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by thellama73
Sat Jun 06, 2015 5:35 pm
Forum: The Lounge
Topic: Mafia Theory
Replies: 84
Views: 2863

Re: Mafia Theory

I have a friend who used to play here who couldn't cope with ANY role secrets, because they prevented him from being completely analytical and solving the puzzle. I am not really that way, and I like a little mystery in the roles (I usually use vague wording as opposed to *secrets*) but pointless speculation drives me crazy (what if there's a role that can force votes? What if there's a role that can control what people say?), and that would probably be way worse in a closed setup. :)
by thellama73
Sat Jun 06, 2015 4:50 pm
Forum: The Lounge
Topic: Mafia Theory
Replies: 84
Views: 2863

Re: Mafia Theory

I've actually been working on a document like this for personal use, but I see no reason not to post it here. Epignosis has also done extensive studies in this field. Mine only has two sections so far.

Mafia: A Survivor's Guide

How to Lie

As the great George Costanza once said, “it’s not a lie if you believe it.” The trick to posting like a civvie and voting like a civvie is to think like a civvie. When I am reading the thread, I try to temporarily forget who my teammates are and what my own role is. View other people through the lens of an ignorant civilian with no information and see what conclusions you come to, then post those. As long as you’re not getting a teammate lynched in doing this, it is the safest way to behave.

Don’t overthink your posts, don’t use a lot of adverbs or mitigating language, and don’t plan your vote too carefully to cultivate a certain record. Voting records that look too good are sometimes suspicious, since a civvie would be unlikely not to have a few bad votes. Vote for who you WOULD think was bad, if you did not know they were good.

Defending Yourself

If you are the top suspect of the day, you’d better get busy defending. Civilians are lazy and mafia are opportunistic. If your lynch is easy, you are going down. It’s your job to make it hard.

The number one mistake I see in defenses is a failure to present an alternative. People have to vote for someone. You can scream “I’m not bad!” all you like, but if there’s not someone else who looks worse than you by the end of the day, people are still going to vote for you. Get aggressive. Make a case on someone else. Convince people that, while you may not look good, this guy looks way worse. If you’re persuasive, you will at least buy yourself another day to regroup, and if your case turns out to yield a baddie, you will be all but cleared.

Another thing you can do to defend yourself is present facts. Emotional appeals rarely work, but if you can show how your voting record makes no sense for a baddie, you may be able to swing some votes away from you. Always bear in mind that there still has to be someone to swing them to, though.

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