If I wasn't being a ninny and actually considered the questions I was asking, it would have been 50/50 here as well.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:35 pmMost of the time one civ gets confirmed d1 and another one d2, so this ends in a 50-50.Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:33 pmFun stuff, but not my cup of tea really. I was sitting here trying to figure out how in the world mafia ever wins these things.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:31 pm I love how the roles reflect what actually happened.
Soneji called sprityo bad and wanted to lynch him. But nobody listened to him cuz he was clearly insane.
Epi, the paranoid villager, brought the torches and pitchforks and lynched him.
Luna, he sane one, was the only one who knew what was happening.
But Speedchuck, the naive one, was too easily fooled and allowed sprityo the baddie to win.
At least I now have an answer: speedchuck
This game actually didnt confirm anyone d1 but I haven't checked. Sometimes it goes the other way and town wins automatically but thats rare.
It also depends if no lynch is allowed or not. In games where it is town has a much better winning chance. I like to ban it though.
Search found 42 matches
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:44 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:34 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Correct.Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:33 pmFun stuff, but not my cup of tea really. I was sitting here trying to figure out how in the world mafia ever wins these things.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:31 pm I love how the roles reflect what actually happened.
Soneji called sprityo bad and wanted to lynch him. But nobody listened to him cuz he was clearly insane.
Epi, the paranoid villager, brought the torches and pitchforks and lynched him.
Luna, he sane one, was the only one who knew what was happening.
But Speedchuck, the naive one, was too easily fooled and allowed sprityo the baddie to win.
At least I now have an answer: speedchuck
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:33 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I have played 6 burglaries on this site.
I won ONE of them. The one where I was killed night one so I couldn't screw up my team. In all of the rest, I have been mostly responsible for the annihilation of my team.
I think I just need to leave this TF alone.
I won ONE of them. The one where I was killed night one so I couldn't screw up my team. In all of the rest, I have been mostly responsible for the annihilation of my team.
I think I just need to leave this TF alone.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:29 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
And lesson learned, I guess.
I need to stop freaking playing burglaries.
I need to stop freaking playing burglaries.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:27 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Nope. Clearly that was the mistake. I was in the middle of preparing a document for something else.Lunalee wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:23 pmwait, you mean you didn't make a spread sheet to keep up?speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:20 pmI think I misremembered who he checked.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:18 pmMy take is that you read "civilian cop" in soneji's flip and assumed he was sane but I'm not sure either.
I tried to consider it, but didn't keep track of everything. I'm pretty beating myself up right now.sprityo wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:24 pmdont beat yourself up speed. you even said so yourself that people try to mislead you. I think you got it in your head you had it solved and stopped considering the other way it could go. in this setup all possibilities should be consideredspeedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:23 pmClearly.sprityo wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:21 pmIT. WAS. ME!!!!speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:20 pmI think I misremembered who he checked.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:18 pmMy take is that you read "civilian cop" in soneji's flip and assumed he was sane but I'm not sure either.
I had it in my head that it was Epi or something. IDK. I screwed up the logic, which is just a great situation to be in.
Happens every time I try to lead town.
Though, to be fair, if I had figured out the one other possibility, I'm not sure which way I would have gone.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:23 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Clearly.sprityo wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:21 pmIT. WAS. ME!!!!speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:20 pmI think I misremembered who he checked.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:18 pmMy take is that you read "civilian cop" in soneji's flip and assumed he was sane but I'm not sure either.
I had it in my head that it was Epi or something. IDK. I screwed up the logic, which is just a great situation to be in.
Happens every time I try to lead town.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:20 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I think I misremembered who he checked.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:18 pmMy take is that you read "civilian cop" in soneji's flip and assumed he was sane but I'm not sure either.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:20 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
That was like the one other possibility, and everything would have to fall perfectly in place for it to come true. 95% chance that I was right.
But chances don't matter.
Well-played, I guess, though I wasn't actually hunting. If I had, maybe I would have done better.
But chances don't matter.
Well-played, I guess, though I wasn't actually hunting. If I had, maybe I would have done better.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:18 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I have no idea how I missed that possibility.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:10 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
THEN WHO WAS THE OTHER PARANOID/INSANE COP? You? Nope. Soneji? Nope. Me? Clearly not.Lunalee wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:07 pmEpi only checked you. that is not enough data to call him the paranoid cop. you could very easily just be mafia, and epi was the real cop.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:06 pmBut we have a role that necessitates evil checks. Nobody else can be the paranoid cop except for Epi. And if Epi is the paranoid cop, then who is the insane cop?
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:07 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
If Epi's insane and I'm scum, how did he check me as scum? (Which he indirectly said that he did, by saying he was possibly the paranoid cop and not the naive cop)
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:06 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
But we have a role that necessitates evil checks. Nobody else can be the paranoid cop except for Epi. And if Epi is the paranoid cop, then who is the insane cop?
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:04 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
[VOTE:
Luna] aubergine
I think that even if I tried to assume myself as scum at this point in the game, it wouldn't work. It was a good game, but like One Night Werewolf, sometimes it's just solvable.
Unless I've goofed, in which case, I own it.
I think that even if I tried to assume myself as scum at this point in the game, it wouldn't work. It was a good game, but like One Night Werewolf, sometimes it's just solvable.
Unless I've goofed, in which case, I own it.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:58 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Then who is the insane cop?Lunalee wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:58 pmI don't get how that makes this solvable. Epi could have been an actual cop, and sprit an "everyone is mafia" cop. you would then be scum.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:55 pm Since we have confirmed 100% that Sprit and Epi are paranoid/insane cop, then whichever one is INSANE checked me and got SCUM.
Which means I am TOWN. 100% confirmed. Because Epi and Sprit both checked me, this game is 100% solvable.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:57 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Sprit is townfirm as paranoid/insane.
Trying to think through other possibilities.
Trying to think through other possibilities.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:55 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I literally just proved it with the rules of the game. Because of the way you and Epi checked me.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:55 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Since we have confirmed 100% that Sprit and Epi are paranoid/insane cop, then whichever one is INSANE checked me and got SCUM.
Which means I am TOWN. 100% confirmed. Because Epi and Sprit both checked me, this game is 100% solvable.
Which means I am TOWN. 100% confirmed. Because Epi and Sprit both checked me, this game is 100% solvable.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:53 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Epi had to be the paranoid/insane cop.
The other of the paranoid/insane cop HAS TO BE SPRIT.
Why? Because everyone else has checked 2 people, and hasn't gotten a single scumread.
The other of the paranoid/insane cop HAS TO BE SPRIT.
Why? Because everyone else has checked 2 people, and hasn't gotten a single scumread.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:49 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I mean...
I feel like you're probably getting lynched today. If you are town, you lose. If you are scum, which I think you are, you lose.
So it might not have been cool for me to just semi-solve the game and lead everyone to the lynch. Sorry about that.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:47 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Your results, Sprit
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:47 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I also got a civ read on Lunalee
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:38 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Welp. Sorry Luna.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:36 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:35 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
SONEJI/LUNA KILL THEM IF I DIE N1
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:35 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I just 75%+ solved the game.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:34 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Epi -> speedscum
Sprit -> speedscum
Speed -> sonejitown
Luna -> Epitown
Soneji -> sprittown
Thoughts: Sprit would totally check me. It is something he would do. I doubt he copied Epi just for the lulz.
Epi is being meta-town Epi. That doesn't mean a whole lot in a game like this.
If I assume Epi and Sprit are town, then they would have to be the Paranoid/insane cops. This is actually likely. Insane cop only gets town results on a 25% chance pick. Paranoid always gets scum. 75% chance that these two are the town paranoid and insane cops.
GIVEN THAT
Between myself, luna, and soneji, we have a naive, sane, and scum. Again, the above assumptions mark me as town, with also a 75% chance or higher. Look at the logic. Epi and Sprit are likely independent of me to be paranoid/insane. That makes me likely town.
In that world, my read is 50% likely to be correct. Which puts everything between Soneji and Luna.
I'm willing to bank on a 75%+ chance of winning.
Lynch Soneji, then Luna.
[VOTE: Soneji] aubergine
Sprit -> speedscum
Speed -> sonejitown
Luna -> Epitown
Soneji -> sprittown
Thoughts: Sprit would totally check me. It is something he would do. I doubt he copied Epi just for the lulz.
Epi is being meta-town Epi. That doesn't mean a whole lot in a game like this.
If I assume Epi and Sprit are town, then they would have to be the Paranoid/insane cops. This is actually likely. Insane cop only gets town results on a 25% chance pick. Paranoid always gets scum. 75% chance that these two are the town paranoid and insane cops.
GIVEN THAT
Between myself, luna, and soneji, we have a naive, sane, and scum. Again, the above assumptions mark me as town, with also a 75% chance or higher. Look at the logic. Epi and Sprit are likely independent of me to be paranoid/insane. That makes me likely town.
In that world, my read is 50% likely to be correct. Which puts everything between Soneji and Luna.
I'm willing to bank on a 75%+ chance of winning.
Lynch Soneji, then Luna.
[VOTE: Soneji] aubergine
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:29 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
That's fair.Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:27 pmThat's a bit of a screwy way of putting.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:25 pmEpi said he might be paranoid cop. Thus he got a scumread.sprityo wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:25 pmassuming that is what epi is saying. otherwise it throws a wrench in everythingspeedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:24 pm Epi -> speedscum
Sprit -> speedscum
Speed -> sonejitown
Luna -> Epitown
Soneji -> sprittown
I said if I am paranoid, there's a 25% chance you are still bad because my mafia result would have been accurate.
I am a gambler, and I play the odds. The odds right now are against you being bad.
But what I'm saying is, if you got a townread on me, you wouldn't be saying that you might be a paranoid cop. I'm not talking about the odds. I'm satisfying Sprit's question.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:28 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Sprit I've played like 12 games with people trying to turn me against Epi early because of stuff like this. And every time that happens, he's town. The accusations themselves are NAI.
I'm gonna continue like that never happened because obstinate Epi jerking reactions out of people by being Epi is Epi Epi.
I'm gonna continue like that never happened because obstinate Epi jerking reactions out of people by being Epi is Epi Epi.
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:25 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Epi said he might be paranoid cop. Thus he got a scumread.sprityo wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:25 pmassuming that is what epi is saying. otherwise it throws a wrench in everythingspeedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:24 pm Epi -> speedscum
Sprit -> speedscum
Speed -> sonejitown
Luna -> Epitown
Soneji -> sprittown
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:24 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Epi -> speedscum
Sprit -> speedscum
Speed -> sonejitown
Luna -> Epitown
Soneji -> sprittown
Sprit -> speedscum
Speed -> sonejitown
Luna -> Epitown
Soneji -> sprittown
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:22 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
We got like 15 minutes
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:21 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
33% chance you're insane and I'm town
33% chance of sane/scum
And then Paranoid = ??? who knows, the check is useless.
Problem is, if you got a town check on me, you'd have THE SAME ODDS. Replacing paranoid with naive
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:18 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I can't seem to get a percentage that is not 50/50 with cop checks, unless you look at other player's checks
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:17 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I need you to explain your odds Epi
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:17 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Oh wait he read me as town?
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:16 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
I feel like the odds that one of Sprit and Epi are scum are better than the odds that they are together the paranoid and insane cop.
Thoughts?
Thoughts?
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:15 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Epi and Sprit both apparently copped me as scum
I copped Soneji as town
Luna copped Epi as town.
That all correct so far?
I copped Soneji as town
Luna copped Epi as town.
That all correct so far?
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:14 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Did Epi and sprit both check me? Or...
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:10 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:09 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:06 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
Hello.
Got any sprightly information fo us?
Got any sprightly information fo us?
- Tue Sep 18, 2018 9:48 pm
- Forum: Previous Burglaries
- Topic: Dethy Game
- Replies: 216
- Views: 6393
Re: Dethy Game
But we can talk right?