I think colin is mafia
And I think there’s a difference check between carote and Alison probably?
I also from a theory perspective think it’s fucking stupid to accept me as town and not follow my TK so
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I didn't really accept it, it's more of a "we can skip over you not getting heat but we're still not following your yeet"NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 2:28 pm Idk man I’m pretty like
I think colin is mafia
And I think there’s a difference check between carote and Alison probably?
I also from a theory perspective think it’s fucking stupid to accept me as town and not follow my TK so![]()
I’ll probably regret this in post but oh wellNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 2:40 pm Idk but I don’t think alison/carote is the correct choice today, I think they’re *probably* not the team so I’d rather hunt the other mafia and deal with a potential difference check between them tomorrow tbh
Hmn I'm much more confident with Alison first. Not saying you'll never convince me but there's this thought in the back of my head of "what if it's Alison/Nanook"NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:14 pm Yeah I’m just ride or die with carote at this point and if they’re mafia you can yell at me about how obvious they were in post
Pretty sure colin is one, not sure if alison or ted is the second.
@Carotenoid can we do colin first, please? Pretty sold on him being mafia, combination of the resistance to doing him today and 112 scumreads on D1
How am I not reevaluating my read on you? I went through why I think v!Alison doesn't fit any world, this is just trying to discredit me.Alison wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 2:22 am I'm like 95% on it being Carotte/ted now. Wilgy flipping V probably means Ted is W. I have to admit at this point that the odds of that being V/V is low, no matter how much I want to townread ted for his play earlier. (I have good reasons to townread nook and Colin too, so one of those townreads has to be wrong.) Carotte not re-evaluating her read on me at all in light of proto's flip does not make sense if she is town. If I am scum with Colin, why not just blast nook and let proto attack Carotte? Why townshield proto all game against lots of outside suspicion when I could easily let him die, only to kill him a night before ExLo?
No nightkill that has been performed this game makes sense if I am scum. Carotte has to know this. She also has to know that I have the solve if my towncore is correct. So she comes out and immediately attacks me, because that's what she realized she had to do.
I have good reason to believe Carotte is scum and Ted is scum, and I have good reason to townclear both noom and Colin. This is the way.
lol what is it with you people thinking Alison and me have bussed all game just for funNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:31 pm I guess there’s no real reason I’m ruling out an alison/carote team going for the f5 cross bus to seal the deal at f3.
But, like...I think that’s probably a losing play for them, so idk
I’ll try to think more about teammate permutations later maybe, I don’t have enough time to figure this shit out properly but I feel like I owe broseph and co. at least an attempt
w!Alison isn't like, scared, but she definitely isn't afraid to turn against someone just because they're scumreading her. She did in SI and she won in endgame so lolztedxtr wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 1:33 pm[...]
The one thing I question though is why she'd take the Carotte tunnel as a scum over me? The only explanation I can really find is that maybe Carotte unravelled her team and so she panicked and went at Carotte because she was scared, which doesn't look very realistic given what I heard about her. Although maybe that would add an element of WIFOM that would distract us from the fact that a proto kill is a kill that Alison always makes.
Bruh I chopped 112 what is you sayingNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:14 pm Yeah I’m just ride or die with carote at this point and if they’re mafia you can yell at me about how obvious they were in post
Pretty sure colin is one, not sure if alison or ted is the second.
@Carotenoid can we do colin first, please? Pretty sold on him being mafia, combination of the resistance to doing him today and 112 scumreads on D1
My preferred team tbhNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 2:40 pm Idk but I don’t think alison/carote is the correct choice today, I think they’re *probably* not the team so I’d rather hunt the other mafia and deal with a potential difference check between them tomorrow tbh
wut. I hope this isn't some sort of shady mischop-Carotte-at-F3 setup, please just nightkill meColinIsCool wrote: ↑Fri Aug 28, 2020 7:45 amMy preferred team tbhNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 2:40 pm Idk but I don’t think alison/carote is the correct choice today, I think they’re *probably* not the team so I’d rather hunt the other mafia and deal with a potential difference check between them tomorrow tbh
Reasons Colin is scum:NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:50 am Like I’m sorry if you’re town, I think colin is the best kill today still, but if forced to choose between you and carote today I’ll vote you and you can lament my terrible read in post![]()
really? all this stuff makes sense to you?Alison wrote: ↑Fri Aug 28, 2020 1:22 pm - Town!ted thunderdomes town!Wilgy to the death, staking their own life on Wilgy being scum, and has no trace of remorse or inclination to re-evaluate the game when proven wrong.
- Amy is killed immediately after stating the the entire mafia team should not be reconsidered until F5.
- MacDougall is killed immediately after hard shielding mafia!Alison from town!Carotte.
- Both mafia members hard bus 112 Day 1, despite there being other viable options they could have pushed. Colin or 112, in this world, could have joined me in pushing TH (the Wilgy slot, so flipped town) or even 10K on Day 1. Both were plausible alternatives to the Alison/112 wagons day 1, but the scum team just decides "alright, let's have W/W wagons on Day 1, that sounds good" instead.
DrWilgy wrote: ↑Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:52 pm Final thoughts as I need to hop off:
I hope y'all take a long look at Ted and Carot after this.
Alison is potentially scum, BUTDrWilgy wrote: ↑Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:24 am Mac's death also points to Mac dying being more important than Alison, Proto, or Colin.
Meaning a town Proto and Colin are likely on the wrong path and a whomever scum is thinks they can still yeet a town Alison
I feel that a scum Proto or Colin would've pushed for me earlier in the cycle. A scum Alison is possible, but unlikely for the reason that a town proto/colin is likely wrong.
Thank you Carotenoid, very cool!Carotenoid wrote: ↑Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:14 pm DID YOU KNOW THAAT ONCE A TORTOISE SURVIVED 23 DAYS WITHOUT A HEAD
idk man i shouldnt be too salty but what gets me is you literally had the answer and elected to ignore your intuition along with all the actual evidenceNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:15 pm Yeah it’s easy when you don’t have to actually make the decision![]()