GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 Endgame (town and 3p win)

Hell yeah?

Hell yeah
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HELL YEAH
10
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k
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Total votes: 16
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9801

Post by Belzy »

If Ilario poisoned Alexa, then he doesn't look so townsided to me anymore.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9802

Post by Belzy »

Creature wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:33 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:25 pm Can someone remind me who was responsible for each Day 1 vig shot?
Seanzie --> KZA
dyachei --> Marmot
??? --> Scotty
c4e5g3d5 (event prize) --> BoKnows
alexa (event prize) --> Alison
So many townies have shot other townies this game.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9803

Post by Creature »

Perhaps I am being fooled by sabie

Her not shooting Paopan last night looks bad
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9804

Post by Justplayingitcool »

I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9805

Post by alexa »

Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 5:11 am I mean if that’s all true then we are powerless to prevent your win condition, and if it’s not true then you’ve just decreased your chances significantly.
If it is true then he will not meet his win condition and regardless of what I think of him, my one request to town is to ensure he dies.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9806

Post by alexa »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
They said they were gonna shoot overnight though.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9807

Post by Sloonei »

This game has started to go off the rails. Let's regroup.

ALEXA IS POISONED. Arguing about her alignment today is pointless. Unless there is a healer who opts to save her, she is flipping at the end of this phase whether she is town or mafia.

Targeting Ilario today is pointless. He has claimed 3P, and takes responsibility for poisoning Alexa. He has presented arguments for suspecting alexa to be mafia. We can agree or disagree with this arguments. But, again, she is going to flip no matter what. We can discuss her alignment, but only insofar as it helps us to identify other POE possibilities around her.

There are three mafia remaining. It is a safe bet that Ilario is not one of them in any world. Belzy, Porscha, and falcon are also almost definitely not among them. LinearPoint is only mafia if Alexa is also mafia. The more civilians we can identify in the remaining groups of players, the easier it becomes to solve this game.

I believe that DrWilgy and JPIC are town based on interactions with dead mafia members and, in JPIC's case, posts during this day phase.

That leaves me with Creature, Sabie, paopan, and the possibility of Alexa and LinearPoint. If Alexa flips town, then I feel the game may be solved. If Alexa flips mafia then the game may be solved as well. I would pick Creature and LinearPoint as her most likely partners.

Absolutely none of those POE reads are set in stone (including the JPIC and WIlgy townreads). But healthy discussion is essential if we want to win this game. We must be open to reconsideration of reads, and pursue things with clear and honest minds. I am saying these words as much for myself and everyone else.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9808

Post by Sloonei »

I also believe that sabie's reaction to the immediate scrutiny she faced for not shooting paopan looked town. She seemed sincerely emotionally overwhelmed. I think that only happens if she made an earnest decision not to pull the trigger on paopan, and then felt that her decision was being attacked.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9809

Post by Belzy »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
But why didn't Sabie say that to me and Alexa last night
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9810

Post by alexa »

targetting illario is not pointless FMPOV. he is playing maliciously, he is not going to achieve his "claimed wincon" when i die and idk what other powers he have so i want to kill him and i won't stop voting him until he dies.


from other people's POV, it's w/e, but you know how letting a claimed 3P live went last year.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9811

Post by alexa »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:46 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
But why didn't Sabie say that to me and Alexa last night
yeah, I just don't understand why she lied about it.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9812

Post by Belzy »

Creature wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:37 pm Perhaps I am being fooled by sabie

Her not shooting Paopan last night looks bad
Finally, some normal thinking
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9813

Post by Sloonei »

alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:46 pm targetting illario is not pointless FMPOV. he is playing maliciously, he is not going to achieve his "claimed wincon" when i die and idk what other powers he have so i want to kill him and i won't stop voting him until he dies.


from other people's POV, it's w/e, but you know how letting a claimed 3P live went last year.
We also need to catch the mafia team. Who are they?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9814

Post by Sloonei »

alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:47 pm
Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:46 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
But why didn't Sabie say that to me and Alexa last night
yeah, I just don't understand why she lied about it.
Did your chat span the full 24 hours of the night phase?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9815

Post by alexa »

Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:47 pm
alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:46 pm targetting illario is not pointless FMPOV. he is playing maliciously, he is not going to achieve his "claimed wincon" when i die and idk what other powers he have so i want to kill him and i won't stop voting him until he dies.


from other people's POV, it's w/e, but you know how letting a claimed 3P live went last year.
We also need to catch the mafia team. Who are they?
idk, I just killed one of them. I'd like Paopan to die then to re-assess from there. but I won't even get a shot to live.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9816

Post by alexa »

Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:48 pm
alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:47 pm
Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:46 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
But why didn't Sabie say that to me and Alexa last night
yeah, I just don't understand why she lied about it.
Did your chat span the full 24 hours of the night phase?
yes
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9817

Post by Belzy »

It is like town wants to lose this game

We only killed mafia cuz:

Flacon res checked Tsp
Marmot got shot by dya
Dizzy by ilario
Mac by me, alexa and sabie

We never seem to decide on an actual mafia lynch (unless red checked), and now we are even more divided than ever before and that is really crazy. Usually scum creates the diffusion, so who is guilty of that? Alexa should be with me and Porscha in towncore, yet... poisoned and scumread. Like wtf.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9818

Post by Belzy »

Red* checked
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9819

Post by Belzy »

alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:49 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:47 pm
alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:46 pm targetting illario is not pointless FMPOV. he is playing maliciously, he is not going to achieve his "claimed wincon" when i die and idk what other powers he have so i want to kill him and i won't stop voting him until he dies.


from other people's POV, it's w/e, but you know how letting a claimed 3P live went last year.
We also need to catch the mafia team. Who are they?
idk, I just killed one of them. I'd like Paopan to die then to re-assess from there. but I won't even get a shot to live.
Please consider lynching Sloonei with me today
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9820

Post by Sloonei »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:49 pm It is like town wants to lose this game

We only killed mafia cuz:

Flacon res checked Tsp
Marmot got shot by dya
Dizzy by ilario
Mac by me, alexa and sabie

We never seem to decide on an actual mafia lynch (unless red checked), and now we are even more divided than ever before and that is really crazy. Usually scum creates the diffusion, so who is guilty of that? Alexa should be with me and Porscha in towncore, yet... poisoned and scumread. Like wtf.
Here is where some consideration of the Town Sloonei worldview comes in handy.

I am town. The POE of others seems to heavily suggest I must be mafia in order for the game to make sense.

My own 3-person POE of Sabie, paopan, and Creature does not feel very solid.

Therefore I am lead to question the game state.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9821

Post by Belzy »

Creature wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:37 pm Perhaps I am being fooled by sabie

Her not shooting Paopan last night looks bad
But then look into Sabia and Paopan also mafia is a thing.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9822

Post by Sloonei »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:51 pm
alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:49 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:47 pm
alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:46 pm targetting illario is not pointless FMPOV. he is playing maliciously, he is not going to achieve his "claimed wincon" when i die and idk what other powers he have so i want to kill him and i won't stop voting him until he dies.


from other people's POV, it's w/e, but you know how letting a claimed 3P live went last year.
We also need to catch the mafia team. Who are they?
idk, I just killed one of them. I'd like Paopan to die then to re-assess from there. but I won't even get a shot to live.
Please consider lynching Sloonei with me today
You will note that alexa has had very little to say about me this game.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9823

Post by Creature »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:49 pm It is like town wants to lose this game

We only killed mafia cuz:

Flacon res checked Tsp
Marmot got shot by dya
Dizzy by ilario
Mac by me, alexa and sabie

We never seem to decide on an actual mafia lynch (unless red checked), and now we are even more divided than ever before and that is really crazy. Usually scum creates the diffusion, so who is guilty of that? Alexa should be with me and Porscha in towncore, yet... poisoned and scumread. Like wtf.
I know. I am saying identifying the wolfiest player is important. If we mislynch today we're likely getting souped to a loss.

Identifying the town in the POE won't help when the POE is already tight enough.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9824

Post by falcon45ca »

Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:42 pm This game has started to go off the rails. Let's regroup.

ALEXA IS POISONED. Arguing about her alignment today is pointless. Unless there is a healer who opts to save her, she is flipping at the end of this phase whether she is town or mafia.

Targeting Ilario today is pointless. He has claimed 3P, and takes responsibility for poisoning Alexa. He has presented arguments for suspecting alexa to be mafia. We can agree or disagree with this arguments. But, again, she is going to flip no matter what. We can discuss her alignment, but only insofar as it helps us to identify other POE possibilities around her.

There are three mafia remaining. It is a safe bet that Ilario is not one of them in any world. Belzy, Porscha, and falcon are also almost definitely not among them. LinearPoint is only mafia if Alexa is also mafia. The more civilians we can identify in the remaining groups of players, the easier it becomes to solve this game.

I believe that DrWilgy and JPIC are town based on interactions with dead mafia members and, in JPIC's case, posts during this day phase.

That leaves me with Creature, Sabie, paopan, and the possibility of Alexa and LinearPoint. If Alexa flips town, then I feel the game may be solved. If Alexa flips mafia then the game may be solved as well. I would pick Creature and LinearPoint as her most likely partners.

Absolutely none of those POE reads are set in stone (including the JPIC and WIlgy townreads). But healthy discussion is essential if we want to win this game. We must be open to reconsideration of reads, and pursue things with clear and honest minds. I am saying these words as much for myself and everyone else.
This is pretty much where my head is at right now
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9825

Post by Belzy »

Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:51 pm
Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:49 pm It is like town wants to lose this game

We only killed mafia cuz:

Flacon res checked Tsp
Marmot got shot by dya
Dizzy by ilario
Mac by me, alexa and sabie

We never seem to decide on an actual mafia lynch (unless red checked), and now we are even more divided than ever before and that is really crazy. Usually scum creates the diffusion, so who is guilty of that? Alexa should be with me and Porscha in towncore, yet... poisoned and scumread. Like wtf.
Here is where some consideration of the Town Sloonei worldview comes in handy.

I am town. The POE of others seems to heavily suggest I must be mafia in order for the game to make sense.

My own 3-person POE of Sabie, paopan, and Creature does not feel very solid.

Therefore I am lead to question the game state.
Sabie not shooting Paopon is a connection between the two

Alexa is town

Alexa and Paopan are not teamed

You may not be teamed with Paopon, but i sometimes think it still could be
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9826

Post by Sloonei »

Also I will claim if it becomes evident that I will be eliminated otherwise. If I am going to die otherwise, it makes no sense for me to fear the soup.

I have mech which confirms me as town.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9827

Post by Creature »

Sloonei is like my top suspect but they seem to be claiming a confirmable role so it's lynch Wilgy or risk lynching a protective for me.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9828

Post by Sloonei »

Creature wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:53 pm
Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:49 pm It is like town wants to lose this game

We only killed mafia cuz:

Flacon res checked Tsp
Marmot got shot by dya
Dizzy by ilario
Mac by me, alexa and sabie

We never seem to decide on an actual mafia lynch (unless red checked), and now we are even more divided than ever before and that is really crazy. Usually scum creates the diffusion, so who is guilty of that? Alexa should be with me and Porscha in towncore, yet... poisoned and scumread. Like wtf.
I know. I am saying identifying the wolfiest player is important. If we mislynch today we're likely getting souped to a loss.

Identifying the town in the POE won't help when the POE is already tight enough.
Who is the towniest player in your POE?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9829

Post by Belzy »

Maybe we should look into Sabie and Paopon then
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9830

Post by Belzy »

Creature wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:54 pm Sloonei is like my top suspect but they seem to be claiming a confirmable role so it's lynch Wilgy or risk lynching a protective for me.
Why lynch Wilg then, and not Sabie or Paopan?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9831

Post by Sloonei »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm Maybe we should look into Sabie and Paopon then
What has Creature done to become an irrefutable town read?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9832

Post by Creature »

sabie I'd rather keep her alive in hopes she actually uses her vig shot tonight on PoE and doesn't just holster.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9833

Post by falcon45ca »

Can anyone remind me of all 8 in the D2 lynch pool? Who's still alive and kicking from that group?
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9834

Post by LinearPoint »

ilario is only really not pointless if his poisons only hit town, then he's a surefire lynch as it's rather obvious he's lying about his wincon at that point.
But no point in even really talking about him until that point in time.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9835

Post by alexa »

I will ISO Sloonei IG
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9836

Post by Creature »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:56 pm Can anyone remind me of all 8 in the D2 lynch pool? Who's still alive and kicking from that group?
DrWilgy and sabie12 are the only ones alive
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9837

Post by Belzy »

Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm
Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm Maybe we should look into Sabie and Paopon then
What has Creature done to become an irrefutable town read?
I have not townread Creature, so why ask me?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9838

Post by LinearPoint »

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:56 pm Can anyone remind me of all 8 in the D2 lynch pool? Who's still alive and kicking from that group?
Wilgy and Sabie that's all
TSP flipped Mafia the rest Town
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falcon45ca
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9839

Post by falcon45ca »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm Maybe we should look into Sabie and Paopon then
Totally fine w/ Pao. Doesn't Sabie have a role?
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9840

Post by Sloonei »

LinearPoint wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:56 pm ilario is only really not pointless if his poisons only hit town, then he's a surefire lynch as it's rather obvious he's lying about his wincon at that point.
But no point in even really talking about him until that point in time.
I'm pretty sure he only claims the one poison. Plus he already shot one mafia member.
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Belzy
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9841

Post by Belzy »

Creature wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm sabie I'd rather keep her alive in hopes she actually uses her vig shot tonight on PoE and doesn't just holster.
What if sabie is mafia? Then we should kill her before anyone else. Why you don't consider that at all?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9842

Post by Sloonei »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:57 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm
Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm Maybe we should look into Sabie and Paopon then
What has Creature done to become an irrefutable town read?
I have not townread Creature, so why ask me?
Would you consider voting for him today?
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9843

Post by Justplayingitcool »

alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
They said they were gonna shoot overnight though.
hmm

it does feel like their w/w stock rose if that is the case
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9844

Post by Belzy »

Maybe lynching between sabie and Paopan is smart
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9845

Post by Creature »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:57 pm
Creature wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:55 pm sabie I'd rather keep her alive in hopes she actually uses her vig shot tonight on PoE and doesn't just holster.
What if sabie is mafia? Then we should kill her before anyone else. Why you don't consider that at all?
idk I still think she is town vig and lynching town vig would be really bad for us
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9846

Post by Belzy »

Belzy wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:58 pm Maybe lynching between sabie and Paopan is smart
Between sabie and creative*
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LinearPoint
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9847

Post by LinearPoint »

Neeko still feels like Sabie is only Mafia if they are claiming Mafia kill shots and lying about being a vigilante.
They are still our only night vig claim. So pretty lock town.
Mafia probably wouldn't get 2 Mafia into final 8 so Wilgy may be clear from that.
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9848

Post by Belzy »

Creature*
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9849

Post by alexa »

Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:58 pm
alexa wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm
Justplayingitcool wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:39 pm I don't think sabie holstering makes them look bad because there was discussion in the thread wrt holstering in the last day phase
They said they were gonna shoot overnight though.
hmm

it does feel like their w/w stock rose if that is the case
yeah, this is why i've been weirded out. we had a 24 hour chat and they never mentioned anything about holstering
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Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D4

#9850

Post by Creature »

Feels stupid atp we can lose tonight if: 1) we lynch town!sabie; or 2) we let wolf!sabie live
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