RPG Mafia MAFIA WIN

#3951

voting urist

#3952

wilgy almost certainly is more likely mafia than anyone in the game rn

except maybe sig but I can't really wrap my ahead around that one

#3953

given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear

#3954

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:22 am given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear

I'd frankly assume Mafia is 4 Level 1 Warriors and tonight they will get 5 kills.

#3955

That would be the safer place to bet on.

#3956

LP claiming HK no N1 visits as mafia is somewhat couragous but I'm not a fan of the sig track (like, it should be assumed that he'd be shot before D4) and I still think that LP is a hit

#3957

PLus you were a few seconds from being lynched. Mafia killing you is a stupid ass move they would never do.

#3958

In theory, we should heal everybody we can because wolves are almost certain to heal themselves so it's like

Tony town -> we should heal

Tony wolf -> Tony being healed anyway so it doesn't matter if we heal or not

There's not a logical line for not healing Tony (or almost any player that gets poisoned) unless you both think he's a wolf and don't think that there's a L1 pally in 4 wolves.

#3959

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:06 am sorta think wolves likely missed some poisons

I don't think that you were poisoned by wolves

unless like 2+ roleblocks landed

even then I doubt it though

#3960

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:15 am and i know that feels like a w/w from tsp but I don't care

you two aren't w/w

#3961

I don't think Tony was poisoned by wolves, either. I'm just saying, even my townread aside, it's bad strategy to actually let poison kill anybody as long as there are 4 wolves itg.

#3962

Frankly TSP might not be a bad lynch just to prevent him from being healed.

#3963

[VOTE: LinearPoint] aubergine

#3964

LinearPoint wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:32 am Frankly TSP might not be a bad lynch just to prevent him from being healed.

My brain is breaking

#3965

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:35 am
LinearPoint wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:32 am Frankly TSP might not be a bad lynch just to prevent him from being healed.
My brain is breaking

it actually isn't that bad a thought from a TSP!w perspective

#3966

Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:33 am [VOTE: LinearPoint] aubergine

Thanks for confirming my suspicion you're Mafia with him.
Still rpetty sure Syn is too.
Not sure between Petit, Sig, and NAA.

#3967

Honestly Jack's idea that Mafia poisoned their own member so they wont be lynched and be healed actually isn't a horrible idea in theory.
I still think it was a Town posion though and TSP is always flippng Mafia.

#3968

LP do you still believe that I recanted a sus on TSP and that me voting you and Dunya was "uncharacteristic" of my D2 activity

#3969

LinearPoint wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:26 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:22 am given the number of poisons I would unironically like to assert that it is almost guaranteed that I have been poisoned by the mafia (as well as, plausibly, the town) and I am therefore clear
I'd frankly assume Mafia is 4 Level 1 Warriors and tonight they will get 5 kills.

oh this is also possible

#3970

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:35 am
LinearPoint wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:32 am Frankly TSP might not be a bad lynch just to prevent him from being healed.
My brain is breaking

Specifically about the strategy of if a generic player is both the player who the town wants to yeet and is also poisoned.

And if a wolf would heal a townie in that position.

#3971

anyways if LP is correct we have to kill a wolf today and so I would therefore recommend not chopping me

#3972

Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:37 am LP do you still believe that I recanted a sus on TSP and that me voting you and Dunya was "uncharacteristic" of my D2 activity

I literally have not played with you to my knowledge.
So I have no idea what your "town meta" is.

Second I won't just believe you that pushing Duyna and TSP is a thing only Town you would do with no evidence.

Third you recat your scum read on TSP and say that saving him is a good idea.
That is very much something a Mafia!anyone would do ot save their buddy TSP.
just don't lynch him and heal him with a 95% accuracy.

#3973

look, assuming town plays this semi rationally (which is not a guarantee), I am not dying today, so there's no reason (besides for me being glaringly towny) not to kill me

#3974

If LP is correct, wouldn’t wolves multi class into L1warrior and L1paladin? I’ve never really groked multiclassing.

#3975

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:41 am anyways if LP is correct we have to kill a wolf today and so I would therefore recommend not chopping me

I mean that was my first thought in this game and somehting I would have 100% pushed Mafia to do.
4 Lv1 Warrior spam is OP AF.

#3976

There's probably a few different ways you could break the game from a Mafia PoV.

#3977

there's a bayes argument for killing lp here

#3978

#3979

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:45 am there's a bayes argument for killing lp here

Bayes? That's the first I've ever heard that term.

#3980

lp i need to you to find me town like in the next 10 minutes

#3981

LinearPoint wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:42 am
Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:37 am LP do you still believe that I recanted a sus on TSP and that me voting you and Dunya was "uncharacteristic" of my D2 activity
I literally have not played with you to my knowledge.
So I have no idea what your "town meta" is.

Second I won't just believe you that pushing Duyna and TSP is a thing only Town you would do with no evidence.

Third you recat your scum read on TSP and say that saving him is a good idea.
That is very much something a Mafia!anyone would do ot save their buddy TSP.
just don't lynch him and heal him with a 95% accuracy.

1. We played in TF2 and I'm actually slightly surprised you don't remember my slot bc I did have an important contribution to a scum yeet
2. I'm meh on TSP and I can't remember having anything beyond a slight read in either direction on him at any point. Frankly I don't see you can say that I, at any point on D2, had a harder scumread on him then you or Dunya. Especially in the hours close to EoD

Also it was Jack who proposed saving him. I'm honestly fine rn if he dies and should probably look more into it

#3982

dolby do you have any coherent game thoughts right now

#3983

LP, vote me we're doming

#3984

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:47 am dolby do you have any coherent game thoughts right now

beyond LP w and CFC gang v, no

#3985

town:
scotty
petit
jack
lp
tsp
??

#3986

Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:48 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:47 am dolby do you have any coherent game thoughts right now
beyond LP w and CFC gang v, no

ok both of these are wrong (who's cfc gang again)

#3987

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:48 am
Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:48 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:47 am dolby do you have any coherent game thoughts right now
beyond LP w and CFC gang v, no
ok both of these are wrong (who's cfc gang again)

me/petit/syn/hk (rip)

#3988

god that lp quote unquote slip is really bad but real slips don't happen

#3989

but naa is town so then syn would have to be a wolf

#3990

the naa-syn lockstep is obnoxious

#3991

it's actually pretty uncanny

#3992

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:49 am god that lp quote unquote slip is really bad but real slips don't happen

LP claiming tracking sig was bad

#3993

i possibly disagree i think it was plausibly good

#3994

@sig please show up and save the game

#3995

nah, it's a cop out action with unproveable results within the "town" pathway

#3996

Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:53 am nah, it's a cop out action with unproveable results within the "town" pathway

yeah of course it is and capping it off with a watch on the dead guy

#3997

dolby dunya said that LP was town and that was basically the only discernable read that she was holding so

#3998

TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:54 am
Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:53 am nah, it's a cop out action with unproveable results within the "town" pathway
yeah of course it is and capping it off with a watch on the dead guy

the watch on the dead guy was not n2

it was n1

#3999

still sorta can't believe she flipped town tbh and I know I'm not supposed to say that but cmon

#4000

Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:54 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:54 am
Dolby wrote: ↑Sat Mar 19, 2022 1:53 am nah, it's a cop out action with unproveable results within the "town" pathway
yeah of course it is and capping it off with a watch on the dead guy
the watch on the dead guy was not n2

it was n1

I never implied otherwise

Akshually it's an immersive table top social gaming experience, not an "rpg"