Here's some direct evidence.
If I were mafia, the best strategy for me at this point (since I already have one vote) would be to wait and see if either of you vote for not-me, and then join you, ensuring a likely survival for myself (and therefore victory).
Since I am *not* mafia, and I think Llama is, I'm going to commit to voting for him now, despite that that drastically hurts my chance of survival - I am convinced that if I survive, but we do not catch the mafioso this turn, I've still lost.
I have consistently acted in ways that would not be optimal for a killer this game. People love to throw wine-in-front-of-me arguments around for this stuff ("he's acting that way to throw us off!"), but those have never really held water, because of the inherent recursion. I am an extremely logical player, and I play the most optimal strategy I can come up with - if I were mafia, I would spend today trying to spread doubt around, and get either of you two to vote for llama *or the other of you*, and join in afterward.
*voted llama*
linki snow:
Snow Dog wrote:I never agreed to anything about being a four man team. Or disbanding it when it was reduced to four. For me it was always the three.
Here is where I outlined what I meant by 'adding someone to the group':
viewtopic.php?f=20&t=145&start=200#p19180
Here is where I suggested that we add a player:
viewtopic.php?f=20&t=145&start=150#p19146
Here is where it appears that you agreed with that plan:
viewtopic.php?f=20&t=145&start=150#p19164
If I misunderstood your comment, I apologize for changing the plan on you, but you really should have complained before now; I've made the endgame plans pretty clear I though.
Snow Dog wrote:ibwaop That sounded rubbish. NEV...if YOU survive who would you kill tonight>?
If I were mafia? Depends on who got lynched of course. If matahari were still around, her definitely; otherwise probably Llama, since he tried to get a lynch mob started for me today.