Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [ENDGAME]

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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8401

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:09 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:08 am Did Sean claim before dying cause I have a second question
Mostly
Do we know what the modified was
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8402

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:08 am Did Sean claim before dying cause I have a second question
He implicitly claimed tracker way before he died, yes.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 4]

#8403

Post by MacDougall »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:10 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 9:30 pm
MacDougall wrote: Mon May 31, 2021 8:36 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon May 31, 2021 8:34 am Let me express how much I care about anyone volunteering or calling to be shot:
Dude there is such thing as context.

I find Guillo more suspicious for calling for it.
I find Orange mildly more townie.

It has everything to do with meta, how they are positioned and also your face.
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 9:34 pm The point of the quote was to show that your view wasn't merely a trustfall hypothetical.
@MacDougall
That was much later and I didn't find them townie for it, nor was that really a defense. The operative word is more.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8404

Post by MacDougall »

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:11 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:09 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:08 am Did Sean claim before dying cause I have a second question
Mostly
Do we know what the modified was
I do not.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8405

Post by MacDougall »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:11 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:10 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:09 am I did post a Sonnycrush review that I thought might be in Mac's favor. I haven't been able to get any feedback yet. I grant that Mac is still deep in my own POEparanoia tinfoil rivalry confbias.
ftfy
I appreciate the cheek, but who the hell else should be in my POE?
Everyone except Esooa and TSP.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8406

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:13 am Everyone except Esooa and TSP.
No.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8407

Post by MacDougall »

I think there's a solid chance the POE game leads to a loss eventually otherwise Jay would be dead.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8408

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:08 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:05 am
Alison wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:04 am And not claiming is anti town right now so the real question is why aren't you claiming.
I disagree
I disagree
Given that I know my role I maintain my disagreement and would invite the proverbial wolves to shoot me if they want to find out
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8409

Post by MacDougall »

@JaggedJimmyJay did Gnome and you lover up last night again?
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8410

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8411

Post by MartinGG99 »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 1:17 am
Allcrab wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 1:13 am 1. TSP implies I have TMI on who was poisoned
2. TSP later implies Nanook was the likely poison

Someone explain to me how TSP as a villager is able to figure out Nanook was the likely poison independently but when I imply it in my post it's TMI. Ftr I don't think it's a hard thing to figure out that Nanook was the likely poison and I think TSP knows this which means TSP was purposefully shading on grounds he should know don't make sense.

Am I wrong here?
I agree that it's a reach to call it TMI and for Mac to call it a good point.

I was the first person to post when day broke and I literally said the poisoner and mafia might have targeted the same person. So at the very least, even if someone doesn't think of that they are going to see it in my post. I don't think anyone's going to struggle to come to that conclusion.
Mac called what a good point?

The thing TSP said or something that you said? Because I can't find what's being referred to easily.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8412

Post by MacDougall »

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:15 am The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
Why not wolves?
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8413

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:13 am I think there's a solid chance the POE game leads to a loss eventually otherwise Jay would be dead.
My POE has been an ever-changing machine. You and Alison are deep POE now. Not long ago with Allcrab and Martin. Pretty much everyone alive that has a reasonable mafia case has had plenty of reasons to kill me.

If you want to sell me on Sloonei or lost monkey, then you'll need to do that.

The only floater still here with a clear "keep Jay alive" agenda would have to be Gnome.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8414

Post by MacDougall »

MartinGG99 wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:16 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 1:17 am
Allcrab wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 1:13 am 1. TSP implies I have TMI on who was poisoned
2. TSP later implies Nanook was the likely poison

Someone explain to me how TSP as a villager is able to figure out Nanook was the likely poison independently but when I imply it in my post it's TMI. Ftr I don't think it's a hard thing to figure out that Nanook was the likely poison and I think TSP knows this which means TSP was purposefully shading on grounds he should know don't make sense.

Am I wrong here?
I agree that it's a reach to call it TMI and for Mac to call it a good point.

I was the first person to post when day broke and I literally said the poisoner and mafia might have targeted the same person. So at the very least, even if someone doesn't think of that they are going to see it in my post. I don't think anyone's going to struggle to come to that conclusion.
Mac called what a good point?

The thing TSP said or something that you said? Because I can't find what's being referred to easily.
TSP pointed out a post in which Allcrab exhibited poisoner TMI. I looked at it again afterwards and didn't see it the same way. Call it excitement.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8415

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:14 am @JaggedJimmyJay did Gnome and you lover up last night again?
Yes.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8416

Post by MacDougall »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:16 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:13 am I think there's a solid chance the POE game leads to a loss eventually otherwise Jay would be dead.
My POE has been an ever-changing machine. You and Alison are deep POE now. Not long ago with Allcrab and Martin. Pretty much everyone alive that has a reasonable mafia case has had plenty of reasons to kill me.

If you want to sell me on Sloonei or lost monkey, then you'll need to do that.

The only floater still here with a clear "keep Jay alive" agenda would have to be Gnome.
If Sloonei is a wolf the game is lost so there's really no point.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8417

Post by lost monkey »

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:15 am The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
no
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8418

Post by MacDougall »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:14 am @JaggedJimmyJay did Gnome and you lover up last night again?
Yes.
Interesting. Do you think it's more or less towny for her to engage you?
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8419

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:16 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:15 am The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
Why not wolves?
Currently I’m agreeing with Jay’s take on it
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8420

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

lost monkey wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:15 am The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
no
Are you claiming that the wolf is in fact not shooting based on rng
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8421

Post by MacDougall »

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:18 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:16 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:15 am The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
Why not wolves?
Currently I’m agreeing with Jay’s take on it
I am not entirely sure it makes sense if the poisoner is a 3p and based on the flips.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8422

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am If Sloonei is a wolf the game is lost so there's really no point.
I'll give you specific prompts so you don't have to dig.

Explain the rationale for Sloonei day killing his mafia teammate when he was not in any state of meaningful pressure that necessitated mechanical clearance.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8423

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

I just don’t really think I can see 6 wolves two 3P here
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8424

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:18 am Interesting. Do you think it's more or less towny for her to engage you?
She's done it every night since Night 2. To me that suggests enthusiasm with the lover flavor, which has very much borne out in our conversations. We really are lovers. With that in mind I don't think there needs to be some mafia agenda ascribed to it.

There still could be. When we both activate, the mafia literally cannot kill me without killing her too. So she'd have to really work me into a pocket. I don't think she's really even tried to do that. I remain open to her as a suspect only because I have too few clear-cut reasons not to.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8425

Post by MacDougall »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:19 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am If Sloonei is a wolf the game is lost so there's really no point.
I'll give you specific prompts so you don't have to dig.

Explain the rationale for Sloonei day killing his mafia teammate when he was not in any state of meaningful pressure that necessitated mechanical clearance.
Its all just wifom isn't it. There's no adequate way to answer this question as you've already obstructed it.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8426

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:19 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am If Sloonei is a wolf the game is lost so there's really no point.
I'll give you specific prompts so you don't have to dig.

Explain the rationale for Sloonei day killing his mafia teammate when he was not in any state of meaningful pressure that necessitated mechanical clearance.
There’s no rationale that’s the point
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8427

Post by MacDougall »

Hmmm where did the poisoner is a 3p thing start?
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8428

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:22 am Its all just wifom isn't it. There's no adequate way to answer this question as you've already obstructed it.
Weird things happen and sometimes JJJ is a jackass. So I will listen if you really believe in it enough to talk about it.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8429

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

I don’t buy mafia poisoner with that shot pattern but I could be swayed
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8430

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

I don’t really buy mafia shooter with that shot pattern either tbh what the hell is going on
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8431

Post by lost monkey »

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:19 am
lost monkey wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:15 am The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
no
Are you claiming that the wolf is in fact not shooting based on rng
kito and nanook, how can there kills be rng? Poisoner has been basically following jay's read somewhat except for the alison thing.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8432

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:23 am Hmmm where did the poisoner is a 3p thing start?
I've considered it almost obvious since the very first poison. The second poison really sold it. If it's mafia it's sorely overpowered and the targets are wack. If it's town then I have no idea why their first target is Alison and why they haven't just told the truth.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8433

Post by MacDougall »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:24 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:22 am Its all just wifom isn't it. There's no adequate way to answer this question as you've already obstructed it.
Weird things happen and sometimes JJJ is a jackass. So I will listen if you really believe in it enough to talk about it.
Has Sloonei been particularly townie since he made the shot? If all of his game was characterised by his play subsequent to it and without out how would you read him?
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8434

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

Who did the n2 vig shot or was that something else
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8435

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:22 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:19 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am If Sloonei is a wolf the game is lost so there's really no point.
I'll give you specific prompts so you don't have to dig.

Explain the rationale for Sloonei day killing his mafia teammate when he was not in any state of meaningful pressure that necessitated mechanical clearance.
There’s no rationale that’s the point
Does this imply you are entertaining Sloonei as mafia?
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8436

Post by Alison »

Mac trying to add Sloonei to the POE is flailing.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8437

Post by MacDougall »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:25 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:23 am Hmmm where did the poisoner is a 3p thing start?
I've considered it almost obvious since the very first poison. The second poison really sold it. If it's mafia it's sorely overpowered and the targets are wack. If it's town then I have no idea why their first target is Alison and why they haven't just told the truth.
I think it's at least somewhat plausible that the last mafia is a limited shot poisoner and is out of shots.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8438

Post by MacDougall »

Alison wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:26 am Mac trying to add Sloonei to the POE is flailing.
This is not what I am doing.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8439

Post by lost monkey »

The amount of wifom from mac and tsp is staggering.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8440

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:26 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:22 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:19 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am If Sloonei is a wolf the game is lost so there's really no point.
I'll give you specific prompts so you don't have to dig.

Explain the rationale for Sloonei day killing his mafia teammate when he was not in any state of meaningful pressure that necessitated mechanical clearance.
There’s no rationale that’s the point
Does this imply you are entertaining Sloonei as mafia?
I don’t think it’s an interesting idea. Sloonei doesn’t do that kind of thing. Sloonei should be hard cleared and should have a bullet in him but that’s besides the point
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8441

Post by JaggedJimmyJay »

MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:25 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:24 am
MacDougall wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:22 am Its all just wifom isn't it. There's no adequate way to answer this question as you've already obstructed it.
Weird things happen and sometimes JJJ is a jackass. So I will listen if you really believe in it enough to talk about it.
Has Sloonei been particularly townie since he made the shot? If all of his game was characterised by his play subsequent to it and without out how would you read him?
When he has made posts he has looked like town Sloonei to me. That has been consistent. My only gripe would be that it's been sporadic and at times lazy. I've been fine attributing that to his job and to general vibes. Sometimes people don't feel like doing all kinds of shit.

@Sloonei can talk about this for himself though.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8442

Post by Sloonei »

Yep.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8443

Post by MacDougall »

Be Mac.
Be in POE.
Attempt to solve every slot.
Jay asks question.
Play Devil's advocate.
wIdEnInG tHe PoE

Just flip me at this point. I can't operate under these conditions.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8444

Post by MacDougall »

lost monkey wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:27 am The amount of wifom from mac and tsp is staggering.
What one does when they are wrongly in the POE for 100
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8445

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

lost monkey wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:25 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:19 am
lost monkey wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:17 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:15 am The wolf appears to be shooting based on a random number generator and poisoner seems to have a similar bias so idk how well that will work out
no
Are you claiming that the wolf is in fact not shooting based on rng
kito and nanook, how can there kills be rng? Poisoner has been basically following jay's read somewhat except for the alison thing.
I don’t know anything about Kito and Nanook is roughly never an optimal kill there.
What happened to Gav
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8446

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

Oh Dana could have succeeded n3
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8447

Post by MartinGG99 »

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Jun 06, 2021 2:04 am The holistic production of this review is pretty much a non-decision for Allcrab. My view doesn't change much. However I did highlight the one Made post that speaks to me a good amount, and in Allcrab's favor. I invite perspectives on that one especially.
It favors allcrab fairly (but far from completely).

I think its important to note that Made didn't have a lot of posts (when he has been capable of low and high posting as both alignments) so it may inherently be trying to not show much.

Though it feels like Allcrab did a bit of (metaphorical) dancing on that Made read and not picking a side. If my word is worth anything though, for a long time I only ever slightly town-read Made and wasn't sure of him either though.
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If that doesn't make a mockery of my confidence in my solving then I don't know what will.
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8448

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

Also no N1 kill?
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8449

Post by TonyStarkPrime »

Someone explain all three of these things to me
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Re: Cindy Kate & Percy Date Night Mafia <3 [DAY 6]

#8450

Post by MacDougall »

Made was in anti-spew essentially of day 5. Read his posts with that in mind.
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