Long Con wrote:Epignosis wrote:Long Con wrote:Epignosis wrote:Long Con wrote:Epignosis wrote:Once again, a Day 1 llama lynch. Yawn. By both people who know him and don't know him.
Maybe it's you llama.
I don't fully understand this pity party post of yours, considering
Llama JUST RECENTLY hosed us both and won as a baddie, and I suspected him from Day 1 and allowed him the benefit of the doubt. I have no more sympathy for him than for any Civ lynched Day 1, and I'm certainly not in the state of mind to just let him go through the whole game again with me squashing down my bad feelings about him every EOD.
I don't care about recency bias. You apparently do.
But you're willing to let past instances of Civ Llama getting lynched early decide your play in this game.
Correct- that's out of courtesy, not strategy.
I would think that allowing him that "courtesy" so
recently all the way to Mafia Llama beating you and winning the game would alleviate some of that inclination.
What you have described is recency bias. What llama did elsewhere has no bearing on who he is here. Therefore, it doesn't matter to me. The fact that he gets lynched so often
Day 1 for just being himself is a different matter. I'm inclined to allow him that courtesy until I can form an opinion that is independent of (or in light of) his Day 1 silliness. None of that precludes me from lynching him Day 3 or 4.
Long Con wrote:How many times, in your estimation, will it take for Llama to beat you before the scales are balanced, and you'll treat him like other players?
Now you're coupling it with gambler's fallacy thinking.
By this logic, I should be lynched Day 1 every single time.
Long Con wrote:Or is this actually a strategic attitude on your part in this particular game? Maybe.
It is quite strategic.
What's my strategy? What am I trying to accomplish?