Secret Playerlist - ENDGAME

FINAL FOOT

Poll ended at Sun Jan 01, 2023 8:00 pm

DeeZees
0
No votes
DrWilgy
0
No votes
Inawordyes
0
No votes
Neon
1
13%
Porscha
0
No votes
THE FOOT KICKS ALL
7
88%
 
Total votes: 8
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6333

Post by falcon45ca »

[VOTE: santygrass] aubergine
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6334

Post by Inawordyes »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:41 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:39 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:38 am Santy is a strong townread/townsidingnpcread. No agenda detected. Seems to actually gad about hunting. It's nice that Santy townreads me and scumreads my scumread but my read on Santy is less about that and more about process. Only the NK analysis process seems a little questionable.
You didn't make a case on Falcon but Santy vibed with that case. What case were they so happy about you making? Where is it? You said yourself that your read on Falcon had nothing to do with NK analysis, but the posts they quoted did not include any other content about Falcon.

Seanzie are you a wolf or like you cant read at all?
I already said that the post I quoted was why i TOWNREAD Jack, not what convinced me on the case.

I voted Falcon because previous PoE + Jack's recent posts and confidence on falcon being more likely a hit
Okay, so where is the confidence increase coming from? I think the part that’s missing and what is tripping me up here. Because like,

Falcon was in your PoE already, okay I get that
You’re vibing with Jack’s read and you give bigger weight to Jack’s read being correct because you vibe with his other reads and think he’s town, okay I get that

But where does the confidence aspect come in? It feels like the confidence didn’t have a basis and so coming in with so much confidence about this read specifically doesn’t feel like it’s coming from the PoE or Jack’s read, and it feels to me like it’s manufactured confidence, and that’s throwing out tonal alarm bells

I’m not actively trying to fight you, I’m trying to understand because it doesn’t add up and that’s generally something that is synonymous with mafia (and I’m also terrible at figuring out what exactly pings me tonally and equally as terrible at explaining it). But there’s also mixed signals because my gut is telling me something is off, but it’s not necessarily telling me that something is scummy, which means that I have literally no idea how to read you or this situation rn
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6335

Post by santygrass »

I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6336

Post by Seanzie »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:49 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:30 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:28 am And if Santy isn't IAWY is.
How are my and INAWY alignments connected at all? Just wowee reads all along tbh
From the context I gathered from his posts before this, I’m pretty sure he’s saying that from his PoV Jack doesn’t have a valid reason to vote for Falcon, so you hopping on the wagon is scummy for you because you’re directly fanning the flames of a wagon with little basis by being opportunistic in supporting it. But if you’re not mafia, then me questioning you over that vote looks like me opportunistically harping on it to push into you

I don’t exactly agree but I see the mindset
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6337

Post by Seanzie »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:51 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:30 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:28 am And if Santy isn't IAWY is.
How are my and INAWY alignments connected at all? Just wowee reads all along tbh
I am starting to come to the conclusion that Jack is town, and so I am asking myself who are the wolves pushing this tvt? Flame fanning is EVER SO TEMPTING for wolves. You look like a flame fanner, but there is a small possibility that IAWY wanted to capitalize on you looking like a flame fanner and started pushing you here (this second read is significantly weaker than the first).
Ah, this makes slightly more sense then what I was thinking

What is making you come around to V!Jack?
I believe he believes his thoughts on Falcon.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6338

Post by falcon45ca »

Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:01 pm
Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:51 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:30 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:28 am And if Santy isn't IAWY is.
How are my and INAWY alignments connected at all? Just wowee reads all along tbh
I am starting to come to the conclusion that Jack is town, and so I am asking myself who are the wolves pushing this tvt? Flame fanning is EVER SO TEMPTING for wolves. You look like a flame fanner, but there is a small possibility that IAWY wanted to capitalize on you looking like a flame fanner and started pushing you here (this second read is significantly weaker than the first).
Ah, this makes slightly more sense then what I was thinking

What is making you come around to V!Jack?
I believe he believes his thoughts on Falcon.
Same
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6339

Post by Seanzie »

Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm
Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:49 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:30 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:28 am And if Santy isn't IAWY is.
How are my and INAWY alignments connected at all? Just wowee reads all along tbh
From the context I gathered from his posts before this, I’m pretty sure he’s saying that from his PoV Jack doesn’t have a valid reason to vote for Falcon, so you hopping on the wagon is scummy for you because you’re directly fanning the flames of a wagon with little basis by being opportunistic in supporting it. But if you’re not mafia, then me questioning you over that vote looks like me opportunistically harping on it to push into you

I don’t exactly agree but I see the mindset
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With like an extra scoop of "Santy aligning with Jack will bolster Jack's confidence, possibly pushing them towards Falcon harder and possibly towards reading me as wolf simply due to opposing positioning on Falcon.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6340

Post by Inawordyes »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
Broooooooo, that’s literally your own words in the post I replied to. You’re the one who is saying that having confidence in Falcon being more likely a hit is part of your reason for placing the vote. How do you not understand?

Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh :omg:
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6341

Post by Inawordyes »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
My brain immediately went to “this is a TMI slip and Santy/Falcon is W/W”

I need to take a break from the thread
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6342

Post by santygrass »

Again I am going tl make a comparison that is not 'equal to the case' but more like an exaggeration to be more clear.

Player A is a townread. Player B is a PoE slot.

Then comes Player A with a copcheck that Player B is mafia.


That *is* a confidence boost on Player B being more likely to be mafia, and I shouldnt need another reason (?)

Like, here the cop check would be replaced with Jack recent posts about Falcon, but id what are you even digging into bcuz yeh I think its a pretty basic stuff
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6343

Post by ☆Princess Abigail☆ »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:53 am
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:48 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:36 am
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:34 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:23 am And I'm asking because that post doesnt reflect that read lol
I think you think you've found an aha moment that doesn't exist.
No, it's me asking you if your read is changing or has a waver because of what that post reflects. So can you talk to me about your current read ln Porscha regardless?

Like wtf Neon, why you refuse to cooperate I am not going to find you like that wowee
Because me saying I'm gonna laugh if every player on the wagon is town

Doesn't mean I'm no longer town reading Porscha anymore santy.

It means I think my worldview is correct but everyone keeps saying the wagon was scum driven. And i don't see how you think it's anything else. Like I don't see how you think a lot of things your saying today.
I would expect more a

> It will be funny when the whole Ran wagon flips town

If you were really holding the Porscha townread.

The If conditional made me question the read you had on Porscha at the moment.

What other things you think 'Im not believing' ?
I do not know what Porscha will flip. So why would I not say if? This makes no sense lol.

I think you believe everything you say. I said I don't understand how you believe them. And i don't lol.
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You are Zenon, Town 1-shot Desperado. You’re known for posting a lot (namely in anime gif form), playing a lot, and, most importantly, making snap decisions – particularly in the endgame. In a recent game, Wild West FM, you were taken to final 3 and immediately voted the last wolf, resulting in a LyLo that was strictly speaking over in four minutes and two posts. This game, we’re giving you the chance to accomplish a similar feat.

High-Risk High-Reward (Day 2+, 1-shot, Immediate): Spend 6 Snapvote Charges, post Fuck it we ball glgl in bold red text, and ping a player. (When you use this ability, you should also inform the hosts privately.) If they are Town, you will strongman die. Otherwise, you will strongman kill that player. This action resolves instantly.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6344

Post by ☆Princess Abigail☆ »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:57 am
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:51 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:40 am Also @Neon can you talk about what you didnt liked about my Lily push?

Saying that *after* Lily was yeeted and not hint at it in any way before felt super disingenous to me fwiw
I don't recall saying that. I do recall saying stuff about how I wasn't here for EoD and it sticks that I wasn't cause I couldn't find lily.

I may have said that and forgotten now *shrugs*
I went and reread and you're right I think I misingerpreted your words so my bad tbh
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You are Zenon, Town 1-shot Desperado. You’re known for posting a lot (namely in anime gif form), playing a lot, and, most importantly, making snap decisions – particularly in the endgame. In a recent game, Wild West FM, you were taken to final 3 and immediately voted the last wolf, resulting in a LyLo that was strictly speaking over in four minutes and two posts. This game, we’re giving you the chance to accomplish a similar feat.

High-Risk High-Reward (Day 2+, 1-shot, Immediate): Spend 6 Snapvote Charges, post Fuck it we ball glgl in bold red text, and ping a player. (When you use this ability, you should also inform the hosts privately.) If they are Town, you will strongman die. Otherwise, you will strongman kill that player. This action resolves instantly.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6345

Post by santygrass »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:03 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
Broooooooo, that’s literally your own words in the post I replied to. You’re the one who is saying that having confidence in Falcon being more likely a hit is part of your reason for placing the vote. How do you not understand?

Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh :omg:
Because a townread sussing that slot increases the confidence I have of them being a hit?

If the case was done by someone I dont trust to be town it would be different bcuz scum agenda could be involved
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6346

Post by Seanzie »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:37 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:35 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am Or you can ISO me, I have a towncase on myself in SoD D3 I think and if you actually read the ISO and want to solve should reach to the correct conclussion that I am town anyways /shrug
I'm not going to ISO you.
But why did you ISO Michelle then? Whats this favouritism smh
I went back and skimmed through EoD2 to give myself some context on the wagonomics thing. Walk me through why you think EoD2 clears you. I am NOT going to look through 7 pages of your ISO for a post that I don't know what it looks like.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6347

Post by santygrass »

Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:04 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:53 am
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:48 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:36 am
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:34 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:23 am And I'm asking because that post doesnt reflect that read lol
I think you think you've found an aha moment that doesn't exist.
No, it's me asking you if your read is changing or has a waver because of what that post reflects. So can you talk to me about your current read ln Porscha regardless?

Like wtf Neon, why you refuse to cooperate I am not going to find you like that wowee
Because me saying I'm gonna laugh if every player on the wagon is town

Doesn't mean I'm no longer town reading Porscha anymore santy.

It means I think my worldview is correct but everyone keeps saying the wagon was scum driven. And i don't see how you think it's anything else. Like I don't see how you think a lot of things your saying today.
I would expect more a

> It will be funny when the whole Ran wagon flips town

If you were really holding the Porscha townread.

The If conditional made me question the read you had on Porscha at the moment.

What other things you think 'Im not believing' ?
I do not know what Porscha will flip. So why would I not say if? This makes no sense lol.

I think you believe everything you say. I said I don't understand how you believe them. And i don't lol.
Yeh I can see that but idk how to express it but /tonally/ I would expect that line I said from a strong townread on someone, hence why I asked.

That's also because I usually go with high confidence in my reads so I wouldn't had putted that if or would had expressed it different for sure, but that could be a more 'me' thing , and the reason I think I asked too
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6348

Post by santygrass »

Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:07 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:37 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:35 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am Or you can ISO me, I have a towncase on myself in SoD D3 I think and if you actually read the ISO and want to solve should reach to the correct conclussion that I am town anyways /shrug
I'm not going to ISO you.
But why did you ISO Michelle then? Whats this favouritism smh
I went back and skimmed through EoD2 to give myself some context on the wagonomics thing. Walk me through why you think EoD2 clears you. I am NOT going to look through 7 pages of your ISO for a post that I don't know what it looks like.
How a scum team of 4 ends uo with a mafia being tied at the end. And look at the votes on my end and the votes on my counterwagon, and the overall EoD when I came in ig. I think its kinda clearing town indicative for me tbh
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6349

Post by ☆Princess Abigail☆ »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:09 pm
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:04 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:53 am
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:48 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:36 am
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:34 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:23 am And I'm asking because that post doesnt reflect that read lol
I think you think you've found an aha moment that doesn't exist.
No, it's me asking you if your read is changing or has a waver because of what that post reflects. So can you talk to me about your current read ln Porscha regardless?

Like wtf Neon, why you refuse to cooperate I am not going to find you like that wowee
Because me saying I'm gonna laugh if every player on the wagon is town

Doesn't mean I'm no longer town reading Porscha anymore santy.

It means I think my worldview is correct but everyone keeps saying the wagon was scum driven. And i don't see how you think it's anything else. Like I don't see how you think a lot of things your saying today.
I would expect more a

> It will be funny when the whole Ran wagon flips town

If you were really holding the Porscha townread.

The If conditional made me question the read you had on Porscha at the moment.

What other things you think 'Im not believing' ?
I do not know what Porscha will flip. So why would I not say if? This makes no sense lol.

I think you believe everything you say. I said I don't understand how you believe them. And i don't lol.
Yeh I can see that but idk how to express it but /tonally/ I would expect that line I said from a strong townread on someone, hence why I asked.

That's also because I usually go with high confidence in my reads so I wouldn't had putted that if or would had expressed it different for sure, but that could be a more 'me' thing , and the reason I think I asked too
I mean. I just typed what I thought. And I thought it because I think it is more likely than not.

I think, however, if I said what you think I should've said I'd be accused of TMI and pushed anyways.
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You are Zenon, Town 1-shot Desperado. You’re known for posting a lot (namely in anime gif form), playing a lot, and, most importantly, making snap decisions – particularly in the endgame. In a recent game, Wild West FM, you were taken to final 3 and immediately voted the last wolf, resulting in a LyLo that was strictly speaking over in four minutes and two posts. This game, we’re giving you the chance to accomplish a similar feat.

High-Risk High-Reward (Day 2+, 1-shot, Immediate): Spend 6 Snapvote Charges, post Fuck it we ball glgl in bold red text, and ping a player. (When you use this ability, you should also inform the hosts privately.) If they are Town, you will strongman die. Otherwise, you will strongman kill that player. This action resolves instantly.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6350

Post by santygrass »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:10 pm
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:07 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:37 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:35 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am Or you can ISO me, I have a towncase on myself in SoD D3 I think and if you actually read the ISO and want to solve should reach to the correct conclussion that I am town anyways /shrug
I'm not going to ISO you.
But why did you ISO Michelle then? Whats this favouritism smh
I went back and skimmed through EoD2 to give myself some context on the wagonomics thing. Walk me through why you think EoD2 clears you. I am NOT going to look through 7 pages of your ISO for a post that I don't know what it looks like.
How a scum team of 4 ends uo with a mafia being tied at the end. And look at the votes on my end and the votes on my counterwagon, and the overall EoD when I came in ig. I think its kinda clearing town indicative for me tbh

And I wasnt a CFD , I was lead wagon for quite a while that day , so the wagonomics for a mafia team that doesn't know how many players could be on each wagon dont add up at all
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6351

Post by ☆Princess Abigail☆ »

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You are Zenon, Town 1-shot Desperado. You’re known for posting a lot (namely in anime gif form), playing a lot, and, most importantly, making snap decisions – particularly in the endgame. In a recent game, Wild West FM, you were taken to final 3 and immediately voted the last wolf, resulting in a LyLo that was strictly speaking over in four minutes and two posts. This game, we’re giving you the chance to accomplish a similar feat.

High-Risk High-Reward (Day 2+, 1-shot, Immediate): Spend 6 Snapvote Charges, post Fuck it we ball glgl in bold red text, and ping a player. (When you use this ability, you should also inform the hosts privately.) If they are Town, you will strongman die. Otherwise, you will strongman kill that player. This action resolves instantly.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6352

Post by Seanzie »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:10 pm
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:07 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:37 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:35 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am Or you can ISO me, I have a towncase on myself in SoD D3 I think and if you actually read the ISO and want to solve should reach to the correct conclussion that I am town anyways /shrug
I'm not going to ISO you.
But why did you ISO Michelle then? Whats this favouritism smh
I went back and skimmed through EoD2 to give myself some context on the wagonomics thing. Walk me through why you think EoD2 clears you. I am NOT going to look through 7 pages of your ISO for a post that I don't know what it looks like.
How a scum team of 4 ends uo with a mafia being tied at the end. And look at the votes on my end and the votes on my counterwagon, and the overall EoD when I came in ig. I think its kinda clearing town indicative for me tbh
Here was the VC with an hour left in the day:
tutuu wrote: Wed Dec 07, 2022 7:53 pm Not Voting (7): MacDougall (33), Inawordyes (20), JaggedJimmyJay (35), risiinq- (45), sabie12 (2), Fext (5), Porscha (73)
chelsea (2): Golden (47), ~Prince J~ (18)
santygrass (6): nutella (171), Creature (121), DeeZees (44), pyxxy (14), Guillotine (192), Ranmilia (125)
marmot (2): Marmot (88), sprityo (24)
michelle (4): NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME (21), hollowkatt (81), Chelsea (18), TonyStarkPrime (31)
scotty (4): Lilypetal (39), EnderWiggin (165), RondoDimBuckle (163), tutuu (83)
hollowkatt (6): iaafr (236), Jackofhearts2005 (108), Hally (188), Dyslexicon (100), Vivax (42), DrWilgy (30)
drwilgy (1): SilverKeith (66)
lily (1): falcon45ca (22)
guillotina (1): katze (131)
nutella (1): Michelle (116)
master radishes (1): Sloonei (33)
c4e5g3d5 (1): c4e5g3d5 (85)
jackofhearts2005 (1): Schiavetto (30)
sloonei (3): santygrass (83), Scotty (52), Ricochet (10)
manny (1): Manny (223)
golden (1): lucy (19)
guillotine (1): Seanzie (10)
test (1): Lumi (78)
unvote (2): WindwardAway (105), arogame123 (61)
arogame (1): Sabiplz (243)
golden the coward (1): G-Man (23)
dr. wilgy (1): ilario (43)
enderwiggin (1): Neon (88)
If a single member of the wolves weren't around for EoD, then unless the other 3 are going to block-vote, that gives wolves only saving power of 2 - your selfpres plus a wolf saving buddy.

That means that HK or Michelle are the only ones who could have been viable saves for you. HK is the natural choice at this point, so as long as one other person is a wolf on HK, that makes sense.

if two members of the wolves weren't around for EoD, then your case is even weaker.

Even if all four wolves are around for EoD, unless they were block-voting together, they can't just magically stop your wagon from tieing.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6353

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:04 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
My brain immediately went to “this is a TMI slip and Santy/Falcon is W/W”

I need to take a break from the thread
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6354

Post by Seanzie »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:12 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:10 pm
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:07 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:37 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:35 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am Or you can ISO me, I have a towncase on myself in SoD D3 I think and if you actually read the ISO and want to solve should reach to the correct conclussion that I am town anyways /shrug
I'm not going to ISO you.
But why did you ISO Michelle then? Whats this favouritism smh
I went back and skimmed through EoD2 to give myself some context on the wagonomics thing. Walk me through why you think EoD2 clears you. I am NOT going to look through 7 pages of your ISO for a post that I don't know what it looks like.
How a scum team of 4 ends uo with a mafia being tied at the end. And look at the votes on my end and the votes on my counterwagon, and the overall EoD when I came in ig. I think its kinda clearing town indicative for me tbh

And I wasnt a CFD , I was lead wagon for quite a while that day , so the wagonomics for a mafia team that doesn't know how many players could be on each wagon dont add up at all
You being a lead wagon all day suggests that wolves would not block-vote together to save you.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6355

Post by Inawordyes »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:04 pm Again I am going tl make a comparison that is not 'equal to the case' but more like an exaggeration to be more clear.

Player A is a townread. Player B is a PoE slot.

Then comes Player A with a copcheck that Player B is mafia.


That *is* a confidence boost on Player B being more likely to be mafia, and I shouldnt need another reason (?)

Like, here the cop check would be replaced with Jack recent posts about Falcon, but id what are you even digging into bcuz yeh I think its a pretty basic stuff
I realize you say that it’s an exaggeration, but comparing Jack’s reads to a cop check is way too much confidence on a read that you should not have that much confidence about. It’s like you’re absolutely convinced that Falcon is mafia to the point where you know Falcon is mafia. The scout to my understanding is basically just an “NPC or Player” cop, so there is no way as town that you can know that Falcon is mafia; the only way that you can know that Falcon is mafia is if you are also mafia

The confidence you have in this read being correct is way too high. So either you’re both mafis together, or you’re manufacturing the confidence to justify pushing Falcon. That makes you look extremely scummy
:omg:
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6356

Post by Inawordyes »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:06 pm
Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:03 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
Broooooooo, that’s literally your own words in the post I replied to. You’re the one who is saying that having confidence in Falcon being more likely a hit is part of your reason for placing the vote. How do you not understand?

Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh :omg:
Because a townread sussing that slot increases the confidence I have of them being a hit?

If the case was done by someone I dont trust to be town it would be different bcuz scum agenda could be involved
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

Like, am I the only one seeing this? Am I going crazy?
:omg:
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6357

Post by Seanzie »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:24 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:06 pm
Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:03 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
Broooooooo, that’s literally your own words in the post I replied to. You’re the one who is saying that having confidence in Falcon being more likely a hit is part of your reason for placing the vote. How do you not understand?

Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh :omg:
Because a townread sussing that slot increases the confidence I have of them being a hit?

If the case was done by someone I dont trust to be town it would be different bcuz scum agenda could be involved
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

Like, am I the only one seeing this? Am I going crazy?
I'm not picking up what you're putting down.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6358

Post by santygrass »

I think your point fundamentally has zero sense at all and after this game ends I hope you never use it again because is dumb.

I am not saying that I 'know' like how are you remarking, I said it made me feel better / have more confidence on falcon being a hit, just by the fact that a townread expressed confidence on them being scum and Me vibing with that read. There isnt much science about it and I just feel dumb keeping this argument at this point tbh. Like, its basic stuff still
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6359

Post by Inawordyes »

Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:28 pm
Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:24 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:06 pm
Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:03 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:00 pm I dont understand the confidence part?

If I see acorrect read, its because I think the view is correct and the slot they are sussing is likely to be a hit. So why wouldnt do that increase my confidence?
Broooooooo, that’s literally your own words in the post I replied to. You’re the one who is saying that having confidence in Falcon being more likely a hit is part of your reason for placing the vote. How do you not understand?

Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh :omg:
Because a townread sussing that slot increases the confidence I have of them being a hit?

If the case was done by someone I dont trust to be town it would be different bcuz scum agenda could be involved
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

Like, am I the only one seeing this? Am I going crazy?
I'm not picking up what you're putting down.
:omg: :omg:
:omg:
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6360

Post by santygrass »

Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:16 pm Image
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*Steals gif*
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6361

Post by santygrass »

Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:17 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:10 pm
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:07 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:37 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:35 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am Or you can ISO me, I have a towncase on myself in SoD D3 I think and if you actually read the ISO and want to solve should reach to the correct conclussion that I am town anyways /shrug
I'm not going to ISO you.
But why did you ISO Michelle then? Whats this favouritism smh
I went back and skimmed through EoD2 to give myself some context on the wagonomics thing. Walk me through why you think EoD2 clears you. I am NOT going to look through 7 pages of your ISO for a post that I don't know what it looks like.
How a scum team of 4 ends uo with a mafia being tied at the end. And look at the votes on my end and the votes on my counterwagon, and the overall EoD when I came in ig. I think its kinda clearing town indicative for me tbh
Here was the VC with an hour left in the day:
tutuu wrote: Wed Dec 07, 2022 7:53 pm Not Voting (7): MacDougall (33), Inawordyes (20), JaggedJimmyJay (35), risiinq- (45), sabie12 (2), Fext (5), Porscha (73)
chelsea (2): Golden (47), ~Prince J~ (18)
santygrass (6): nutella (171), Creature (121), DeeZees (44), pyxxy (14), Guillotine (192), Ranmilia (125)
marmot (2): Marmot (88), sprityo (24)
michelle (4): NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME (21), hollowkatt (81), Chelsea (18), TonyStarkPrime (31)
scotty (4): Lilypetal (39), EnderWiggin (165), RondoDimBuckle (163), tutuu (83)
hollowkatt (6): iaafr (236), Jackofhearts2005 (108), Hally (188), Dyslexicon (100), Vivax (42), DrWilgy (30)
drwilgy (1): SilverKeith (66)
lily (1): falcon45ca (22)
guillotina (1): katze (131)
nutella (1): Michelle (116)
master radishes (1): Sloonei (33)
c4e5g3d5 (1): c4e5g3d5 (85)
jackofhearts2005 (1): Schiavetto (30)
sloonei (3): santygrass (83), Scotty (52), Ricochet (10)
manny (1): Manny (223)
golden (1): lucy (19)
guillotine (1): Seanzie (10)
test (1): Lumi (78)
unvote (2): WindwardAway (105), arogame123 (61)
arogame (1): Sabiplz (243)
golden the coward (1): G-Man (23)
dr. wilgy (1): ilario (43)
enderwiggin (1): Neon (88)
If a single member of the wolves weren't around for EoD, then unless the other 3 are going to block-vote, that gives wolves only saving power of 2 - your selfpres plus a wolf saving buddy.

That means that HK or Michelle are the only ones who could have been viable saves for you. HK is the natural choice at this point, so as long as one other person is a wolf on HK, that makes sense.

if two members of the wolves weren't around for EoD, then your case is even weaker.

Even if all four wolves are around for EoD, unless they were block-voting together, they can't just magically stop your wagon from tieing.
Now think again consider the NPCs here. A 2 player or 3 player block ALWAYS would save someone here. So If I am a wolf, a partner would be voting with me kinda always otherwise it would be just a dumb play. And because scum doesnt know too who is a player and their vote counts and who doesnt a tie is simply not viable to pull / risk being scum lol
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6362

Post by ☆Princess Abigail☆ »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:32 pm
Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:16 pm Image
Also

*Steals gif*
I live to provide
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You are Zenon, Town 1-shot Desperado. You’re known for posting a lot (namely in anime gif form), playing a lot, and, most importantly, making snap decisions – particularly in the endgame. In a recent game, Wild West FM, you were taken to final 3 and immediately voted the last wolf, resulting in a LyLo that was strictly speaking over in four minutes and two posts. This game, we’re giving you the chance to accomplish a similar feat.

High-Risk High-Reward (Day 2+, 1-shot, Immediate): Spend 6 Snapvote Charges, post Fuck it we ball glgl in bold red text, and ping a player. (When you use this ability, you should also inform the hosts privately.) If they are Town, you will strongman die. Otherwise, you will strongman kill that player. This action resolves instantly.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6363

Post by Inawordyes »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:31 pm I think your point fundamentally has zero sense at all and after this game ends I hope you never use it again because is dumb.

I am not saying that I 'know' like how are you remarking, I said it made me feel better / have more confidence on falcon being a hit, just by the fact that a townread expressed confidence on them being scum and Me vibing with that read. There isnt much science about it and I just feel dumb keeping this argument at this point tbh. Like, its basic stuff still
:omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg:

You know what, fine, I give up, I can’t explain myself and articulate this read properly
:omg:
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6364

Post by Seanzie »

santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:35 pm
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:17 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:10 pm
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:07 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:37 am
Seanzie wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:35 am
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 11:32 am Or you can ISO me, I have a towncase on myself in SoD D3 I think and if you actually read the ISO and want to solve should reach to the correct conclussion that I am town anyways /shrug
I'm not going to ISO you.
But why did you ISO Michelle then? Whats this favouritism smh
I went back and skimmed through EoD2 to give myself some context on the wagonomics thing. Walk me through why you think EoD2 clears you. I am NOT going to look through 7 pages of your ISO for a post that I don't know what it looks like.
How a scum team of 4 ends uo with a mafia being tied at the end. And look at the votes on my end and the votes on my counterwagon, and the overall EoD when I came in ig. I think its kinda clearing town indicative for me tbh
Here was the VC with an hour left in the day:
tutuu wrote: Wed Dec 07, 2022 7:53 pm Not Voting (7): MacDougall (33), Inawordyes (20), JaggedJimmyJay (35), risiinq- (45), sabie12 (2), Fext (5), Porscha (73)
chelsea (2): Golden (47), ~Prince J~ (18)
santygrass (6): nutella (171), Creature (121), DeeZees (44), pyxxy (14), Guillotine (192), Ranmilia (125)
marmot (2): Marmot (88), sprityo (24)
michelle (4): NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME (21), hollowkatt (81), Chelsea (18), TonyStarkPrime (31)
scotty (4): Lilypetal (39), EnderWiggin (165), RondoDimBuckle (163), tutuu (83)
hollowkatt (6): iaafr (236), Jackofhearts2005 (108), Hally (188), Dyslexicon (100), Vivax (42), DrWilgy (30)
drwilgy (1): SilverKeith (66)
lily (1): falcon45ca (22)
guillotina (1): katze (131)
nutella (1): Michelle (116)
master radishes (1): Sloonei (33)
c4e5g3d5 (1): c4e5g3d5 (85)
jackofhearts2005 (1): Schiavetto (30)
sloonei (3): santygrass (83), Scotty (52), Ricochet (10)
manny (1): Manny (223)
golden (1): lucy (19)
guillotine (1): Seanzie (10)
test (1): Lumi (78)
unvote (2): WindwardAway (105), arogame123 (61)
arogame (1): Sabiplz (243)
golden the coward (1): G-Man (23)
dr. wilgy (1): ilario (43)
enderwiggin (1): Neon (88)
If a single member of the wolves weren't around for EoD, then unless the other 3 are going to block-vote, that gives wolves only saving power of 2 - your selfpres plus a wolf saving buddy.

That means that HK or Michelle are the only ones who could have been viable saves for you. HK is the natural choice at this point, so as long as one other person is a wolf on HK, that makes sense.

if two members of the wolves weren't around for EoD, then your case is even weaker.

Even if all four wolves are around for EoD, unless they were block-voting together, they can't just magically stop your wagon from tieing.
Now think again consider the NPCs here. A 2 player or 3 player block ALWAYS would save someone here. So If I am a wolf, a partner would be voting with me kinda always otherwise it would be just a dumb play. And because scum doesnt know too who is a player and their vote counts and who doesnt a tie is simply not viable to pull / risk being scum lol
"A 2 player block ALWAYS would save someone here" is categorically false. A 3-player block might, but that requires 3 people to all be around for EoD and all to vote together on a wagon that has been a lead wagon all day. Hell, I'd say if you flip wolf, there's probably a wolf on you at that EoD, hedging their bets that the towncred they'd get from that will be worth more than keeping alive someone who is majorly suspected in thread.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6365

Post by ☆Princess Abigail☆ »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:41 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:31 pm I think your point fundamentally has zero sense at all and after this game ends I hope you never use it again because is dumb.

I am not saying that I 'know' like how are you remarking, I said it made me feel better / have more confidence on falcon being a hit, just by the fact that a townread expressed confidence on them being scum and Me vibing with that read. There isnt much science about it and I just feel dumb keeping this argument at this point tbh. Like, its basic stuff still
:omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg: :omg:

You know what, fine, I give up, I can’t explain myself and articulate this read properly
That sounds like me
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You are Zenon, Town 1-shot Desperado. You’re known for posting a lot (namely in anime gif form), playing a lot, and, most importantly, making snap decisions – particularly in the endgame. In a recent game, Wild West FM, you were taken to final 3 and immediately voted the last wolf, resulting in a LyLo that was strictly speaking over in four minutes and two posts. This game, we’re giving you the chance to accomplish a similar feat.

High-Risk High-Reward (Day 2+, 1-shot, Immediate): Spend 6 Snapvote Charges, post Fuck it we ball glgl in bold red text, and ping a player. (When you use this ability, you should also inform the hosts privately.) If they are Town, you will strongman die. Otherwise, you will strongman kill that player. This action resolves instantly.
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6366

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:21 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:04 pm Again I am going tl make a comparison that is not 'equal to the case' but more like an exaggeration to be more clear.

Player A is a townread. Player B is a PoE slot.

Then comes Player A with a copcheck that Player B is mafia.


That *is* a confidence boost on Player B being more likely to be mafia, and I shouldnt need another reason (?)

Like, here the cop check would be replaced with Jack recent posts about Falcon, but id what are you even digging into bcuz yeh I think its a pretty basic stuff
I realize you say that it’s an exaggeration, but comparing Jack’s reads to a cop check is way too much confidence on a read that you should not have that much confidence about. It’s like you’re absolutely convinced that Falcon is mafia to the point where you know Falcon is mafia. The scout to my understanding is basically just an “NPC or Player” cop, so there is no way as town that you can know that Falcon is mafia; the only way that you can know that Falcon is mafia is if you are also mafia

The confidence you have in this read being correct is way too high. So either you’re both mafis together, or you’re manufacturing the confidence to justify pushing Falcon. That makes you look extremely scummy
What if I'm reeeeeeeeeally good at mafia, though?
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6367

Post by Inawordyes »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:47 pm
Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:21 pm
santygrass wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:04 pm Again I am going tl make a comparison that is not 'equal to the case' but more like an exaggeration to be more clear.

Player A is a townread. Player B is a PoE slot.

Then comes Player A with a copcheck that Player B is mafia.


That *is* a confidence boost on Player B being more likely to be mafia, and I shouldnt need another reason (?)

Like, here the cop check would be replaced with Jack recent posts about Falcon, but id what are you even digging into bcuz yeh I think its a pretty basic stuff
I realize you say that it’s an exaggeration, but comparing Jack’s reads to a cop check is way too much confidence on a read that you should not have that much confidence about. It’s like you’re absolutely convinced that Falcon is mafia to the point where you know Falcon is mafia. The scout to my understanding is basically just an “NPC or Player” cop, so there is no way as town that you can know that Falcon is mafia; the only way that you can know that Falcon is mafia is if you are also mafia

The confidence you have in this read being correct is way too high. So either you’re both mafis together, or you’re manufacturing the confidence to justify pushing Falcon. That makes you look extremely scummy
What if I'm reeeeeeeeeally good at mafia, though?
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6368

Post by Inawordyes »

Okay, reset, topic-change, pivot-shift

What was the turning point yesterday when Lily overtook Neon as the main wagon?
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by ☆Princess Abigail☆ »

Well obviously it's my overwhelming towny energy
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by Inawordyes »

Neon wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:56 pm Well obviously it's my overwhelming towny energy
Obviously

Neon and Lily were by-far the biggest thread-consensus concerns yesterday. What was the threadstate and the state of the wagons when the momentum shifted to primarily pushing Lily?
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

sup im here. you guys post a lot. im vibing with santy's vibing with jack's falcon read and im finding iawy's questioning pretty useless lol. im in favor of flipping falcon
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

That was aimed at IAWY ie "somebody else check that, plz"
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

Inawordyes wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 12:54 pm Okay, reset, topic-change, pivot-shift

What was the turning point yesterday when Lily overtook Neon as the main wagon?
they were both the main wagons from sod, i dont remember if majority went back and forth much but both were in contention for much of the day i think
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

i mean there was a point when i maybe personally pivoted to focusing more on lily? idk i dont care enough to look for it
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

why does this matter we are killing falcon today
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by falcon45ca »

nutella wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:19 pm why does this matter we are killing falcon today
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

ive mindmelded with like almost all of santy's posts in the last few pages and iawy's position is utterly baffling to me lol
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

tbc i still think iawy is town i just really dont understand how his mind works
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

idk neon could still be a wolf too and i may regret softening on her but idk feel like falcon is the best chance we have today
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

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Post by nutella »

was there some reason to think falcon/neon not w/w i think i saw someone say that
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Re: Secret Playerlist - Day 5 Ends 10am Dec 17 GMT +10 (Aus Eastern Standard Time)

#6382

Post by falcon45ca »

nutella wrote: Fri Dec 16, 2022 1:23 pm tbc i still think iawy is town i just really dont understand how his mind works
In a world where falcon is town (and he is, trust me), who are the wolves pushing his wagon?



Cuz I don't know if I've ever been mislynched by a pure wagon. Ever
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