The Syndicate

@insertnamehere @M plus 7

Thx for playing guys but you've been eliminated.

I'll double check my numbers tomorrow but I believe the final tally for round 2 was:

Timmer 42
Golden 15
JJJ/DH 14
Rico/Dunya 13

Inh 8

Mp7 2

Those points are now wiped away and we 6 move onto round 3.

Also, the first of the guilds announced nominations today, the PGA.

“BlacKkKlansman,” “Black Panther,” “Bohemian Rhapsody,” “Crazy Rich Asians,” “The Favourite,” “Green Book,” “A Quiet Place,” “Roma,” “A Star Is Born,” and “Vice” have been nominated for the Producers Guild’s Darryl F. Zanuck Award as the top feature film of 2018.

Holders of those films will each earn a point, if they make it to round 4.

Let's go over the win points for the Golden Globes in 2 days:

"- Nomination: 1 point each (films earn 1 point for every nomination in any category, actors earn 1 point for every nomination they specifically earn, but not for ones their film earns)
- Best Film win: 10 points (film selections only; for the Golden Globes, 10 points will be given to the two films that win Drama and Comedy/Musical); if a studio owns a doc, foreign or animated film they only earn 10 points for BP-equivalent wins, not their genre-specific categories (that counts as "All other categories" below)
- Actor win: 5 points to actor selections, 2 points to film selections (lead and supporting, and only 2 points to an actor and film when part of the SAG ensemble win)
- Director win: 5 points (film selections only)
- Screenplay win: 5 points (film selections only)
- All other categories: 2 points (film selections only)"

So DH has received one point for each of A Star Is Born's various nominations. If A Star Is Born wins Best Picture, DH would gain 9 points as it would now be WORTH 10 instead of 1. If A Star Is Born wins Best Director, DH will gain 4 points (a director win is valued at 5, and he's already counted 1 with the nomination).

Just to make official what we've all known since before the draft was even over, iron_dwarf has been eliminated from the game.

The Golden Globes are in 4 days!

Sorry

Points for Round 3, depending on who gets there (with eventual winners adding more)

MP7 - 2 (Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 1, Sam Elliott - 1)

insertnamehere - 12 (The Incredibles 2 - 1, Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 2, First Reformed - 2, Suspiria - 2, Lakeith Stanfield - 1, Toni Collette - 1, Olivia Colman - 2, Ethan Hawke - 1)

Ricochet - 13 (First Man - 10, Christian Bale - 2, Regina King - 1)

JaggedJimmyJay - 15 (Deadpool 2 - 3, If Beale Street Could Talk - 5, BlacKkKlansman - 5, Rami Malek - 1, Claire Foy - 1)

Golden - 12 (Boy Erased - 1, Mary Poppins Returns - 8, Glenn Close - 1, Melissa McCarthy - 1, Lady Gaga - 1)

Iron_Dwarf - 3 (Tully - 1, Adam Driver - 1, Willem Dafoe - 1)

Dunya - 14 (Beautiful Boy - 1, Roma - 8, Timothee Chalamet- 1, Emily Blunt - 2, Nicole Kidman - 1, Emma Stone - 1)

DharmaHelper - 15 (Can You Ever Forgive Me? - 3, A Star Is Born - 8, John C. Reilly- 1, Richard E. Grant - 1, Charlize Theron - 1, Amandla Stenberg - 1)

Timmer - 41 (Green Book - 6, The Favourite - 14, Vice - 9, Widows - 3, Mary Queen of Scots - 2, Ryan Gosling - 1, Rachel Weisz - 1, Mahershala Ali - 1, Amy Adams - 1, Bradley Cooper - 1, Viggo Mortensen - 2)

Spreadsheet updated, only a few weekends left util Round 2!

Critics Choice nominees!

Best Picture
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
The Favourite
First Man
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

Best Director
Damien Chazelle – First Man
Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
Peter Farrelly – Green Book
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay – Vice

Best Actor
Christian Bale – Vice as Dick Cheney
Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born as Jackson Maine
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity's Gate as Vincent van Gogh
Ryan Gosling – First Man as Neil Armstrong
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed as Reverend Ernst Toller
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody as Freddie Mercury
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book as Frank "Tony Lip" Vallelonga

Best Actress
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma as Cleo
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns as Mary Poppins
Glenn Close – The Wife as Joan Castleman
Toni Collette – Hereditary as Annie Graham
Olivia Colman – The Favourite as Queen Anne
Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born as Ally Maine
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me? as Lee Israel

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali – Green Book as Don Shirley
Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy as Nic Sheff
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman as Flip Zimmerman
Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born as Bobby Maine
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me? as Jack Hock
Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther as N'Jadaka / Erik "Killmonger" Stevens

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams – Vice as Lynne Cheney
Claire Foy – First Man as Janet Shearon Armstrong
Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased as Nancy Eamons
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk as Sharon Rivers
Emma Stone – The Favourite as Abigail Hill
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite as Sarah Churchill

Best Young Actor/Actress
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade as Kayla Day
Thomasin McKenzie – Leave No Trace as Tom
Ed Oxenbould – Wildlife as Joe Brinson
Millicent Simmonds – A Quiet Place as Regan Abbott
Amandla Stenberg – The Hate U Give as Starr Carter
Sunny Suljic – Mid90s as Stevie

Best Acting Ensemble
Black Panther
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Vice
Widows

Best Original Screenplay
Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade
Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara – The Favourite
Adam McKay – Vice
Paul Schrader – First Reformed
Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie and Peter Farrelly – Green Book
Bryan Woods, Scott Beck and John Krasinski – A Quiet Place

Best Adapted Screenplay
Ryan Coogler and Joe Robert Cole – Black Panther
Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper and Will Fetters – A Star Is Born
Josh Singer – First Man
Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, and Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Best Cinematography
Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
James Laxton – If Beale Street Could Talk
Matthew Libatique – A Star Is Born
Rachel Morrison – Black Panther
Robbie Ryan – The Favourite
Linus Sandgren – First Man

Best Production Design
Hannah Beachler, Jay Hart – Black Panther
Eugenio Caballero, Barbara Enriquez – Roma
Nelson Coates, Andrew Baseman – Crazy Rich Asians
Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton – The Favourite
Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas – First Man
John Myhre, Gordon Sim – Mary Poppins Returns

Best Editing
Jay Cassidy – A Star Is Born
Hank Corwin – Vice
Tom Cross – First Man
Alfonso Cuarón, Adam Gough – Roma
Yorgos Mavropsaridis – The Favourite
Joe Walker – Widows

Best Costume Design
Alexandra Byrne – Mary Queen of Scots
Ruth E. Carter – Black Panther
Julian Day – Bohemian Rhapsody
Sandy Powell – The Favourite
Sandy Powell – Mary Poppins Returns

Best Hair and Makeup
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Mary Queen of Scots
Suspiria
Vice

Best Visual Effects
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Mission: Impossible – Fallout
Ready Player One

Best Animated Feature
The Grinch
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Best Action Movie
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
Deadpool 2
Mission: Impossible – Fallout
Ready Player One
Widows

Best Sci-Fi/Horror Movie
Annihilation
Halloween
Hereditary
A Quiet Place
Suspiria

Best Comedy
Crazy Rich Asians
Deadpool 2
The Death of Stalin
The Favourite
Game Night
Sorry to Bother You

Best Actor in a Comedy
Christian Bale – Vice as Dick Cheney
Jason Bateman – Game Night as Max Davis
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book as Frank "Tony Lip" Vallelonga
John C. Reilly – Stan & Ollie as Oliver Hardy
Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool 2 as Wade Wilson / Deadpool
Lakeith Stanfield - Sorry to Bother You as Cassius "Cash" Green

Best Actress in a Comedy
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns as Mary Poppins
Olivia Colman – The Favourite as Queen Anne
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade as Kayla Day
Rachel McAdams – Game Night as Annie Davis
Charlize Theron – Tully as Marlo Moreau
Constance Wu – Crazy Rich Asians as Rachel Chu

Best Score
Kris Bowers – Green Book
Nicholas Britell – If Beale Street Could Talk
Alexandre Desplat – Isle of Dogs
Ludwig Göransson – Black Panther
Justin Hurwitz – First Man
Marc Shaiman – Mary Poppins Returns

Best Song
"All the Stars" – Black Panther
"Girl in the Movies" – Dumplin'
"I'll Fight" – RBG
"The Place Where Lost Things Go" – Mary Poppins Returns
"Shallow" – A Star Is Born
"Trip a Little Light Fantastic" – Mary Poppins Returns

Best Foreign Language Film
Burning • South Korea
Capernaum • Lebanon
Cold War • Poland
Roma • Mexico
Shoplifters • Japan

I think Grant is a strong contender for the win, and ASIB is probably a shoo-in for best pic, so yeah, you are good.

[mention]insertnamehere[/mention] you have Ballad of Buster Scruggs as one of your films but it went straight to Netflix, so it is eligible to be dropped and replaced by one of those movies I highlighted with available points (or any other film you want that hasn't opened yet)

[mention]Ricochet[/mention] you have TWO films you can drop, Death and Life of John F. Donovan, and Mowgli.

[mention]M Plus 7[/mention] you have 2 films that haven't opened. I imagine you will hang onto spider-verse, but you could drop Paradox as it never opened.

[mention]Iron_Dwarf[/mention] you have 2 films you can drop, as well.

Also... round 3 is the critics choice awards. These nominations will be announced on December 10th. Of course, we don't officially GET to round 3 until the Golden Globes ceremony ends, which is on January 6th. But we will be able to see their nominees, and project points, just like we did with the Globes today.

8 out of 9 players will advance to round 2, and unless iron_dwarf shows up and pulls some last second shenanigans, we know which 8 that will be.

The top SIX in round 2 advance to the critics choice awards. So, people need to look at their rosters and try to figure out WINNERS, as winners add muy muy points to their total, which will determine who moves on.

Looking at the points from nominations, you might think INH is toast, but if he gets just ONE single winner out of his 3 nominees, and ricochet does NOT, INH will move on and Rico won't, etc. That's why I highlighted those hanging points just sitting there waiting to be grabbed.

Okay, so a quick point. There are free points available for Round 2.

The following films have received nominations and would instantly add those points to your total if you picked them up, as they have not yet opened

Stan & Ollie - 1 pt
Girl - 1 pt
Dumplin' - 1 pt (but this opens tomorrow so you would have to pick it up by 11:59pm)

Of course, to grab those points, you would have to drop a film, which is only possible if you have a film not yet locked into place.

I benefited from being at TIFF for the world premiere of Green Book. The buzz that came out of it was deafening, and I couldn't get access with my pass, both of which signaled a major player...

God, I hope we can get more participants in this game next year!

DharmaHelper wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 1:35 pm Hell yeah guaranteed to get through to the next round.

21 points. Fuggin joker.

Points for Round 2 so far (nominations only, at this point, eventual winners will shift the points)

MP7 - 1 (Spider-Man: into the Spider-Verse)

INH - 3 4 (Incredibles 2 - 1, Robert Redford - 1, Olivia Colman - 1, Girl - 1)

Ricochet - 4 (First Man - 2, Christian Bale - 1, Regina King - 1)

Dunya - 8(Beautiful Boy - 1, Roma - 3, Timothee Chalamet - 1, Emily Blunt - 1, Nicole Kidman - 1, Emma Stone - 1)

Iron_Dwarf* 3 (Tully - 1, Adam Driver - 1, Willem Dafoe - 1)

Golden - 11 (Boy Erased - 2, Mary Poppins Returns - 4, Glenn Close - 1, Sam Rockwell - 1, Melissa McCarthy - 1, Lady Gaga - 1, Lucas Hedges - 1)

JaggedJimmyJay - 9 (If Beale Street Could Talk - 3, BlacKkKlansman - 4, Rami Malek - 1, Claire Foy - 1)

DharmaHelper - 13 (Destroyer - 1, Can You Ever Forgive Me? - 2, A Star Is Born - 5, Lin-manuel Miranda - 1, John C. Reilly - 1, Richard E. Grant - 1, Charlize Theron - 1, John David Washington - 1)

Timmer - 21 (Green Book - 5, The Favourite - 5, Vice - 6, Rachel Weisz - 1, Mahershala Ali - 1, Amy Adams - 1, Bradley Cooper - 1, Viggo Mortensen - 1)

And a reminder, from the rules I had posted at the start:

"- Nomination: 1 point each (films earn 1 point for every nomination in any category, actors earn 1 point for every nomination they specifically earn, but not for ones their film earns)"

Golden Globe Nominations

Best Picture — Drama
Black Panther
Blackkklansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born

Best Picture — Comedy or Musical
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns
Vice

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Drama
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Willem Defoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Drama
Glenn Close, The Wife
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Nicole Kidman, Destroyer
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Rosamund Pike, A Private War

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy
Christian Bale, Vice
Lin Manuel Miranda, Mary Poppins Returns
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Robert Redford, The Old Man and The Gun
John C. Reilly, Stan and Ollie

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy
Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Esie Fisher, Eighth Grade
Charlize Theron, Tully
Constance Wu, Crazy Rich Asians

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Amy Adams, Vice
Claire Foy, First Man
regina king, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Best Director — Motion Picture
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay, Vice

Best Screenplay — Motion Picture
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, The Favourite
Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk
Adam McKay, Vice
Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Green Book

Best Motion Picture — Animated
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-man: Into the Spider-Verse

Best Picture — Foreign Language
Capernaum
Girl
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters

Best Original Score — Motion Picture
Marco Beltrami, A Quiet Place
Alexandre Desplat, Isle of Dogs
Ludwig Göransson, Black Panther
Justin Hurwitz, First Man
Marc Shaiman, Mary Poppins Returns=

Best Original Song — Motion Picture
All the Stars, Black Panther
Girl in the Movies, Dumplin
Requiem for a Private War, A Private War
Revelation, Boy Erased
Shallow, A Star is Born

Points coming up!

While not in our awards, here are the National Board of Review winners:

Best Film: GREEN BOOK

Best Director: Bradley Cooper, A STAR IS BORN

Best Actor: Viggo Mortensen, GREEN BOOK

Best Actress: Lady Gaga, A STAR IS BORN

Best Supporting Actor: Sam Elliott, A STAR IS BORN

Best Supporting Actress: Regina King, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK

Best Original Screenplay: Paul Schrader, FIRST REFORMED

Best Adapted Screenplay: Barry Jenkins, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK

Best Animated Feature: INCREDIBLES 2
Breakthrough Performance: Thomasin McKenzie, LEAVE NO TRACE

Best Directorial Debut: Bo Burnham, EIGHTH GRADE

Best Foreign Language Film: COLD WAR

Best Documentary: RBG

Best Ensemble: CRAZY RICH ASIANS

William K. Everson Film History Award: THE OTHER SIDE OF THE WIND and THEY’LL LOVE ME WHEN I’M DEAD

NBR Freedom of Expression Award: 22 JULY

NBR Freedom of Expression Award: ON HER SHOULDERS



Top Films (in alphabetical order)



The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Black Panther

Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Eighth Grade

First Reformed

If Beale Street Could Talk

Mary Poppins Returns

A Quiet Place

Roma

A Star Is Born



Top 5 Foreign Language Films (in alphabetical order)



Burning

Custody

The Guilty

Happy as Lazzaro

Shoplifters

Oh yes, I had put it in the spredsheet without even noticing that it was changed, lol

Did they?

Suspiria could get a song nomination, or score, or make-up, or really randomly a supporting actress nod for Tilda. Or absolutely nothing.

To be clear, the indie spirits arent part of our contest, that was just for fun

The Film independent Spirit Nominees were announced this morning. These don't tend to match up too strongly with the Oscars, as they only reward films below a certain budget point, so several Oscar contenders like A Star is Born and Vice were ineligible. That said, some interesting signs and concerns can be pulled out of this list... for instance, the voters clearly like Can You Ever Forgive Me? but they failed to nominate Melissa McCarthy, despite it being a category of 6 and Lady Gaga was not eligible...

anyway, to whet your whistle for the upcoming season, here you go!


Best Feature

EIGHTH GRADE

FIRST REFORMED

IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK

LEAVE NO TRACE

YOU WERE NEVER REALLY HERE

Best Director

Debra Granik, LEAVE NO TRACE

Barry Jenkins, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK

Tamara Jenkins, PRIVATE LIFE

Lynne Ramsay, YOU WERE NEVER REALLY HERE

Paul Schrader, FIRST REFORMED

Best First Feature

HEREDITARY

SORRY TO BOTHER YOU

THE TALE

WE THE ANIMALS

WILDLIFE

hereditary a24
“Hereditary”

A24

Best Female Lead

Glenn Close, THE WIFE

Toni Collette, HEREDITARY

Elsie Fisher, EIGHTH GRADE

Regina Hall, SUPPORT THE GIRLS

Helena Howard, MADELINE’S MADELINE

Carey Mulligan, WILDLIFE

Best Male Lead

John Cho, SEARCHING

Daveed Diggs, BLINDSPOTTING

Ethan Hawke, FIRST REFORMED

Christian Malheiros, SÓCRATES

Joaquin Phoenix, YOU WERE NEVER REALLY HERE

Best Supporting Female

Kayli Carter, PRIVATE LIFE

Tyne Daly, A BREAD FACTORY

Regina King, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK

Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie, LEAVE NO TRACE

J. Smith-Cameron, NANCY

Best Supporting Male

Raúl Castillo, WE THE ANIMALS

Adam Driver, BLACKKKLANSMAN

Richard E. Grant, CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?

Josh Hamilton, EIGHTH GRADE


John David Washington, MONSTERS AND MEN

The Tale
Laura Dern in “The Tale”

HBO

Best Screenplay

Richard Glatzer (Writer/Story By), Rebecca Lenkiewicz & Wash Westmoreland, COLETTE

Nicole Holofcener & Jeff Whitty, CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?

Tamara Jenkins, PRIVATE LIFE

Boots Riley, SORRY TO BOTHER YOU

Paul Schrader FIRST REFORMED

Best First Screenplay

Bo Burnham, EIGHTH GRADE

Christina Choe, NANCY

Cory Finley, THOROUGHBREDS

Jennifer Fox, THE TALE

Quinn Shephard (Writer/Story By) and Laurie Shephard (Story By), BLAME

Best Cinematography

Ashley Connor, MADELINE’S MADELINE

Diego Garcia, WILDLIFE

Benjamin Loeb, MANDY

Sayombhu Mukdeeprom, SUSPIRIA

Zak Mulligan, WE THE ANIMALS

Best Editing

Joe Bini, YOU WERE NEVER REALLY HERE

Keiko Deguchi, Brian A. Kates & Jeremiah Zagar, WE THE ANIMALS

Luke Dunkley, Nick Fenton, Chris Gill & Julian Hart, AMERICAN ANIMALS

Anne Fabini, Alex Hall and Gary Levy, THE TALE

Nick Houy, MID90S

"We the Animals"
“We the Animals”

Cinereach

John Cassavetes Award

A BREAD FACTORY

EN EL SÉPTIMO DÍA

NEVER GOIN’ BACK

SÓCRATES

THUNDER ROAD

Robert Altman Award

SUSPIRIA

Best Documentary

HALE COUNTY THIS MORNING, THIS EVENING

MINDING THE GAP

OF FATHERS AND SONS

ON HER SHOULDERS

SHIRKERS

WON’T YOU BE MY NEIGHBOR?

Best International Film

BURNING (South Korea)

THE FAVOURITE (United Kingdom)

HAPPY AS LAZZARO (Italy)

ROMA (Mexico)

SHOPLIFTERS (Japan)


“Hale County This Morning, This Evening”

Piaget Producers Award

Jonathan Duffy and Kelly Williams

Gabrielle Nadig

Shrihari Sathe

Someone to Watch Award

Alex Moratto, SÓCRATES

Ioana Uricaru, LEMONADE

Jeremiah Zagar, WE THE ANIMALS

Truer Than Fiction Award

Alexandria Bombach, ON HER SHOULDERS

Bing Liu, MINDING THE GAP

RaMell Ross, HALE COUNTY THIS MORNING, THIS EVENING

Annual Bonnie Award

Debra Granik

Tamara Jenkins

Karyn Kusama

Spreadsheet is updated, we are in the heart of things now! Round 2 is the Golden Globes. Nominations come out December 8th, so the first wave of points will arrive that day, but they will be stored up util Round 1 finishes.

Spreadsheet updated!

Beautiful Boy has opened and is locked in, Beale Street was my fave movie at TIFF, and is coming very soon!

Spreadsheet updated!

Spreadsheet updated, with actual movement! We are right in the shit now fuckers, and with A Star is Born and Venom debuting, DH has leaped Ricochet.

Spreadsheet updated... we are getting into the fun stuff, now!

It appears that round 1 will resolve without much fanfare, unless Iron Dwarf somehow shows up and actually plays the game. It'd be easy to grab enough box office to threaten dunya with a loss, but if they can't be bothered, I can't be bothered to remind them...

Vice (formerly backseat) will open Christmas day...

Spreadsheet is updated. This week saw a few minor Oscar hopefuls enter the fray - The Sisters Brothers opened, as did Life Itself. The best the former could do is a comedy nod at the Globes, while Life Itself is likely DOA.

Everyone should note that Golden has released his claim on Emily Blunt, who is a virtual guaranteed Golden Globe nominee for Lead Actress - Comedy/Musical...

Oh, and Ad Astra is rumoured to be having some special effects issues and there is a feeling that it may get pushed right out of the oscar window and moved to somewhere else in 2019...

You da meng

Speaking of round 2... I'm trying to find it, but didn't we break down previously how many people would advance in each round?

I'm fine with only letting actors get acting points. So my B Coop pick won't be the goldmine I thought it would be lol, but sure actors will only get nods for acting.

Hmm, so the post I made above was a direct cut and paste from the rules I borrowed at the very start, but if I posted that other comment after that and it affected how people drafted then we need to discuss.

Public service announcement. Natalie Portman's Vox Lux has been picked up and set for a December 7th release date. Natalie will be a fun contender to watch in the supporting actress category. As of this moment, she is available for pickup. Just sayin'

So for instance, DH has A Star is Born. I'm assuming it will be under comedy/musical because it is so musical, but maybe drama? Let's go with drama.

Let's say A Star is Born get nominations for Best Film (Drama), Director, Lead Actor (Drama), Lead Actress (Drama), Screenplay, Song.

DH will get 6 points for 6 nominations.

Golden, having Lady Gaga, will get 2 points, one for Gaga's actress nom, one for best song (presumably she is listed as a co writer).

I've got Bradley Cooper, so I would get 4 points (one for lead actor, one for director, one for co-writing screenplay I think, one for co-writing song)

SO... if you are looking at your roster, and you know you are moving onto round 2, but you feel like you don't have much Golden Globe firepower, now is the time to think about your films. Swapping out a film for one that gets screenplay, director or score or song nominations could save your ass.

As we get closer to crunch time...

Here is how the points work for the subsequent rounds. Round 2 will be the Golden Globes.

Your film and actor picks earn you points in the following ways during awards play:

- Nomination: 1 point each (films earn 1 point for every nomination in any category, actors earn 1 point for every nomination they specifically earn, but not for ones their film earns)
- Best Film win: 10 points (film selections only; for the Golden Globes, 10 points will be given to the two films that win Drama and Comedy/Musical); if a studio owns a doc, foreign or animated film they only earn 10 points for BP-equivalent wins, not their genre-specific categories (that counts as "All other categories" below)
- Actor win: 5 points to actor selections, 2 points to film selections (lead and supporting, and only 2 points to an actor and film when part of the SAG ensemble win)
- Director win: 5 points (film selections only)
- Screenplay win: 5 points (film selections only)
- All other categories: 2 points (film selections only)

I saw Beautiful Boy and Carell put everything he had into it, it's a heavy film... but I'm worried that a) hes overshadowed by Chalamet who has more "acting" to do since his character fights addictions, and b) the film may not be a huge hit.

I think hes a likely nominee but the oscar is coopers to lose.

Spreadsheet is updated.

Congrats to Golden for crossing $1 billion!

Some thoughts post-TIFF... Golden has probably got 3 of the eventual Best Lead Actress nominees on his roster. DH has the favorite to win Best Picture, and Supporting Actor. Dunya has a potential Best Pic spoiler and a lot of possible nominees...

Ok I'm back and will get to work on the spreadsheet later tonight!

DharmaHelper wrote: ↑Sat Sep 08, 2018 12:10 pm I think the word is Kursk.

Perfection lol...

Btw Widows is insanely good. Like best of fest so far good.

Saw Kursk tonight. How do you spell the sound of someone sticking their tongue out and loudly spitting while doing a thumbs down move? That's me right now.

A star is born is going to win it all.

Oh and...

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/ ... ry-1140423

Good buzz out of venice for a star is born and roma, also decent notices for John c. Reilly in sisters brothers...

Spreadsheet was updated Monday, no big changes.

And for anyone curious, he is my tiff schedule, I locked it up this morning:

https://2018.tiffr.com/schedules/timmer

Spreadsheet is updated! No change in the standings, but I will say that with amanda Seyfried in Mamma Mia 2 and Selena Gomez in Hotel Transylvania 3, iront dwarf is slowly crawling back into a fight for not-last-place... Dunya had better watch out! The next couple of weeks will be slow ones, as no one has any films opening up, and only a handful of actors appearing in any new films...

Also, I'll be in Toronto for TIFF in a few weeks, so if you see any mad changes to my roster in September, that'll be why!

For whatever it's worth, Mary Queen of Scots have apparently opted to skip all of the fall festivals... that doesn't bode well. I'll update the spreadsheet tonight

Oh my God this looks good!!!

[ytubehd][/ytubehd]

ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:46 am The Wife looks bad.

Most reviews are lukewarm at best towards the film but the praise for Close is off the chart. Best comparable would be Julianne Moore in Still Alice... insanely good performance in an otherwise by the numbers film. And Close has never won after a ton of nominations, much like Moore.

Spreadsheet updated! No movement in the rankings this week...

Glenn Close has earned RAVE reviews for The Wife, so kudos to Golden... he could have the Best Actress Oscar winner on his hands...

Judging by the early reviews... I made a terrible mistake dumping blackkklansmam