Veggie Wars Mafia [TOWN WIN]

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who's rotten and needs to be turned into compost?

Poll ended at Mon Apr 04, 2022 6:00 pm

fingersplints
0
No votes
Lime Coke
1
9%
Master Radishes
0
No votes
Seanzie
3
27%
Sleep
0
No votes
host/mods/spec
7
64%
 
Total votes: 11
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#701

Post by NotAnAxehole »

@Seanzie I think Fingersplints can only be with Mac which from my PoV makes fingerspints always a bad kill, thoughts?
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#702

Post by falcon45ca »

NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#703

Post by NotAnAxehole »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:24 am NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#704

Post by falcon45ca »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:24 am NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#705

Post by falcon45ca »

Fingers is also stuck in static world views.



I think in a game this size it's harder for Maf to be fluid
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#706

Post by Seanzie »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:13 am @Seanzie I think Fingersplints can only be with Mac which from my PoV makes fingerspints always a bad kill, thoughts?
I don't agree that there absolutely has to be at least one mafia in Mac/Falcon, so if you are not willing to consider solves without this condition, then I don't know what to tell you. If you are willing to consider this, then I'd say that many people could be with Fingersplints. I think Fingersplints/Falcon and Fingersplints/Porscha are unlikely, and probably Fingersplints/LC is not the team since Fingersplints echoed someone else's echo of Nook's misgivings about LC, but otherwise I don't see anything eliminating pairs with Fingersplints.

So, my thoughts are unless you can convince me of your Mac/Falcon worldview, I don't agree that Fingersplints is a bad kill.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#707

Post by NotAnAxehole »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:24 am NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#708

Post by NotAnAxehole »

Seanzie wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:06 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:13 am @Seanzie I think Fingersplints can only be with Mac which from my PoV makes fingerspints always a bad kill, thoughts?
I don't agree that there absolutely has to be at least one mafia in Mac/Falcon, so if you are not willing to consider solves without this condition, then I don't know what to tell you. If you are willing to consider this, then I'd say that many people could be with Fingersplints. I think Fingersplints/Falcon and Fingersplints/Porscha are unlikely, and probably Fingersplints/LC is not the team since Fingersplints echoed someone else's echo of Nook's misgivings about LC, but otherwise I don't see anything eliminating pairs with Fingersplints.

So, my thoughts are unless you can convince me of your Mac/Falcon worldview, I don't agree that Fingersplints is a bad kill.
I see.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#709

Post by NotAnAxehole »

@Seanzie does it help if I say it's a Mac read?
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| Overall 4-6 40% | Town 4-6 40% | Mafia 0-0 - |
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2021 Stats
| Overall 6-5 55% | Town 4-5 44% | Mafia 2-0 100% |
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#710

Post by NotAnAxehole »

And I've used it before
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#711

Post by falcon45ca »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:24 am NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#712

Post by Master Radishes »

How about we all come together to vote Ender?
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#713

Post by Master Radishes »

[VOTE: Ender ] aubergine
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#714

Post by falcon45ca »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:50 pm How about we all come together to vote Ender?
I'm not opposed to this sentiment, but I also have to question your motives.



Hawt takes? Hell, I'll settle for lukewarm from you at this point.



Cuz your def in your scum range
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#715

Post by Master Radishes »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:58 pm
Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:50 pm How about we all come together to vote Ender?
I'm not opposed to this sentiment, but I also have to question your motives.



Hawt takes? Hell, I'll settle for lukewarm from you at this point.



Cuz your def in your scum range
You say that, but apparently I've town told in a way that makes me obv Town.

Deal wit it.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#716

Post by Master Radishes »

In future games I'm just gonna re use all my posts from this game. I will forever be lock town that way.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#717

Post by Master Radishes »

Also my motives are not in question. Pretty sure I've previously expressed a low key suss of Ender.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#718

Post by Master Radishes »

I might also be a tiny bit scarred from Hally and C4 snowing me in Highway Mafia. I knew something was wrong there but never could quite SR the two active voices driving conversations forward. This time I'm going straight to those slots instead.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#719

Post by falcon45ca »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:02 pm Also my motives are not in question. Pretty sure I've previously expressed a low key suss of Ender.
Are you still low key, or have you moved up an octave?
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#720

Post by Master Radishes »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:04 pm
Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:02 pm Also my motives are not in question. Pretty sure I've previously expressed a low key suss of Ender.
Are you still low key, or have you moved up an octave?
I tend to sing out of tune regardless.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#721

Post by falcon45ca »

Can you flesh out your sus a bit?




Also, why are you so (seemingly) comfortable w NAAs lock town read on you? I'd think it would make you wary of his slot, no?
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#722

Post by falcon45ca »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:05 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:04 pm
Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:02 pm Also my motives are not in question. Pretty sure I've previously expressed a low key suss of Ender.
Are you still low key, or have you moved up an octave?
I tend to sing out of tune regardless.
Not all Brits are Adele I spose
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#723

Post by NotAnAxehole »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:24 am NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
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| Overall 4-6 40% | Town 4-6 40% | Mafia 0-0 - |
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2021 Stats
| Overall 6-5 55% | Town 4-5 44% | Mafia 2-0 100% |
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#724

Post by falcon45ca »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:03 pm I might also be a tiny bit scarred from Hally and C4 snowing me in Highway Mafia. I knew something was wrong there but never could quite SR the two active voices driving conversations forward. This time I'm going straight to those slots instead.
Who do you feel those voices are right now?
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#725

Post by Master Radishes »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:06 pm Can you flesh out your sus a bit?




Also, why are you so (seemingly) comfortable w NAAs lock town read on you? I'd think it would make you wary of his slot, no?
Fleshing out would involve reading back and I'm on my phone right now and refuse to so it. Ask again later.

Asked and answered about NAA. The whole thing is typical him. I've never seen him wolf so dunno the flavour difference but he often has reads like the one on me. If he's pocketing he picked a bad choice to do it to. He recently misread me so might have double checked his algorithm or whatever. My one concern on him is unrelated to his approach to my slot.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#726

Post by Master Radishes »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:10 pm
Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:03 pm I might also be a tiny bit scarred from Hally and C4 snowing me in Highway Mafia. I knew something was wrong there but never could quite SR the two active voices driving conversations forward. This time I'm going straight to those slots instead.
Who do you feel those voices are right now?
Ender and LC. More variety today but throughout D1 those two were in the perfect spot of being town read by virtue of having thread presence whereas everyone else barely had a pulse.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#727

Post by NotAnAxehole »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:11 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:06 pm Can you flesh out your sus a bit?




Also, why are you so (seemingly) comfortable w NAAs lock town read on you? I'd think it would make you wary of his slot, no?
Fleshing out would involve reading back and I'm on my phone right now and refuse to so it. Ask again later.

Asked and answered about NAA. The whole thing is typical him. I've never seen him wolf so dunno the flavour difference but he often has reads like the one on me. If he's pocketing he picked a bad choice to do it to. He recently misread me so might have double checked his algorithm or whatever. My one concern on him is unrelated to his approach to my slot.
To add on this, there's a reasonable argument to be made that MR should be more concerned about people pushing him. I know some people here are fond of TMI reads, but they are seldom right.
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2022 Stats
| Overall 4-6 40% | Town 4-6 40% | Mafia 0-0 - |
Image

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2021 Stats
| Overall 6-5 55% | Town 4-5 44% | Mafia 2-0 100% |
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#728

Post by falcon45ca »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:24 am NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
I'm sorry, but I read your answer of a world w/o me as Maf as "Mac + 1", and that's pretty damn narrow, static, and superficial IMO


There's a difference between pretending to be here and just not buying your explanation.


Also, "pretending to be here"...like your superficial (and self admittedly so) read on me? That's not pretending?
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#729

Post by falcon45ca »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:13 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:10 pm
Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:03 pm I might also be a tiny bit scarred from Hally and C4 snowing me in Highway Mafia. I knew something was wrong there but never could quite SR the two active voices driving conversations forward. This time I'm going straight to those slots instead.
Who do you feel those voices are right now?
Ender and LC. More variety today but throughout D1 those two were in the perfect spot of being town read by virtue of having thread presence whereas everyone else barely had a pulse.
I've seen them as partnered from D1, so how about we

[VOTE: Ender] aubergine
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#730

Post by falcon45ca »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:11 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:06 pm Can you flesh out your sus a bit?




Also, why are you so (seemingly) comfortable w NAAs lock town read on you? I'd think it would make you wary of his slot, no?
Fleshing out would involve reading back and I'm on my phone right now and refuse to so it. Ask again later.

Asked and answered about NAA. The whole thing is typical him. I've never seen him wolf so dunno the flavour difference but he often has reads like the one on me. If he's pocketing he picked a bad choice to do it to. He recently misread me so might have double checked his algorithm or whatever. My one concern on him is unrelated to his approach to my slot.
MRS back in the USSR baby
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#731

Post by NotAnAxehole »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:16 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:28 am
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:24 am NAA, for being D2 I have no idea why your world views are so limited
Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
I'm sorry, but I read your answer of a world w/o me as Maf as "Mac + 1", and that's pretty damn narrow, static, and superficial IMO


There's a difference between pretending to be here and just not buying your explanation.


Also, "pretending to be here"...like your superficial (and self admittedly so) read on me? That's not pretending?
Ok, so your plan is to tell me you're going to flip green, and ask me to form a larger PoE (which is also losing)... I'll stick to my original reads & my own game solving process tyvm. If I'm wrong, I'll look to see why my reads were wrong in post-game like I do every time.

I'm giving my perspective and asking for someone to convince me of another world that makes more sense and that has the possibility of being winning, Mac says too tired, and Falcon arbitrarily says my reads are too specific and I need to revert to a guaranteed losing stance. I don't really know what to make of it other than /ignore.

Are we just waiting for the cop to come in and save us? That's a plan, not a very good one... But as long as we're rolling dice, I don't see anything else netting the win.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#732

Post by Porscha »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:14 pm
Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:11 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:06 pm Can you flesh out your sus a bit?




Also, why are you so (seemingly) comfortable w NAAs lock town read on you? I'd think it would make you wary of his slot, no?
Fleshing out would involve reading back and I'm on my phone right now and refuse to so it. Ask again later.

Asked and answered about NAA. The whole thing is typical him. I've never seen him wolf so dunno the flavour difference but he often has reads like the one on me. If he's pocketing he picked a bad choice to do it to. He recently misread me so might have double checked his algorithm or whatever. My one concern on him is unrelated to his approach to my slot.
To add on this, there's a reasonable argument to be made that MR should be more concerned about people pushing him. I know some people here are fond of TMI reads, but they are seldom right.
To be fair, MR gave me some words when I was questioning his slot early
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#733

Post by NotAnAxehole »

How would you even know that Mac isn't guaranteed to be mafia if you're town in the current game state? Yes, we started from rand, but if I'm right, certain actions have dictated that one of you MUST be mafia. How could you even presume that's false when you don't even know what you're objecting to?
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#734

Post by Porscha »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:22 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:16 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:28 am

Because it has to be, and the circumstances allow it to be. I would argue that my world view isn't sufficiently limited to have a winning record, even under the assumption that it's correct.
I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
I'm sorry, but I read your answer of a world w/o me as Maf as "Mac + 1", and that's pretty damn narrow, static, and superficial IMO


There's a difference between pretending to be here and just not buying your explanation.


Also, "pretending to be here"...like your superficial (and self admittedly so) read on me? That's not pretending?
Ok, so your plan is to tell me you're going to flip green, and ask me to form a larger PoE (which is also losing)... I'll stick to my original reads & my own game solving process tyvm. If I'm wrong, I'll look to see why my reads were wrong in post-game like I do every time.

I'm giving my perspective and asking for someone to convince me of another world that makes more sense and that has the possibility of being winning, Mac says too tired, and Falcon arbitrarily says my reads are too specific and I need to revert to a guaranteed losing stance. I don't really know what to make of it other than /ignore.

Are we just waiting for the cop to come in and save us? That's a plan, not a very good one... But as long as we're rolling dice, I don't see anything else netting the win.
If LC flipped red first, where would you go from there
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#735

Post by NotAnAxehole »

Porscha wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:25 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:22 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:16 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am

I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
I'm sorry, but I read your answer of a world w/o me as Maf as "Mac + 1", and that's pretty damn narrow, static, and superficial IMO


There's a difference between pretending to be here and just not buying your explanation.


Also, "pretending to be here"...like your superficial (and self admittedly so) read on me? That's not pretending?
Ok, so your plan is to tell me you're going to flip green, and ask me to form a larger PoE (which is also losing)... I'll stick to my original reads & my own game solving process tyvm. If I'm wrong, I'll look to see why my reads were wrong in post-game like I do every time.

I'm giving my perspective and asking for someone to convince me of another world that makes more sense and that has the possibility of being winning, Mac says too tired, and Falcon arbitrarily says my reads are too specific and I need to revert to a guaranteed losing stance. I don't really know what to make of it other than /ignore.

Are we just waiting for the cop to come in and save us? That's a plan, not a very good one... But as long as we're rolling dice, I don't see anything else netting the win.
If LC flipped red first, where would you go from there
If LC flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac.

If Ender flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Fingers flipped red, I would flip Mac

If Seanzie flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Porscha flipped red, I would flip Mac

If MR flipped red, I would throw my entire decision making tree in the garbage and quit mafia

Did I miss anyone?
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#736

Post by NotAnAxehole »

Porscha wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:25 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:22 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:16 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:46 am

I think your first 2 points in this post are only true if you're Maf
What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
I'm sorry, but I read your answer of a world w/o me as Maf as "Mac + 1", and that's pretty damn narrow, static, and superficial IMO


There's a difference between pretending to be here and just not buying your explanation.


Also, "pretending to be here"...like your superficial (and self admittedly so) read on me? That's not pretending?
Ok, so your plan is to tell me you're going to flip green, and ask me to form a larger PoE (which is also losing)... I'll stick to my original reads & my own game solving process tyvm. If I'm wrong, I'll look to see why my reads were wrong in post-game like I do every time.

I'm giving my perspective and asking for someone to convince me of another world that makes more sense and that has the possibility of being winning, Mac says too tired, and Falcon arbitrarily says my reads are too specific and I need to revert to a guaranteed losing stance. I don't really know what to make of it other than /ignore.

Are we just waiting for the cop to come in and save us? That's a plan, not a very good one... But as long as we're rolling dice, I don't see anything else netting the win.
If LC flipped red first, where would you go from there
If LC flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac.

If Ender flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Fingers flipped red, I would flip Mac

If Seanzie flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Porscha flipped red, I would flip Mac

If MR flipped red, I would throw my entire decision making tree in the garbage and quit mafia

Did I miss anyone?
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#737

Post by NotAnAxehole »

Ok, probably not on the last one, but whatever, I've already given my thoughts :P

The biggest question-mark is what to do if Mac flips mafia, I have no clue.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#738

Post by falcon45ca »

POE Ender, fingers



Outside of a aelf pres, that's likely where my vote will end up this RD
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#739

Post by Master Radishes »

Porscha wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:22 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:14 pm
Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:11 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:06 pm Can you flesh out your sus a bit?




Also, why are you so (seemingly) comfortable w NAAs lock town read on you? I'd think it would make you wary of his slot, no?
Fleshing out would involve reading back and I'm on my phone right now and refuse to so it. Ask again later.

Asked and answered about NAA. The whole thing is typical him. I've never seen him wolf so dunno the flavour difference but he often has reads like the one on me. If he's pocketing he picked a bad choice to do it to. He recently misread me so might have double checked his algorithm or whatever. My one concern on him is unrelated to his approach to my slot.
To add on this, there's a reasonable argument to be made that MR should be more concerned about people pushing him. I know some people here are fond of TMI reads, but they are seldom right.
To be fair, MR gave me some words when I was questioning his slot early
Did I? That was nice of me. :)
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#740

Post by Porscha »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:24 pm How would you even know that Mac isn't guaranteed to be mafia if you're town in the current game state? Yes, we started from rand, but if I'm right, certain actions have dictated that one of you MUST be mafia. How could you even presume that's false when you don't even know what you're objecting to?
I'd object to someone calling me mafia based on their own science they will not reveal. If I was town. Or mafia for that matter. I can object if I think the answer is wrong no matter how someone got to the answer.

Like I get that's your world view atm but just because you arent willing to share and someone isnt privy to the exact reasoning behind your conclusion doesnt inherently mean it cant be objected to
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#741

Post by Master Radishes »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:28 pm
Porscha wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:25 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:22 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:16 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:10 pm

What..? No..? You do realize this is a set up with only 2 miss elims right?

So... Even a PoE of 4 is losing right now. Basic math..?
So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
I'm sorry, but I read your answer of a world w/o me as Maf as "Mac + 1", and that's pretty damn narrow, static, and superficial IMO


There's a difference between pretending to be here and just not buying your explanation.


Also, "pretending to be here"...like your superficial (and self admittedly so) read on me? That's not pretending?
Ok, so your plan is to tell me you're going to flip green, and ask me to form a larger PoE (which is also losing)... I'll stick to my original reads & my own game solving process tyvm. If I'm wrong, I'll look to see why my reads were wrong in post-game like I do every time.

I'm giving my perspective and asking for someone to convince me of another world that makes more sense and that has the possibility of being winning, Mac says too tired, and Falcon arbitrarily says my reads are too specific and I need to revert to a guaranteed losing stance. I don't really know what to make of it other than /ignore.

Are we just waiting for the cop to come in and save us? That's a plan, not a very good one... But as long as we're rolling dice, I don't see anything else netting the win.
If LC flipped red first, where would you go from there
If LC flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac.

If Ender flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Fingers flipped red, I would flip Mac

If Seanzie flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Porscha flipped red, I would flip Mac

If MR flipped red, I would throw my entire decision making tree in the garbage and quit mafia

Did I miss anyone?
I hope I flip Mafia. :mafia:
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#742

Post by NotAnAxehole »

Master Radishes wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:36 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:28 pm
Porscha wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:25 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:22 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:16 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:09 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:46 pm

So who's Maf when I flip green?


You've got static world views that don't have to be true...like, you're not even truly considering them to possibly be wrong.


You have MR as lock town. That's absurd
I've answered this question repeatedly & Seanzie recently mentioned it too - which basically tells me you're pretending to be here, but you're really not paying attention to anything I've written, or anything that's been discussed in the thread as of recent.
I'm sorry, but I read your answer of a world w/o me as Maf as "Mac + 1", and that's pretty damn narrow, static, and superficial IMO


There's a difference between pretending to be here and just not buying your explanation.


Also, "pretending to be here"...like your superficial (and self admittedly so) read on me? That's not pretending?
Ok, so your plan is to tell me you're going to flip green, and ask me to form a larger PoE (which is also losing)... I'll stick to my original reads & my own game solving process tyvm. If I'm wrong, I'll look to see why my reads were wrong in post-game like I do every time.

I'm giving my perspective and asking for someone to convince me of another world that makes more sense and that has the possibility of being winning, Mac says too tired, and Falcon arbitrarily says my reads are too specific and I need to revert to a guaranteed losing stance. I don't really know what to make of it other than /ignore.

Are we just waiting for the cop to come in and save us? That's a plan, not a very good one... But as long as we're rolling dice, I don't see anything else netting the win.
If LC flipped red first, where would you go from there
If LC flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac.

If Ender flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Fingers flipped red, I would flip Mac

If Seanzie flipped red, I would flip Falcon and Mac

If Porscha flipped red, I would flip Mac

If MR flipped red, I would throw my entire decision making tree in the garbage and quit mafia

Did I miss anyone?
I hope I flip Mafia. :mafia:
:omg:
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#743

Post by NotAnAxehole »

Porscha wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:36 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:24 pm How would you even know that Mac isn't guaranteed to be mafia if you're town in the current game state? Yes, we started from rand, but if I'm right, certain actions have dictated that one of you MUST be mafia. How could you even presume that's false when you don't even know what you're objecting to?
I'd object to someone calling me mafia based on their own science they will not reveal. If I was town. Or mafia for that matter. I can object if I think the answer is wrong no matter how someone got to the answer.

Like I get that's your world view atm but just because you arent willing to share and someone isnt privy to the exact reasoning behind your conclusion doesnt inherently mean it cant be objected to
Ok, sure... He's objecting in principle, but not because he actually understands whether or not what I said is plausible.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#744

Post by NotAnAxehole »

I'm actually going to sheep Mac's read on Falcon for today, and vote Mac.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#745

Post by Master Radishes »

I say we do another four way rand again.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#746

Post by Porscha »

Okay I think I'm just going to decide to get over MR, mac, falcon, and what I believe is a well intentioned NAA

That leaves me with seanzie, LC, Fingers, Ender

I townread LC day 1 and early day 2 but theyve quietly slipped out of convo
I didnt like fingers interaction with me but there is also only so much to go off of
Seanzie and Ender I'm not sure what to do with, I think I need to get out of bed and actually ISO them or something
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#747

Post by Porscha »

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:39 pm
Porscha wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:36 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 1:24 pm How would you even know that Mac isn't guaranteed to be mafia if you're town in the current game state? Yes, we started from rand, but if I'm right, certain actions have dictated that one of you MUST be mafia. How could you even presume that's false when you don't even know what you're objecting to?
I'd object to someone calling me mafia based on their own science they will not reveal. If I was town. Or mafia for that matter. I can object if I think the answer is wrong no matter how someone got to the answer.

Like I get that's your world view atm but just because you arent willing to share and someone isnt privy to the exact reasoning behind your conclusion doesnt inherently mean it cant be objected to
Ok, sure... He's objecting in principle, but not because he actually understands whether or not what I said is plausible.
Well from what I understand you insist on making about your own personal tells/reads that you wont explain. So what else do you expect someone to do. Blindly follow you?
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#748

Post by NotAnAxehole »

So, the list read is quite simple (which is where the AT LEAST 1 between Falcon / Mac comes from):

It assumes that, as town, each player has a random tendency to scum read and reply to another player. The degree of "how random" needs to be calibrated for each player individually.

In a nutshell, if a player takes a bunch of actions relating to other players in close succession, or over the length of the game, it affects the mechanical probability of them having randed mafia together.

I.E. If I have a discussion with Falcon, then MR, then Porscha, then MR... What is happening is a bunch of random events have resulted in me bumping into those people in the thread. This probability assumption isn't the same if I am mafia, because I have a more targeted objective, and I may not reply to the same things, I may not have prolonged discussions at all. Humans are terrible at being random, and they typically don't understand when their actions are actually random - the goal is to exploit this, not necessarily getting direct reads of Player A is diverging from meta while Player B is within their meta, it more looks at Player A is doing things that make group of players A, B, C & D contain mafia.
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#749

Post by NotAnAxehole »

For the record, that group was not Mac Falcon... As I previously explained... That group is

Mac, Falcon, NAA, MR

Now, I know I'm not mafia... You get the idea of how I got there yeah?
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NotAnAxehole
Racketeer
Posts in topic: 115
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Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2021 10:16 pm
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Re: Veggie Wars Mafia [Day 2]

#750

Post by NotAnAxehole »

I can even run this using my own data, I don't actually need other players because my town randomness differs from my mafia game... The issue is if I use my own data exclusively, I can end up forming conf biases where I stop being random as town... Which actually would be good, if I was playing against myself - in the long term.
Russian Machine Never Breaks 769 #3
Spoiler: show
2022 Stats
| Overall 4-6 40% | Town 4-6 40% | Mafia 0-0 - |
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2021 Stats
| Overall 6-5 55% | Town 4-5 44% | Mafia 2-0 100% |
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