51 - spf points out disappearance of NAA wagon as interesting
xx:51 - LC follows up on Jay's wagon's lack of traction
xx:52 - cass asks if people TR Jay, would vote there if wagon existed
xx:52 - leetic calls Wilgy wagon more inspiring
xx:53 - iaafr votes anne
xx:53 - nutella calls anne a hit and Wilgy a bait
xx:53 - iaafr votes Jay
xx:54 - LC votes Jay
xx:54 - cass votes Jay
xx:54 - Marmot complains about how the Wilgy and anne wagons look
xx:54 - ilario votes Jay
xx:54 - leetic links us to a Jay scum game
xx:54 - cass hypes the Jay CFD
So with 5 minutes left in the day, the wagons have changed drastically, looking something like the following.
7 - anne --- Master Radishes, falcon45ca, NotAnAxehole, JaggedJimmyJay, nutella, DrWilgy, Marmot
4 - JaggedJimmyJay --- iaafr, Lime Coke, cassandra, ilario
3 - DrWilgy --- staypositivefriend, NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME, leetic
1 - NotAnAxehole --- nutella
1 - Dyslexicon --- MacDougall
1 - sleep --- Dyslexicon
1 - No Vote --- Sloonei
xx:55 - leetic asks where the Wilgy wagon went, says he's not confident in the other two
xx:55 - LC rallies people to wagon Jay
xx:55 - Nanook votes Jay
xx:56 - iaafr calls anne's votes parkers
xx:56 - nutella reminded cass that she also mentioned reason to SR anne
xx:56 - cass weirded out by nutella's treatment of anne
xx:56 - leetic votes Jay
Wagons are close now
7 - anne --- Master Radishes, falcon45ca, NotAnAxehole, JaggedJimmyJay, nutella, DrWilgy, Marmot
6 - JaggedJimmyJay --- iaafr, Lime Coke, cassandra, ilario, NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME, leetic
1 - DrWilgy --- staypositivefriend
1 - NotAnAxehole --- nutella
1 - Dyslexicon --- MacDougall
1 - sleep --- Dyslexicon
1 - No Vote --- Sloonei
xx:57 - Marmot votes Jay
xx:57 - spf votes Jay
xx:57 - LC sketched out by people not leaving anne's wagon still
xx:57 - iaafr votes nutella
xx:57 - spf calls nutella's push on anne townie
xx:57 - ilario wants to vote Wilgy again
xx:57 - leetic doesn't like the anne wagon
xx:57 - NAA says he doesn't want to chop Jay, and that Marmot and he aren't parked on anne
xx:57 - spf says she wants Wilgy, but laments being forced to choose between Jay and anne
xx:58 - nutella says this is fine (Jay being voted I think she means)
xx:58 - wants to chop anyone but anne
xx:58 - cass wouldn't cry over chopping Wilgy still
xx:58 - Nanook says he'd move back to Wilgy
xx:58 - Marmot calls Wilgy wagon pure, worries about Jay being a miss and anne being a hit
xx:59 - ilario worried about quickness of Jay wagon
xx:59 - iaafr votes Wilgy
xx:59 - ilario says let's CFD Wilgy, ilario votes Wilgy
xx:59 - spf tried to vote Wilgy, but was too late
7 - JaggedJimmyJay --- Lime Coke, cassandra, NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME, leetic, Marmot, staypositivefriend, NotAnAxehole
5 - anne --- Master Radishes, falcon45ca, JaggedJimmyJay, nutella, DrWilgy
2 - DrWilgy --- iaafr, ilario
1 - NotAnAxehole --- nutella
1 - Dyslexicon --- MacDougall
1 - sleep --- Dyslexicon
1 - No Vote --- Sloonei
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Here are my observations on how people performed at EOD based on reread.
The following players were not around at EOD
anne
DrWilgy
Dyslexicon
falcon45ca
MacDougall
Sloonei —> Esooa
The following players were
cassandra - cass was one of the first people to vote for Jay in the CFD, and voiced interest in it before it happened. She looks really townie from this.
iaafr - iaafr was kinda all over the place, but that does read more like an anxious townie than mafia in this scenario. On one hand, he could have unwittingly prompted a Jay wagon while just casually putting a vote there, but I think the reality is that his actions are pure. He could be scum, but I'd put him closer to a TR at this moment.
ilario / leetic - this slot also hopped on the Jay wagon, albeit at different times. Ilario hopped off in the waning seconds of the day, which is a little alarming, but these two seemed similar to iaafr in that their behavior looks believable in their anxiety over what wagon would be the best to choose.
Lime Coke - Pushed the Jay wagon from the getgo, and rallied others to join. Hard townread on this guy.
NotAnAxehole - I don't know when he voted for Jay, so I'm going to assume it was at a point when it didn't matter since he didn't call his vote in the thread. The only post that NAA made in the final 13 minutes of the day were a defense of chopping Jay. Given his increased activity before the Jay wagon took off, I think he looks like probable mafia from it.
nutella - I could go either way. Personally, her comment "This is fine actually lmao" actually reads incredibly townie to me. But her actions otherwise less-so. She didn't really mention Jay's wagon, but she did push anne's wagon at least while Wilgy was an active wagon. But even her push on anne looked kinda townie. Dunno. I'm tonally reading her as town, but her actions are objectively not very townie.
staypositivefriend - spf was put into a position where she couldn't vote for Wilgy when his wagon disappeared, and was forced to pick between Jay and anne, and opted for Jay. She did eventually try to vote Wilgy again, but was too late at EOD. I will call this mildly townie. She didn't really talk about Jay despite voting for him, which makes a bus attempt possible, but she was in a position where she was able to convincingly vote for anne or Jay, and she opted for Jay. spf is on the edge of the POE for me.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Anyway, cass remains a confident townread for me, LC joins her in that tier, and ilario/leetic are a tad below. NAA has dropped drastically, and I'd be willing to chop him today. Everyone else is varying shades of in between those two
Also, given how easily Jay's wagon took off, I'd be willing to bet that his team was generally not around at EOD, suggesting that the majority of scum are in the first of the above lists.
Fiddler on the Roof
