Search found 57 matches

by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:46 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

also town reading DDL
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:46 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

I'm town reading daisy and dizzy. not town reading guillo or creature.
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:28 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

falcon45ca wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 5:56 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 5:55 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 5:51 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:56 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:40 pm Why do I feel like people (aka scum) is avoiding hollowkat
threadspewed town baby
How ya figure that?

[VOTE: HK] aubergine
cause I'm not a runaway easy wagon to get on
I don't see what that has to do with the price of eggs in China
me neither, but I'm definitely not a chicken farmer so
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 5:55 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

falcon45ca wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 5:51 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:56 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:40 pm Why do I feel like people (aka scum) is avoiding hollowkat
threadspewed town baby
How ya figure that?

[VOTE: HK] aubergine
cause I'm not a runaway easy wagon to get on
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:56 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:40 pm Why do I feel like people (aka scum) is avoiding hollowkat
threadspewed town baby
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:02 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

Creature wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 2:51 pm
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 2:39 pm I guess there is a lesson to be learned about finding an "optimal" mathematical solution that disregards the social aspect of the game and ignores that the game is designed with much higher winning odds for the mafia faction, which town can only overcome through social cohesion.
There should also have a mechanism solution that allows town to attempt to save other players besides the Red Panda. Like, the Marmot and NotAnAxehole kills were pretty predictable and someone could've saved them. I guess I might leave this discussion for postgame because I'm not sure how beneficial it is to talk about it right now.
I rolled save nanook last night so that's what I did.
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:30 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

Creature wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:28 pm This game feels like freelo for wolves because of the level of apathy. All I can do is try to figure out who is wolf taking advantage of it and who is town underplaying.
one of these two options is me
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:22 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

Creature wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:19 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:10 pm I'm voting creature btw
Understandable. Go for the currently most accessible mislynch.
I can't tell if that's sarcasm or what, but yeah, I think you're not a giant panda
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:21 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:14 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:08 pm nope what's up?
You have been found by the cop and now you are being yeeted, what are your last words
ACAB
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:10 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

I'm voting creature btw
by hollowkatt
Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:08 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 3]

nope what's up?
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 7:21 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 7:05 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:26 am Everyone knows their rolls for tonight?

60 if we kill trash panda
55 if we kill giant panda
Bumping for visibility
:beer:
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 6:17 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

I don't have a POE but I do have a do not shoot list:
dizzy
DDL
NAA
Falcon
Marmot

These people make me feel good about the solving they're trying to do and how they're going about it.

Guillo I think is probably town tbh but his push on me is ego driven more than it is anything else, that's bad guillo stop doing it.

Creature sheeped it, that was wonky, I'd shoot him.
Sig, Wigly, Urist, Spacedaisy I guess would be my POE by virtue of not town reading them.
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:13 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Marmot wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:03 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:15 pm
Creature wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:11 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 8:53 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:30 pm
Creature wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:22 pm
fingersplints wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 1:14 pm I think DDL is most suspicious so far today, for his comments in regards to falcon. It very much reads like maf throwing out some early confirmed town reads.

[VOTE: DDL] aubergine
fingersplints was mostly on DDL. If wolves bothered to ISO her then this might be a WIFOM kill.
DDL is 100 % town. I'd bet this and my three next games on it.
ok, so fingersplints was a dodge kill?
Looks very blatant if they killed her for suspecting DDL.
I'm ok with that. We can kill DDL

That was fast lol. Do you suspect DDL for any other reasons?
not at all, but I'm on them as being townie now.
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:02 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

Marmot wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:52 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:51 pm
Marmot wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:48 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:07 pmOk boomer

ONLY A BOOMER WOULD STILL THINK WE'RE PLAYING BOOMER MAFIA
tell me guillo isn't playing like a stuck in the mud boomer and I'll retract it ;-)
guillo isn't playing like a stuck in the mud boomer
I lied. I won't be retracting it.
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:51 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

Marmot wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:48 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:07 pmOk boomer

ONLY A BOOMER WOULD STILL THINK WE'RE PLAYING BOOMER MAFIA
tell me guillo isn't playing like a stuck in the mud boomer and I'll retract it ;-)
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:07 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

Ok boomer
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 12:37 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

Guillotine wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:29 am
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:03 am
NotAnAxehole wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:01 am
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:54 am
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:47 am When I die please shoot Guillo because this push is fabricated bullshit on a very flimsy reason. DDLs reason isn't any better
Why are you going to die? Seems a bit overdramatic
I don't think Hallowkatt is going to die.
Are you buying HK's "woe is me"? I don't like it, comes across as a bit of desperate AtE
I agree. Plus HK never breaks to pressure from me, he saying that if he dies i should be shot, is acknowledging that I'm town with the power to get him killed just based on my read.
Since pocketing me didnt work, he is trying to AtE me because he is feeling that pressure.

What are you worried about HK? That Nanook might sheep me again? :flamed:
the only thing I'm worried about is you getting away with this little stunt, and creature sheeping you on it. DDL I've changed my mind on, they can be town.
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:28 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

Guillotine wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:21 am
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:47 am When I die please shoot Guillo because this push is fabricated bullshit on a very flimsy reason. DDLs reason isn't any better
Dont AtE bro, you know that shit does not work on me. Find me a pelt to get on my good graces.
It's a good thing I don't particularly care about being in your good graces then isn't it?
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:16 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

falcon45ca wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:12 am
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:09 am
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:54 am
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:47 am When I die please shoot Guillo because this push is fabricated bullshit on a very flimsy reason. DDLs reason isn't any better
Why are you going to die? Seems a bit overdramatic
I was going for emphasis there.
How do you read Creature, given how you feel about the others on your wagon?
I feel like it's super lame to say creature is a trash panda but creature is a trash panda
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:15 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

Ok, so basically guillos "case" is that I should have recognized that michelle was wolfing based entirely off of her post count, and while it is true that michelle posts lower as wolf than she does as town the shot yesterday was a gut feeling and meta application more than it was deductive reasoning to arrive at michelle is a wolf. Guillo saying "HK is wolf because he didn't make the gut call I did" is lame and wrong.
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:09 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

falcon45ca wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:54 am
hollowkatt wrote: Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:47 am When I die please shoot Guillo because this push is fabricated bullshit on a very flimsy reason. DDLs reason isn't any better
Why are you going to die? Seems a bit overdramatic
I was going for emphasis there.
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:47 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

When I die please shoot Guillo because this push is fabricated bullshit on a very flimsy reason. DDLs reason isn't any better
by hollowkatt
Fri Feb 11, 2022 1:05 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 2]

Doctor Wigleston I Presume?
by hollowkatt
Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:15 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Creature wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:11 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 8:53 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:30 pm
Creature wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:22 pm
fingersplints wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 1:14 pm I think DDL is most suspicious so far today, for his comments in regards to falcon. It very much reads like maf throwing out some early confirmed town reads.

[VOTE: DDL] aubergine
fingersplints was mostly on DDL. If wolves bothered to ISO her then this might be a WIFOM kill.
DDL is 100 % town. I'd bet this and my three next games on it.
ok, so fingersplints was a dodge kill?
Looks very blatant if they killed her for suspecting DDL.
I'm ok with that. We can kill DDL
by hollowkatt
Thu Feb 10, 2022 8:53 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:30 pm
Creature wrote: Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:22 pm
fingersplints wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 1:14 pm I think DDL is most suspicious so far today, for his comments in regards to falcon. It very much reads like maf throwing out some early confirmed town reads.

[VOTE: DDL] aubergine
fingersplints was mostly on DDL. If wolves bothered to ISO her then this might be a WIFOM kill.
DDL is 100 % town. I'd bet this and my three next games on it.
ok, so fingersplints was a dodge kill?
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 6:49 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

god I hope I didn't just tag everyone
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 6:46 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 6:40 pm Well. Then this might be the game to sort by dog name suitability tbh
@Creature - Excellent dog game, top notch
@Dragon D. Luffy - It takes a special kind of person to name their dog this. I am that kind of person.
@DrWilgy - Yes. With the caveat that this is either a very very small dog or a very very large dog. This is not a Terrier name.
@Dyslexicon - Challenging to be a dog name but whomever goes with it wears black, or all colors, has a hat of some sort that they're known for, and otherwise is a neat person
@falcon45ca - This is a bird
@fingersplints - no, bad, don't
@Guillotine - Angry French Dog. I love it
@hollowkatt - This is a cat
@Marmot - Only if you're into surrealism
@Michelle - Perfectly normal dog name, yes
@NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME - Is the best dog name in the thread
@NotAnAxehole - sure, I guess. I wouldn't do it but someone who thinks it's funny to name their pit bull/rottweiler this will do it
@sig - no
@Spacedaisy - absolutely. bonus points if it's a golden retriever or some kind of yappy dog. or a dachshund.
@Urist - This is a Lamborghini masquerading as a dog. no.
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 6:09 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Guillotine wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 6:08 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 6:05 pm I mean what I said. You probably die early this game. But we'll see.
Inb4 this is wolf!you straight up telling me that you are gonna kill me.
lol
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 6:08 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Guillotine wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 5:50 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 4:54 pm DDL and Guillo trying to distance, and it's very cute.

@Guillotine What role did you think Nanook had when you started the game? You seemed confused about the mechanics, though I don't understand how.

I also want to tunnel Creature. I just want to. I had the idea that he didn't care as much about the mech stuff and really wanting to find the best plan for town, which I perceived HK and NAA to be doing at the very beginning of the game. When I read it again, meh, might've imagined that. But I still find his wording SUSPICIOUS. This might be dumb, but if he's mafia, I'm a genius.

These might be bad takes, but good thing is that we can always blame Nook if things goes to shits.
I read zero about the set up when i signed up for it. Zero when it begun.
I got the pm and i thought i randed doctor (and cursed the rand god for it) and then i proceeded to hard claim it as i usually hard claim random roles all the time, then others began posting and townreading me based on a dumbtell and there is when i realized that maybe i should read the OP. There is when i realized that i fucked up :haha: by signing up for a game that is not really mafia, that i'm being forced to let Nanook decide for me who is the chop and that on top of that, I have to protect him or we auto lose. And then all of that math talk… like, im here to play mafia… but im not and i still dont know what im supposed to do at night so im just gonna protect Nanook until i die cause that is simple enough
¯\\_(ツ)\_/¯

I signed up for this game cause of you and hk to be honest, i never miss a chance to play with both of you even though i cant read you both for shit lol. But i will never get better at reading you if i dont play with you often.
aww, thanks!

I'm looking at this game like it's mafia, just that Nanook is the person who's got the ability to cast the only real vote in the game. It's still on me to help find trash pandas, protect my townies, and be town myself. I just don't have the authority to remove someone from the game. Doesn't mean my contribution isn't meaningful.
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 5:41 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 5:12 pm But also, HK, you would 100 % buddy me as mafia here, cause you know I love that shit lol.

I like Juliets so far tbh. Her sass to Creature was good. Not really getting a ton of wow that's town reads otherwise tbh. Be more town, please. Like me.
yeah, and a post like this one is why I wouldn't. I can't always try the same tactic yeah?
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 5:02 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 4:55 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 4:55 pmYour posts are round like a panda
Doesn't make sense to me. But no read on me D1 makes sense to me ever.
I'll try to articulate then.
You have a tendency D1 to be fluffy and go with the flow regardless of what you rand, but more so when you're not town. Not because you're bad at trying to fit in and get things going as a wolf, you're a scary wolf, but because it's an easy way for you to blend with the crowd and scrape a few town reads.

When you're town you're more focused on what's going on because I feel it's important to you. Your early posts here were more focused than fluffy and there is a tone in them that seems pure to me. You have an early post talking about several different people that doesn't feel faked, and your next post, where you discuss mech, you conclude with a reminder that we need to find the trash pandas when most people were content to let their mech posts stand as is. You're reminding us that there's a team of baddies that we do need to find.

If you're a trash panda here there's no reason you need to add that last little coda to your post, you can just talk about mech like most everyone else was doing.

I dunno, that's a long winded way of saying "I think you're town because reading your posts makes me feel good about you" as opposed to "I think you're a trash panda because reading your posts makes me concerned about you"

HOpe that helps
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 4:55 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Dyslexicon wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 4:49 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 2:33 pm
Creature wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:59 pm I'm probably looking at Dragon + Dyslexicon + one of the mech talkers (NAA/HK/Guillo/maybe Urist).
I don't remember why I felt good about dizzy but I did. People seem to want to pile on dragon and meh I'm not sure I care about dragon.
Why me to this too tbh lol
Your posts are round like a panda
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 4:10 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Guillotine wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 4:00 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 2:33 pm
Creature wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:59 pm I'm probably looking at Dragon + Dyslexicon + one of the mech talkers (NAA/HK/Guillo/maybe Urist).
I don't remember why I felt good about dizzy but I did. People seem to want to pile on dragon and meh I'm not sure I care about dragon.
Why don't you care about Dragon?

How about Michelle? She only has four posts, that means she is scum.

[VOTE: Michelle] aubergine
I meant that as I don't care if dragon dies, I don't have a town read there.

Michelle I think is probs fine? Like yes, only 4 posts, but none of them are bad, they exist.
Her saying she's not great with mech/math is accurate for her and following the plan is something everyone says they're going to do b/c you have to in games like this so really you've got to read her on tone and intent.

I like both of these posts:
Michelle wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 10:12 am
sig wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 10:02 am Also I totally should’ve read the rules before starting since lol wtf is this.

But also oof so glad I’m not the red panda we’d be dead by like day 3 somehow

Also also, is it accurate to say if we don’t use our actions it’s randed? If so wouldn’t it make the most sense for only like 3 ppl to target nanook and nobody else does anything so it’s totally random
From what I read we don't have to use our action each night, correct me if I am wrong, but I understand we can holster and keep our shots
Michelle wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 10:10 am
Creature wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 9:36 am
Urist wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 9:31 am Rethinking this. It might not be worth trying to save anyone other than Nanook. In terms of actual value gained by saving other people, we would need 3 successful saves in order to increase our number of miselims from two to three.

Given this, I'm tempted to say we should just do the d3 method because it's prob the only one everyone will be able to understand.
I hope NANOOK is a good wolf hunter then.

11 v 4 --> Mislynch --> 10 v 4 --> Odd-night nightkill --> 9 v 4 --> Mislynch --> 8 v 4 --> Even-night nightkills --> 6 v 4 --> Mislynch --> 5 v 4 --> Odd-night nightkill --> 4 v 4

I think it's gonna be extremely hard for town to win if all nightkills succeed.
Nanook is a good wolf hunter

This is the worst case scenario and I doubt it will be like this, so we should do this every day depending on the flips to check the gamestate.

I think defending Nanook and scumhunting in the classic way should bring us the win
like ok, I play and host a LOT of secret hitler, which is very similar to this type of setup. You've got a team with knowledge and you've got a team with numbers.

The team with numbers wins by keeping the team with knowledge out of the pool of government. We've already accomplished that with having a Red Panda to lead us. We aren't making decisions at the end of the day other than where and when to protect. It's not on us specifically to "remove" another player from the game.

In SH you also don't get to remove, you have to use social/thread pressure to freeze the badguys out of the game.

Where it differs is that we aren't voting on governments here so there's no real track record of who's onboard with things or not, but what we do have is semi-traditional wolf hunting. We've started that already with potential wagons on DDL, Michelle, and NAA.

Now that there's some votes cast we can talk about those votes, see who's onboard and who's not, and why, and go from there. eventually this will give us a pool not only to remove from, but also to not worry about protecting, which allows us to focus our protections better on those who are going to need it.

My point here is this: It's smart for both teams to at least appear to be in step with The Plan so we can't scum hunt by looking at people who are opposed to the plan. What we have to do is look at tonally how they're supporting the plan, who appears to be approaching things straight vs with agenda, and that kind of thing.

Like most games today is a crap shoot but tomorrow we'll have knowledge on who defended the removed player should they be a raccoon, or who was pushing them should they be a giant panda.

tl;dr I think michelle is fine for now even at low posting.
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 2:33 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Creature wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:59 pm I'm probably looking at Dragon + Dyslexicon + one of the mech talkers (NAA/HK/Guillo/maybe Urist).
I don't remember why I felt good about dizzy but I did. People seem to want to pile on dragon and meh I'm not sure I care about dragon.
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:54 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

I'm struggling to figure out how to talk about alignments though
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:54 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

creature has the right of this btw. Yes there's mech to be concerned with but more importantly there's trash pandas to find and eliminate and while we're mostly talking about mech we do need to start figuring out how to talk about alignments.
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:44 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

falcon45ca wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:41 pm
Urist wrote: Wed Feb 09, 2022 11:03 am Alright so what we're doing is rolling 1d100, and if you get AT LEAST this high a number, you save Nanook:

Odd Nights

Code: Select all

# of Living Pandas   Save if you roll at least this number
10                   66
9                    63
8                    60
7                    55
6                    50
5                    45
4                    33
3                    25
2                    15
Even Nights

Code: Select all

# of Living Pandas   Save if you roll at least this number
9                    60
8                    55
7                    50
6                    45
5                    35
4                    25
3                    10
2                    1
Do we claim what we roll so we know who's on Nook? I'm not a big mech play guy
I think that makes sense yeah
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:05 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

I have no idea how the math works out, I failed math many times, but I'm all in on the plan and the tables Urist created/nanook quoted make sense to me and that I can follow.

also guillo is wolf reading me b/c he can't help himself. It's cool though, I'm a good doobie and I'll follow the plan.
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:58 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

like yes, your range is infinite and yes you're The Amazing Guillo, but c'mon, why fake that when you can just "be town"
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:58 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

now can I call guillo lock town?
by hollowkatt
Wed Feb 09, 2022 12:53 am
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

lol
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 10:31 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

probably we want constant detail on nanook and then allow townies to use their best judgement to protect other townies?
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 10:16 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

that's probably ideal from nanook tbh to just read and maybe react to pings or something like that
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:50 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:45 pm Ok, so basic risk calculation indicates that if we all roll 3, and we only save on a 3 (1/3 of the time)... There's a 1.7% probability of mafia winning instantly with a shot on Nanook -> This isn't a viable shot for them.

If we maintain a ~1.5-2% chance each day (just need to calculate the numbers for each amount of pandas), every scenario, should be trivial...

That gives mafia about a 7% chance of winning in by day 4 (exclusive targeting Nanook), 13% chance with 8 days of targeting...

This is a very good number for town, and I think Nanook can kill mafia faster than this.. I have not calculated the probability of us running out of saves, but I would probably do that privately...

Nobody ever saves anyone but Nanook, and nobody ever claims saves.
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:46 pm So tonight, we each take a 66% probability of no save, and a 33% probability of saving Nanook - And we just need to check if Pandas have sufficient saves to save other people / themselves.
I don't hate any of this and the math looks like it makes sense. Again I'm thinking along the lines of Secret Hitler type play where we forum a trusted circle and instead of slowly shrinking it to the bare minimum we need to win the game we slowly grow it with additional trusted people.

The problem is I tend to town read maths posts like this and it's super easy for a wolf to make.
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:44 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Guillotine wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:43 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:20 pm
Guillotine wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:13 pm
Urist wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 8:08 pm nanook lock town never rescind
This is TMI
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:14 pm
Guillotine wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:10 pm Im telling you right now, i aint attempting to save anyone in this game but myself, i believes in flips over saves.
Is this a dumbtell?
yes, yes it is. Guillo lock town never rescinding.
Smh HK, here we go again
yeah only this time I'm town!

Seriously though, I expect trash panda guillo to know these things and not make those posts even if you're trying to scrape town reads with them. You've got more skills than that and don't need to resort to derps.
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:43 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

falcon45ca wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:36 pm
hollowkatt wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:30 pm there's 40 saves vs the trash pandas. N1they get 1 kill. N2 they get 2. This pattern repeats.

Trash Pandas win when they kill nanook. We win when they're all gone. Obvs it makes sense to have some amount of protection going on nanook every night, and we have the saves to do it. As the game goes on there'll be people less likely to be pandas, we don't save them.

There will be people more likely to be pandas, we save them.

What we don't do is play games with how we're saving. Conservative play here I think makes the most sense. On even nights we need 2 people on nanook, odd nights only one. There should be nights where some pandas don't save at all.
How do we make sure the 1 player is town?



Cuz surely you've thought of a Maf claiming to save Nook and then...not saving Nook.



We need redundancies each night so Maf don't take control of save position
yeah, absolutely. So what we ought to do is create groups of 4. We shouldn't create these groups till like 20ish hours or so have elapsed in the game day so that we'll have some kinds of reads, but we create groups of 4.

Odds are very low we'll ever have more than 1 trash panda in a group, if we make them well. Then we assign groups to protect each night.

So say G1 is me, you, creature, guillo. we assign G1 to protect N1. We'll tell G1 people "at two of you protect nanook tonight. Then we have to trust that we've hit 2 townies in the group and they protect.

There's a lot of trust involved but it's basically a secret hitler variant where you've just got to get to a circle of trusted players ASAP and then work with those trusted players to do the protecting. Likewise we need to continually add trusted players to the groups so that we keep nanook protected.

Since we're not dealing with majority votes to eliminate during the day we don't really have to worry about things like parity, as long as there's more town than trash we should be fine.

I'm sure I'm missing shit but tihs is the basic idea I came up with.
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:30 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

there's 40 saves vs the trash pandas. N1they get 1 kill. N2 they get 2. This pattern repeats.

Trash Pandas win when they kill nanook. We win when they're all gone. Obvs it makes sense to have some amount of protection going on nanook every night, and we have the saves to do it. As the game goes on there'll be people less likely to be pandas, we don't save them.

There will be people more likely to be pandas, we save them.

What we don't do is play games with how we're saving. Conservative play here I think makes the most sense. On even nights we need 2 people on nanook, odd nights only one. There should be nights where some pandas don't save at all.
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:20 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Guillotine wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:13 pm
Urist wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 8:08 pm nanook lock town never rescind
This is TMI
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:14 pm
Guillotine wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:10 pm Im telling you right now, i aint attempting to save anyone in this game but myself, i believes in flips over saves.
Is this a dumbtell?
yes, yes it is. Guillo lock town never rescinding.
by hollowkatt
Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:20 pm
Forum: Previous Rackets
Topic: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 7]
Replies: 1269
Views: 49035

Re: Pandas vs Trash Pandas [Day 1]

Guillotine wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:12 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: Tue Feb 08, 2022 9:07 pm 95% of this game is just coordinating saves right?
Im not saving you
and you never should. Saves go on nanook, he's the only townie that matters.

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