The Syndicate

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So I'll be going through and doing some ISO at a later point.

Ranking wise I'd probably shoot in the order of NAA, Dizzy, Creature, DDL, marmot I guess

I'm gonna throw out some quick reads with maybe some explanation.

Creature: Mafia lean Not a huge fan of Michelle content/who they're pushing, but still a bit unknown.

Dragon D. Luffy: Town based off tone/posts. Haven"t read through fingersplints yet but I know she was pushing him so this might evolve.

DrWilgy: Town

Dyslexicon: Mafia lean, based off michelle mainly.

falcon45ca: Town lean

Guillotine: Strong town: Still new to Guillo, but he seems to be playing within normal town meta, plus did help nail Michelle.

hollowkatt: Null, the AtE, is a bit weird at this stage, but not scummy.

Marmot: Town: He's being active which is a plus and is out here weighing in and giving reasons. The main caveat here would be if Marmot keeps suggesting/pushing people who turn out to be town.

NotAnAxehole: Mafia: Posts are coming across as scummy from a gut level and really don't like the teeing up for votes or the people he's saying should be voted. Chiefly don't like the mech mafia angle since it Isn't getting explained and really doesn't seem to have any bearing. (get it bearing

)

Spacedaisy: Town lean based off posting style.

Urist: Town: This is mainly based off there Gullio read. I view that as some town/town.

I'd say my issue right now is too many town reads and no really solid mafia reads. So i'll

Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:52 pm
sig wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:49 pm
Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:43 pm I don't think that sig is necessarily town, but he has made more attempts at finding scum today than a few other players, namely Urist and DrWilgy

Spacedaisy falls in the same boat.

I agree that sig's attempts are not impressive, though I will acknowledge he has little to work with. On the whole, this game is very low-volume right now, and generating content seems to be difficult for a lot of people in this game.

I'd be ok shooting sig, I also think there are marginally better options today.
You want me to get you some syrup since there's an awful lot of waffling going on here.

I am acknowledging reasons to argue your alignment either way. What do you make of my waffling?

Hmmmmm,

In the case of me its a bit more pingy, since I know my role. However, at the same time its showing you're engaged and just weighing everything out which is towny.

So overall I'd say it's still towny, but i mainly wanted to ask if you wanted syrup not get drawn into a serious convo so smh.

NotAnAxehole wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:51 pm
sig wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:50 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:57 pm
falcon45ca wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:56 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:54 pm I don't know how valuable night kill analysis is going to be - other than it's not a mechanically minded mafia team.
I don't do calculus. What makes you think this?
Explaining would be playing against my win condition.
Yea this isn"t an answer lol
So you want me to tell the mafia how I believe is the best mechanical way for them to play the game, and back it up with data?

I want you to explain why you think the mafia team isn't mechanically minded at all. Not how they should play. Since that's a rather grand statement and seems to be the cornerstone of who you think we should vote off. So like kinda a wee bit important to explain it.

Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:50 pm
Creature wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:44 pm Someone should be able to read DrWilgy here I guess. Just skimmed their ISO and it looks pretty lackluster.

Imo, every now and then DrWilgy does blatantly towntell in games, otherwise he's hard to read. I don't see that here, but he could still be either alignment.

It just occurred to me that the three lowest posters in the game: sig, Spacedaisy, and DrWilgy, are pushing Creature, and for slightly different reasons.

Maybe we're all mafia

NotAnAxehole wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:57 pm
falcon45ca wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:56 pm
NotAnAxehole wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:54 pm I don't know how valuable night kill analysis is going to be - other than it's not a mechanically minded mafia team.
I don't do calculus. What makes you think this?
Explaining would be playing against my win condition.

Yea this isn"t an answer lol

Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 11, 2022 2:43 pm I don't think that sig is necessarily town, but he has made more attempts at finding scum today than a few other players, namely Urist and DrWilgy

Spacedaisy falls in the same boat.

I agree that sig's attempts are not impressive, though I will acknowledge he has little to work with. On the whole, this game is very low-volume right now, and generating content seems to be difficult for a lot of people in this game.

I'd be ok shooting sig, I also think there are marginally better options today.

You want me to get you some syrup since there's an awful lot of waffling going on here.

Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 8:32 pm
sig wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 8:17 pmBUT, the dizzy thing is more iffy since if they have TMI this would be the perfect time to throw in the post dizzy did. Have michelle flip mafia and maybe get some quick civ points.
What town cred would I be getting? I still don't agree with shooting someone who has 4 posts. Seems like a missed opportunity to get more spew, because Michelle can be spew-y. But she was mafia, so that's a little bit nit-picky I guess.

The idea of the town cred is post the action being done, you make a statement against it, knowing Michelle is on your team.

So basically you're defending your wolfmate after everyone already knows they're gonna get shot which isn't something a teammate would probably do. While also not defending her that much prior to the shot. Ergo in defending her post shot being announced you'll look civvie upon her flip.

NotAnAxehole wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 9:54 pm I don't know how valuable night kill analysis is going to be - other than it's not a mechanically minded mafia team.

why do you think that?

Also hate this logic and there's literally no reasoning behind it. With one flip and one NK no way to tell if the mafia team is mechanical or not. This seems like a great way to go down the hole of getting rid of non mech/low posters who probably aren't mafia

Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Wed Feb 09, 2022 8:10 pm
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Wed Feb 09, 2022 8:09 pm I changed my mind

@dunya shoot Michelle
See this is what I didn't want. But only if she flips town.

Creature wrote: ↑Wed Feb 09, 2022 7:44 pm
Michelle wrote: ↑Wed Feb 09, 2022 10:01 am I am not a mechanical player and if this game turns out to be a game of maths and probabilities then I will follow the plan approved by Nanook

Michelle wrote: ↑Wed Feb 09, 2022 10:10 am
Creature wrote: ↑Wed Feb 09, 2022 9:36 am
Urist wrote: ↑Wed Feb 09, 2022 9:31 am Rethinking this. It might not be worth trying to save anyone other than Nanook. In terms of actual value gained by saving other people, we would need 3 successful saves in order to increase our number of miselims from two to three.

Given this, I'm tempted to say we should just do the d3 method because it's prob the only one everyone will be able to understand.
I hope NANOOK is a good wolf hunter then.

11 v 4 --> Mislynch --> 10 v 4 --> Odd-night nightkill --> 9 v 4 --> Mislynch --> 8 v 4 --> Even-night nightkills --> 6 v 4 --> Mislynch --> 5 v 4 --> Odd-night nightkill --> 4 v 4

I think it's gonna be extremely hard for town to win if all nightkills succeed.
Nanook is a good wolf hunter

This is the worst case scenario and I doubt it will be like this, so we should do this every day depending on the flips to check the gamestate.

I think defending Nanook and scumhunting in the classic way should bring us the win
I townread these two posts for some reason.

These two posts from Creature and Dizzy stand out.

For creature it was some soft defense of Michelle.

BUT, the dizzy thing is more iffy since if they have TMI this would be the perfect time to throw in the post dizzy did. Have michelle flip mafia and maybe get some quick civ points.

I'm thinking best bets would be to look over Michelle iso/see who she voted for an go from there.

Also I'm thinking mafia is just acting more honest when it comes to talking about night actions ect, However, chances are probably pretty good a mech/math heavy person was mafia

Creature wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:38 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:36 pm
Creature wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:35 pm
Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:30 pm
Creature wrote: ↑Thu Feb 10, 2022 7:25 pm I remember reading DrWilgy, Marmot and Urist town from last EOD.
Why for Wilgy, and do you have a read on Guillo?
It's probably for a stupid reason. I need to recheck.

Guillo felt fine but he says he's pretty tricky as wolf.
What about Guillo's derp galore, any feels from that?
I thought him being stubborn with plans and complaining about NANOOK being the dictator felt town tbh

Yea I agree here, I've only played a few games with him, but i don't see mafia gullio going out of his way to complain about nanook.

Also I totally should’ve read the rules before starting since lol wtf is this.

But also oof so glad I’m not the red panda we’d be dead by like day 3 somehow

Also also, is it accurate to say if we don’t use our actions it’s randed? If so wouldn’t it make the most sense for only like 3 ppl to target nanook and nobody else does anything so it’s totally random

Creature wrote: ↑Tue Feb 08, 2022 10:24 pm Alternatively we can nominate one player (on odd nights) or two players (on even nights) to protect NANOOK and everybody else rands their shots incase the nominated players happen to be wolves.

I like this plan maybe increase it by 1 just in case someone misses night action or mafia have some hidden block?

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