COOO! COO! (Okosan means if you actually have a vig you just claimed to DDL so...
![Huh? :huh:](./images/smilies/sCo_blink.gif)
Return to “[END] Hope Keeps On Going - Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc Mafia”
Coooo! (Something else Okosan thought of too late on the night that should've been mass roleblocked is that Celestia should've submitted their action at the absolute last second if we trust that the Tie Breaker isn't converted as the Ultimate Moral Compass. That way there would two confirms because scum Celestia probably just never roleblocks)tedxtr wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2020 3:54 pm I think we can also do some tricks in order to see if some of our roles are alive, for example, some person can claim if they've had BTSC with Naegi lately, so we can see if he's still here, stuff like that. Not sure if it's necessarily productive, but, it seems like some fresh touch. I don't know if it helps with anything though.
COOOOO! (Lol so first you say that you're just ignoring the fact that there's a wolf Day 1, and now the 4 people you picked earlier are the only candidates for it. Nice. Even though you yourself said you haven't done any analyzing about Day 1)tedxtr wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2020 5:25 amI will try to explain this one more time, and if you don’t get it, I’ll stop explaining.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2020 5:09 amYou town read literally every player in the game more than me? And you don’t actually suspect me? And you’re accusing me of sowing paranoia for being discouraged by the recruitment mechanic?
What is happening right now? You have definitely expressed reasons for reading me a certain way. I remember them. I remember responding to them and being confused by them.
I started my town hunting process. I strictly looked for town. I have managed to form a town core that I’m not looking back on.
The people that I have NO reason town reading, are you / sig / okosan / fayt
I literally found nothing that paints any of you as town, whatsoever. Therefore, you are in the PoE.
Now, it’s not that I directly suspect you. This method of hunting is the reverse of the scum hunting one. I am literally town hunting. That just leaves the people that I have no reason to town read out in the open.
That’s what I mean that I don’t have a direct suspicion on you. It’s the towniness of other people that left you out standing in the sun.
Therefore, the only way you can make me change my mind on you is if you change my mind on why the people that I’m town reading aren’t town. That’s all I ask from you. And the only way you’re avoiding the pain train that will be me tunneling you into oblivion is by doing just that. Not any other way.
I made a case on why I town read the other people. Feel free to read it and tell me where I am wrong with my town reads on people.
I mean, technically speaking, there should be close to 3 scum now? I think? So there is a possibility one of my people from the town core got converted. I’m working from outside to the inside. I’m leaving the Day 1 wolf in a PoE, which is in between you / sig / fayt / okosan, maybe there are more, who knows. And after I’m done lynching each and everyone of you until I hit scum, I will be focusing on my town reads.
Coo! (Okosan means you dropped on your vote on someone that is confirmed town now for a horrible reason, left the rest of the day, and still haven't addressed Okosan's question to you about if you had any other susses. You're easy scum)
Cooooo! (Wtf do you mean "Okosan’s deliberately pushing in my town pool and what do you know, we already flipped one town." You're phrasing this sentence as if it's Okosan's fault a town flipped but Okosan had nothing to do with that, and in fact was even town reading Jack and wanted to prevent his lynch)tedxtr wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2020 4:15 am Yes, I object to Rej.
You’ll have to go through why my town read on Rej is faulty.
I am quite content with my PoE and would like people to address it. I’d appreciate if we didn’t lynch in what i deem to be a town pool. I can’t stop you, but at the same time, it’s not like you even consider my analysis. I mean, why Rej? Instead of Sloonei / Fayt / Okosan ? I really think there’s at least one scum in that pairing. I think all my town reads are solid. Okosan’s deliberately pushing in my town pool and what do you know, we already flipped one town. Now he’s pushing Long Con, if he flips town, what’s gonna happen next?
Just lynch the people that aren’t town, that’s all there is to it. Rej is not scum.
Coooooo! (Honestly probably one of TSP, Rej, or Long Con. Long Con is only back on the list because Okosan really didn't like his jump on JackOfHearts)
Cooooooo? (Are there other people you currently sus in this game or are is it just Jack? Also, what makes Jack the most suspicious of the people who figured it was DDL?)Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:37 am Argh. No. Jack of Hearts is a schemer. We're supposed to believe that he just *realized* it was DDL from a PM? We lynched DDL and he survived, like he knew he would. Like he knew when he was plotting with Jack. "Sure, out me, it doesn't really matter," says DDL. "You'll get cred for it!"
[VOTE: Jack] aubergine
Cooo! (To be fair Okosan doesn't think there's any reason we should automatically read you town for it either. Scum would want to hunt for Monokuma as much as Town would. Since Monokuma getting lynched, not being able to recruit anyone, or whatever else doesn't stop mafia from winning unless it literally ends the game. Plus it gets them a lot of town cred and apparently just wastes a day for town)TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 11:06 amI got a PM of like 7 words and was like “it’s one of four people”. It’s completely reasonable. The only way it’s advantageous to scum to lynch DDL is if the game is completely broken.Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:37 am Argh. No. Jack of Hearts is a schemer. We're supposed to believe that he just *realized* it was DDL from a PM? We lynched DDL and he survived, like he knew he would. Like he knew when he was plotting with Jack. "Sure, out me, it doesn't really matter," says DDL. "You'll get cred for it!"
[VOTE: Jack] aubergine
If Jack were the first night recruit, DDL would have PMed him with his identity to calm him down.
Coo! (It's just to Okosan out of the two people barely posting in this game Creature seems so much more scummy than Fayt unless there's some personality thing that Okosan is unaware of)tedxtr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:53 amBad reasons. But good question.Okosan wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:37 amCOOOOO! (Okay if that's the case then why do you trust Creature over those 4 people?)tedxtr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:33 amI don't scum read him. I don't scum read any of you or Sloonei either. You're left out in the open because you're not being town.
It's not a matter of me scum reading you, it's a matter of me placing higher trust in my town reads, which leaves you out in the open.
COO! (It just seems very unlikely that mafia get to kill the same night that they are recruited. Because what if DDL takes until the end of the night to pick someone? Then mafia just gets screwed. In Okosan's mind it makes a lot more sense that DDL got to start with a recruit on Day 0 or that there's a traitor that started it like mentioned earlier in the game)tedxtr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:52 amI think you're still not getting it, or maybe I'm not seeing your point.Okosan wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:35 am COOO! (Oops this was supposed to be under that)
Coo! (Uh no Okosan didn't? There was a kill N1 so unless you think either Monoluma recruited someone N1 and the got the chance to kill the same night, or Monokuma or town did the killing instead, there had to be a mafia by N0 or N1)
The first night of the game was Night 1.
Night 1 only occurs after Day 0 and Day 1 end.
My assumption is that recruits can kill on the same night as they've been recruited. I was hunting scum in Day 2 because it's right after Night 1.
COOOOO! (Depending on how much this covers DDL might not have been able to suggest that to mafia since that would be helping them gain cred to survive to the end. But this rule is very vague)
COOOOO! (Okay if that's the case then why do you trust Creature over those 4 people?)tedxtr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:33 amI don't scum read him. I don't scum read any of you or Sloonei either. You're left out in the open because you're not being town.
It's not a matter of me scum reading you, it's a matter of me placing higher trust in my town reads, which leaves you out in the open.
tedxtr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:32 amD0 goes into Day 1 and Night 1 comes after Day 1. So, you just misunderstood how the phases work.Okosan wrote: ↑Sat Jan 25, 2020 10:12 amCooooo! (So Okosan finally took a good look at this post, and he kind of finds himself disagreeing with a lot of it. First off, before Okosan gets into any of the reads, why are you assuming there was no mafia on Day 0 or 1? Day 0 Okosan can understand, but obviously there was a kill N1. So unless you think DDL converted someone N1, they got notified N1, and then killed someone there has to already be scum by that point. Sure there are no partners, but honestly Okosan feels like in this game partners don't mean a lot anyways and we won't get as much as we might like from analyzing stuff like that. Since the "mafia"'s only wincon is to kill someone and live what do they care if the rest of their team dies?)tedxtr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 24, 2020 4:56 pm Note : This will be my town casing of people and my personal PoE. Also, some of you might notice a pattern where I read people based on their posting on day 2. I have intended that, as I see Day 0 and Day 1 a waste to read people. All this analysis was made under the presumption that there was no real mafia on day 0 and day 1 and so, it would be a waste to sort there.
Long Con :
===================Spoiler: show
Trustworthy Liberal :
===================Spoiler: show
Rej :
====================Spoiler: show
TSP :
===========Spoiler: show
Jackofhearts :
=========================Spoiler: show
Turnip Head :
=======================Spoiler: show
p-edit (i believe you call it linki here?) - I see, that's reasonable. It adds up with your thought that he's town, I'd take it you would suspect if new people advocated against your lynch here. However, his vote was placed purely based on how he would think Monokuma would handle EoD, it didn't have to do anything with your play style there. Curious. What made you feel like he voted you based on him not knowing you?
Coo!! (Question why do you scum read fayt? Okosan can understand if you null read her do to her not really posting, but why the scum read? Or are you just saying these are good lynches regardless?)
Cooooo! (So Okosan finally took a good look at this post, and he kind of finds himself disagreeing with a lot of it. First off, before Okosan gets into any of the reads, why are you assuming there was no mafia on Day 0 or 1? Day 0 Okosan can understand, but obviously there was a kill N1. So unless you think DDL converted someone N1, they got notified N1, and then killed someone there has to already be scum by that point. Sure there are no partners, but honestly Okosan feels like in this game partners don't mean a lot anyways and we won't get as much as we might like from analyzing stuff like that. Since the "mafia"'s only wincon is to kill someone and live what do they care if the rest of their team dies?)tedxtr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 24, 2020 4:56 pm Note : This will be my town casing of people and my personal PoE. Also, some of you might notice a pattern where I read people based on their posting on day 2. I have intended that, as I see Day 0 and Day 1 a waste to read people. All this analysis was made under the presumption that there was no real mafia on day 0 and day 1 and so, it would be a waste to sort there.
Long Con :
===================Spoiler: show
Trustworthy Liberal :
===================Spoiler: show
Rej :
====================Spoiler: show
TSP :
===========Spoiler: show
Jackofhearts :
=========================Spoiler: show
Turnip Head :
=======================Spoiler: show
p-edit (i believe you call it linki here?) - I see, that's reasonable. It adds up with your thought that he's town, I'd take it you would suspect if new people advocated against your lynch here. However, his vote was placed purely based on how he would think Monokuma would handle EoD, it didn't have to do anything with your play style there. Curious. What made you feel like he voted you based on him not knowing you?
tedxtr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 24, 2020 5:19 pm I see.
Here’s what’s up. I am still stuck on that mentality thing and don’t get why you’d have a sudden change of opinion that’s seemingly unwarranted, but I’ll admit I’m not really that confident in it either.
I have a 1 scum read in between you and Sloonei, granted more because you’re both likely to flip scum at a more than rand chance, which means I have you as nulls that didn’t really do anything townie, so that’s why I feel fine with lynching you.
Now, that’s lazy thinking. So what i’d really appreciate is if you’d try and sort Sloonei for me by asking questions and vice versa, you could start from how you are feeling about Sloonei holistically and then maybe start the questioning process from his reasoning for town reading you and whether you think it’s town thought process or not.
COOO! (Could you please not Town read Okosan until the day starts thanks. He'd rather looks suspicious so mafia don't kill him if the mass roleblock is deadSloonei wrote: ↑Fri Jan 24, 2020 5:56 pmOkosan was a town read without the read on me. I felt like he was flapping his wings in the right direction yesterday, particularly in regards to the case you were pushing against him: all the points you raised against Okosan yesterday were points that I considered to be in his favor.
I also did not suggest that Okosan misconstrued anything about me. I agreed with his theory about how the mean bear would have approached Day 1. But his case against me via that theory would have required me to make a careless mistake that I’d never in a million years make. To be clear, I’m saying that I’m brilliant and that shit’s beneath me.
Coooooo! (Okosan wasn't saying DDL was town there. He was saying in the scenario that Okosan was scum why wouldn't Okosan just find a reason to jump on DDL considering in that scenario almost everyone else in the game is town. Which makes more sense when you read a later(?) post saying that Okosan thought way more people were on DDL for some reason)
COOO! (Oh Okosan just thought of a great way we probably should've tried confirming the mass role block with the tie breaker who gets to see the last person who submits their night action. Because if the roleblock goes off then the role is very unlikely scum. And The tie breaker is probably not able to be converted due to him being the Ultimate Moral Compass)
Cooooooooo! (Well in the world that she's the first/only recruit it doesn't make her any more town no. Because it's not like scum would be directing the lynch off of her. In the world in which there's two mafia it's iffier, and Okosan thinks that's the world we're in? Because otherwise there shouldn't have been a kill yesterday right?)