RPG Mafia MAFIA WIN

[NotAnAxehole]

I remember ISOing Wilgy last night and coming to the conclusion that he’s just a wolf. Look at his reads on D1. Someone else (marmot?) called them out as surface level and that’s the best word to describe them. I would even go so far as to say he gets confused in who he trusts and suspects. I’ll go into more detail later once I’ve had my coffee and did my morning routine.

Jack can also just be a wolf. That uberconfidence in his casing of dunya is easily motivated by a wolf agenda to try and take out a player that can be very beneficial as town.
I’ll do more looking into this later too.

NAA can also die.

The 4th can be aaaaaanyone

You have a morning routine?

[Scotty]

I agree that LP slipped

I’m on page 79 and see you’re currently not voting for LP so I don’t believe that you believe this

[Le petit poussin]

petit who'd you block

@Syn

[Le petit poussin]

the problem is it feels like honoring dunya means killing wilgy and like cmon there's no way killing wilgy is the thing to do on day 3 after two town flips

She was yeeted, not NKed; while I agree with the statement (Doc seems more like a LHF), I can't say I am not tinfoiling this post because I am not sure why you bring that up (I am sure you are aware of your thread position rn). What was the reason Tony? (I vanity read that post and couldn't tell)

[Le petit poussin]

voting urist

wilgy almost certainly is more likely mafia than anyone in the game rn

except maybe sig but I can't really wrap my ahead around that one

lololol

[VOTE: TSP] aubergine

[Le petit poussin]

petit who'd you block

@Syn

tbh I kinda regret it rn, I should have sticked to my guns shrug

[Le petit poussin]

One of the reasons I'm keeping my Tony townread is because I don't think he had TMI on Dunya. I don't think that wolf Tony pockets townJack and then goes after townDunya.

I know HK was like "I don't think townTony and townJack both misread townDunya" and I can understand the perspective of thinking we're both wolves but from the perspective that I know I'm town, I have a hard time seeing Tony playing yesterday like he did as a wolf.

yeah yeah. but Dunya flipped villa and HK was NKed. 100% there is a wolf in you/TSP.

[Scotty]

given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear

I'd frankly assume Mafia is 4 Level 1 Warriors and tonight they will get 5 kills.

TSP is also likely poisoned by a town, based on how yesterday went.

If TSP is wolf, wolves are most likely healing him anyway, so it doesn’t matter. I doubt TSP is dying today.

Yeah, I still think my original theory here is correct.

[NotAnAxehole]

I would bet that TSP is only mafia if Sig is also mafia.

[Scotty]

[VOTE: LinearPoint] aubergine

What was the catalyst that had you switching to dunya yesterday eod?

[Scotty]

given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear

I'd frankly assume Mafia is 4 Level 1 Warriors and tonight they will get 5 kills.

oh this is also possible

I said this like a week ago

[Le petit poussin]

but naa is town so then syn would have to be a wolf

what are your reasons to TR naa? why are you tying them up together?

[Le petit poussin]

given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear

I'd frankly assume Mafia is 4 Level 1 Warriors and tonight they will get 5 kills.

TSP is also likely poisoned by a town, based on how yesterday went.

If TSP is wolf, wolves are most likely healing him anyway, so it doesn’t matter. I doubt TSP is dying today.

Yeah, I still think my original theory here is correct.

We should chop him otherwise this is prolly lost

[Scotty]

town:
scotty
petit
jack
lp
tsp
??

but naa is town so then syn would have to be a wolf

A the classic
If a = b and c = d, then a must = d

[Scotty]

Hot take- TSP is wolf, but he’s not dying today regardless unless we lynch him.

[Scotty]

ok I'm locking dolby in as wolf, only plausible partner remaining is syn, team is dolby/syn/urist/wilgy

K
[VOTE: wilgy] aubergine

[Le petit poussin]

TSP I really don't get why you're TRing LP

dunya said so and possibly gamestate read from yesterday but I think I can interpret that either way

talk about hte gamestate read

me and jack were the main pushers on the dunya wagon, which for most of the day was the only real cw to LP. If LP is a wolf, I think you would have seen that taken up by another wolf, likely. So then, Jack/LP is a possibility but the only one. (It's actually somewhat disturbing now that I think about it that LP is hammering me wolf for no reason but has given no opinion on Jack that I can remember). So given that I think JAck is town, LP is town.

There are other ways to interpret all of this though

??? (like the sentence above feels like there isn't in your mind)

[Le petit poussin]

I have a secret read btw

[Scotty]

ngl I want to end the day tied between the two and make wolves make the choice
[VOTE: linearpoint] aubergine

If they’re both v/v they’re picking LP 10 times out of 10

that's my way of saying I don't think they're both v

what's your take on them being v/w?

I think only possible if LP is the w

It's possible dunya is town if LP is a wolf, and in that world the dunya voters are trying to save LP by pushing dunya over which makes them more likely wolves.

if LP is town I think dunya is almost always a wolf. I still think it's possible, maybe even likely that they're both wolves. I do not think they're both town at all.

Once again, yes, TSP and I chose to attempt to yeet notoriously LHF player....Dunya. To defend a teammate, LP, who nobody townreads on her own merits and who doesn't seem to gaf about the game.

Come the fuck on.

straight up I think if dunya flips town min one wolf between you and tsp. I agree with Urist that Town Jack and Town TSP do not push Town Dunya like this. I think town Jack/TSP push wolf dunya like this for sure. Wolf Jack/TSP might push town dunya like this.

[Le petit poussin]

I 100% believe Syn entered D2 knowing the Mafia night kill and going to push to mislynch Scotty and blame it on Dunya.
It's really just too convenient that Mac scum read Scotty, died N1, and Syn came out the bat ready to off Scotty and Dunya.

That's part of my reasonning to block him last night (I also do remember that post Wilgy mentionned where he was saying Mac was killed for deeper reads, not top SR ones).

LP simultaneously arguing that the wolves are gonna mega kill tonight and that she'll be able to tell us whether or not sig, a zero poster, is wolf tomorrow

which if she says she tracked sig to hk, guarantees the chop target

hmmm

in that world, game is already over no? If not, this is self resolving anyway, as she will be dead tmr if town (which is always the case I guess here)

[Scotty]

NAA Syn guarentees minimum 1 Mafia they mindmelded the whole EoD and it was a scummy menuvre from both.

I very much disagree with everything about this, and I don't believe there was a conspiracy to tie the votes

like, Dunya was always gonna be the yeet

I think people still want to yeet LP tomorrow if Dunya flips town. I don't think I want to yeet Scotty if she does.

LP should be yeeted before Dunya imo

[Scotty]

I 100% believe Syn entered D2 knowing the Mafia night kill and going to push to mislynch Scotty and blame it on Dunya.
It's really just too convenient that Mac scum read Scotty, died N1, and Syn came out the bat ready to off Scotty and Dunya.

Plausible

[Scotty]

LP simultaneously arguing that the wolves are gonna mega kill tonight and that she'll be able to tell us whether or not sig, a zero poster, is wolf tomorrow

which if she says she tracked sig to hk, guarantees the chop target

hmmm

LP has acted townier this start of day than you have with your actions all game

[Scotty]

I don’t think scum LP comes out of the gate today claiming Druid Lev 2 actions. I believe she used those how she used those.

Mafia aren’t picking Druid class

[Scotty]

I'm all done with compromising on my reads this game. I'm only voting lp, urist, Scotty untill the three are dead.

You never got back to me on my request yesterday. You disappeared. That request was a means to help me better think you are town.

That you are ignoring that and continue to just vomit names without any backing makes me firmly scumread you.

Why am I scum? Any new insight?

[TonyStarkPrime]

the problem is it feels like honoring dunya means killing wilgy and like cmon there's no way killing wilgy is the thing to do on day 3 after two town flips

She was yeeted, not NKed; while I agree with the statement (Doc seems more like a LHF), I can't say I am not tinfoiling this post because I am not sure why you bring that up (I am sure you are aware of your thread position rn). What was the reason Tony? (I vanity read that post and couldn't tell)

Uh what do you mean what was the reason it was a thought that I had

[Le petit poussin]

Honestly I’m thinking we should just all out what we are. It’ll make it harder for someone to slip an anti-town action through like a the warrior kills or healing a mafia of poison or role locking a town.

I was druid level 1 and either got blocked or failed my action N1.

I re-specced to paladin level 2 N2 and was not blocked, but also did not gain any CP because of that.

in hindsight I should have probably done warrior level 2 in order to shoot sig tonight, but oh well

[TonyStarkPrime]

given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear

I'd frankly assume Mafia is 4 Level 1 Warriors and tonight they will get 5 kills.

TSP is also likely poisoned by a town, based on how yesterday went.

If TSP is wolf, wolves are most likely healing him anyway, so it doesn’t matter. I doubt TSP is dying today.

Yeah, I still think my original theory here is correct.

We should chop him otherwise this is prolly lost

If you chop me you lose the game

[Scotty]

You are jus tmaking up excuses as to why the Mafia would leave you alive.
THEY SHOULD NOT LEAVE YOU ALIVE IF YOU ARE TOWN SYN.
NEVER!

Who is scarier early game? Mac or Syn?
Why should town Syn be killed early in this player group?

[TonyStarkPrime]

There’s no good reason to think I’m a wolf over, say, Jack, who’s only poed by like 2 people and who is objectively wolfier

[Le petit poussin]

the problem is it feels like honoring dunya means killing wilgy and like cmon there's no way killing wilgy is the thing to do on day 3 after two town flips

She was yeeted, not NKed; while I agree with the statement (Doc seems more like a LHF), I can't say I am not tinfoiling this post because I am not sure why you bring that up (I am sure you are aware of your thread position rn). What was the reason Tony? (I vanity read that post and couldn't tell)

Uh what do you mean what was the reason it was a thought that I had

what brought you to speak about WIlgy? (I don't remember Dunya speaking about him, just Marmot)

[TonyStarkPrime]

Unless you think I’m w/w with LP and the entire Dunya thing was an organized save but I think no one thinks that

[TonyStarkPrime]

the problem is it feels like honoring dunya means killing wilgy and like cmon there's no way killing wilgy is the thing to do on day 3 after two town flips

She was yeeted, not NKed; while I agree with the statement (Doc seems more like a LHF), I can't say I am not tinfoiling this post because I am not sure why you bring that up (I am sure you are aware of your thread position rn). What was the reason Tony? (I vanity read that post and couldn't tell)

Uh what do you mean what was the reason it was a thought that I had

what brought you to speak about WIlgy? (I don't remember Dunya speaking about him, just Marmot)

She did

[TonyStarkPrime]

It’s like her only read (sorry Dunya I’m sure you feel like you have more reads)

[Scotty]

Wilgy obviously looks worse with the revelation that Dunya was honest about that read.

Also, why is Sig still alive wtf? And only one poison? I'm gonna have to respec.

Bullshit it does.

That doesn't change the read. The capacity to judge the read was well and valid when Dunya was alive.

Idk man. I got some vibe from this JoH post as I skimmed. This feels like a premeditated post.

I think you’re wolf but I also agree with this post

[Scotty]

wouldn't it be funny if I said LP was town

I think it’d be even funnier if I said she were town.

Which I do.

[Le petit poussin]

It’s like her only read (sorry Dunya I’m sure you feel like you have more reads)

ooh. (tbh I haven't got time to ISO her)

► Show Spoiler

but I refuse to not conf-biase myself :wowee:

[Le petit poussin]

I'm all done with compromising on my reads this game. I'm only voting lp, urist, Scotty untill the three are dead.

I'd be surprised if there is a wolf there tbh.

[Scotty]

Like I had to put in a ton of work to even reach the conclusion Duyna was town. Petit Scotty and Syn have also been hard reads. Wilvg is still an implausible read. Jack has been off and on scum and town posts. Urist is also someone you said was just fluffing

rask and syn are from my home forum i think I can read them well

Wilgy's entire ISO has been harping on a illogical Urist/Dunya w/v read. I don't think that man is town

Urist and TSP imo are pretty equivalent in the tone that I get from them but also not w/w. Also similar contribution levels. I frankly can't say that I don't TR TSP more as a consequence of the existence of his wagon and your presence on it but I really don't like that type of read while you're still alive. They're tone and the way they express themselves leaves them as black holes

So why not get off your LP high horse and vote Billy with me?

[Scotty]

Like I had to put in a ton of work to even reach the conclusion Duyna was town. Petit Scotty and Syn have also been hard reads. Wilvg is still an implausible read. Jack has been off and on scum and town posts. Urist is also someone you said was just fluffing

rask and syn are from my home forum i think I can read them well

Wilgy's entire ISO has been harping on a illogical Urist/Dunya w/v read. I don't think that man is town

Urist and TSP imo are pretty equivalent in the tone that I get from them but also not w/w. Also similar contribution levels. I frankly can't say that I don't TR TSP more as a consequence of the existence of his wagon and your presence on it but I really don't like that type of read while you're still alive. They're tone and the way they express themselves leaves them as black holes

So why not get off your LP high horse and vote Billy with me?

Wilgy*

[Jackofhearts2005]

town:
scotty
petit
jack
lp
tsp
??

Why is Petit town?

[Scotty]

Ok. I do really want to know your reasonings for those reads though. I want you to convince me that you actually reached those reads legit and don’t just throw names togetherz

Scotty's emotionally charged moments throughout the game have felt legitimate and towny, and I have had times that I've vibed hard with a read of his on D2 that I've come to the conclusion that the man is just pure. At the start of the game I felt that his posts did not hold under scrutiny, but the way he's expressed himself later outweighs that.

Welcome to a game with me. I’m always a candidate to die D1 and I’m usually easier to read the longer the game goes on.

[Le petit poussin]

town:
scotty
petit
jack
lp
tsp
??

Why is Petit town?

[Scotty]

scotty where are you, i think you're town now, let's be friends and win the game

looks at watch
Oh shit I’m town now? Well HOWDYDOO TIME TO GO HOLD SOME BABIES AND DRINK MY MILK

[Scotty]

@NotAnAxehole do you have any reason to townread wilgy?

I think he's town.

why

[Scotty]

I remember ISOing Wilgy last night and coming to the conclusion that he’s just a wolf. Look at his reads on D1. Someone else (marmot?) called them out as surface level and that’s the best word to describe them. I would even go so far as to say he gets confused in who he trusts and suspects. I’ll go into more detail later once I’ve had my coffee and did my morning routine.

Jack can also just be a wolf. That uberconfidence in his casing of dunya is easily motivated by a wolf agenda to try and take out a player that can be very beneficial as town.
I’ll do more looking into this later too.

NAA can also die.

The 4th can be aaaaaanyone

You have a morning routine?

Yep!
7:30: wake up
7:45: wake up again
8:05: morning poop
8:07: chase the dog to get her harness on
8:15: take the dog out
9:00: get coffee and a bagel from the cart outside
9:05: give the dog a bath because she a goddamned filth monster
9:30: watch a silly video
9:40: wake up again
10:15: vote NAA
10:17: get ready for work
10:20: go to work

[Scotty]

[VOTE: NAA] aubergine

[Scotty]

given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear

I'd frankly assume Mafia is 4 Level 1 Warriors and tonight they will get 5 kills.

TSP is also likely poisoned by a town, based on how yesterday went.

If TSP is wolf, wolves are most likely healing him anyway, so it doesn’t matter. I doubt TSP is dying today.

Yeah, I still think my original theory here is correct.

We should chop him otherwise this is prolly lost

Yeah, probably, actually.

I’d be down to lynch him today. I think he has enough equity what with his countwrwagon for a time there yesterday that dissipated and his general spam posting. He’s talking like it’s spur of the moment but it’s coming off as intentionally chaotic and hypocritical. Like he can’t keep track of what he thought 30 minutes prior.

[Urist]

@NotAnAxehole do you have any reason to townread wilgy?

I think he's town.

You need to reconsider some of your town reads because your PoE is wrong.

[Scotty]

Town reading urist today